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The Road to 4G: LTE and WiMAX Lead the Way Worldwide
In-Stat/MDR, Oct 2008, Pages: 33
4G technologies are considered those which are expected to meet the ITU’s IMT-Advanced requirements, i.e., LTE Advanced and IEEE 802.16m WiMAX, with LTE Advanced and 802.16m WiMAX being the enhanced versions of LTE and 802.16e WiMAX, respectively. Both LTE Advanced and 802.16m WiMAX are being specially crafted to offer 100Mbps mobile throughput and 1Gbps stationary throughput. These extremely high throughput capabilities are expected to be a critical part of the ITU’s IMT-Advanced requirements.
With 802.16e WiMAX deployments already launched worldwide, LTE proponents have jumped up their efforts to speed up development so they are not left behind. Overall, the author believes that mobile WiMAX will, ultimately, outpace LTE over the forecast period, due to timing of network roll-outs. Mobile WiMAX effectively came on the scene in 2006 with South Korea’s WiBro. Comparatively, the earliest commercial LTE deployment will be in 2009; Japan’s NTT DoCoMo is expected to launch its LTE commercial services in the late 2009/2010 timeframe.
The author expects that mobile WiMAX and LTE subscriptions will represent only a miniscule portion of the total 2G/3G/4G subscriptions over the next five years. Even in 2013, the author expects that GSM/GPRS/EDGE will account for nearly 2.8 billion subscriptions, representing more than 55 percent of the total 4.8 billion 2G/3G/4G subscriptions expected in 2013.
What’s in the Report?
- 2G/3G/4G subscription forecasts by technology
- Mobile WiMAX and LTE portable device forecasts by device type
- Vendor 3G/4G deployment strategies
- Analysis of current state of 2G/3G technologies
HIGHLIGHTS
- LTE Advanced and IEEE 802.16m WiMAX are expected to be the primary 4G technologies.
- 4G technologies are extensions of what we are just beginning to see today in 802.16e mobile WiMAX and in LTE.
- The success of the Sprint/Clearwire mobile WiMAX roll-out is expected to have a huge effect on whether or not large worldwide carriers will roll out mobile WiMAX.
- HSPA may turn into 802.16e WiMAX’s true competitor, and also may delay LTE roll-outs.
- The author expects that mobile WiMAX will ultimately outpace LTE over the forecast period through 2013, due to the timing of roll-outs.
- Mobile WiMAX and LTE will represent only a miniscule portion of total 2G/3G/4G cellular subscriptions in 2013, with GSM/EDGE/GPRS expected to account for more than 55 percent of the total 4.8 billion subscriptions.
Who Will be Interested in This Report?
- Mobile operators
- Chipset companies selling components for mobile phones
- Cellular and WiMAX Infrastructure vendors
Whose Needs Does This Report Address?
- Vendors with large vested interests in the subjects of the report
- Companies providing cellular and/or WiMAX chips, end-devices, or infrastructure
- Mobile operators or service providers looking to roll out a mobile broadband technology
- Companies interested in entering the cellular or WiMAX component or device market
What Questions Does This Report Answer?
- What is the size of the market?
- How are prices adjusting to changing demands?
- Who are the leading suppliers in the market?
- What are the regional impacts on the market?
- What are the expectations for future growth?
Also available
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