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802.16 / WiMAX Strategic Overview 2004
Visant Strategies, Inc.
While DSL and cable modem providers are enjoying a duopoly that will remain in tact for the next four years, the winds of change will soon be apparent for broadband providers. Wireless solutions for broadband will outpace the growth of wireline options beginning in 2009. The change will be both due to a maturity of wireline solutions and the growth of wireless technologies, such as 802.16/WiMAX.
Commercialization and cost reduction of various smart antenna technologies will allow operators to limit requirements for BWA wireless infrastructure, making deployments cheaper. While tower acquisition and construction remain key barriers to the BWA and 802.16 industries, mesh technologies, though unproven in a commercial setting, could also be used as a solution. The cross pollinating of fixed wireless systems with mobile IP-based solutions will also act as a catalyst for BWA and 802.16 growth. Major mobile carriers are poised to move to IP-based systems in the short-term and are looking at many of the BWA solutions.
Though WiMAX needs time to scale and resolve interoperability issues, it promises to bring economies of scale previously unavailable to the sector and is an option for existing holders of BWA spectrum seeking an evolution path to mobility. We project total WiMAX equipment sales are projected to reach $2.2 billion in 2009.
This report assesses the market for WiMAX based equipment and services in the sub 11 GHz bands. It addresses use of the technology for fixed and potential mobile
applications. It determines the current status of the WiMAX market and investigates requirements for a mass-market success. Competitors to WiMAX in both the fixed and mobile (4G) realms are assessed. Key vendors are discussed and as well as global developments by region. 802.16 chipset, base station and CPE revenues and volumes are quantified, and the report provides a detailed analysis of the BWA segment that is the primary application for WiMAX.
Questions Addressed
- What role will 802.16 play within the mobile field
- Will competing technologies limit the impact of WiMAX
- When will WiMAX become a factor
- What will trigger mass market acceptance of WiMAX
- Why has BWA failed in the past
- What is the true target market for WiMAX
- Which regions will see the greatest WiMAX activity
- Are current WiMAX expectations realistic
- Which features are critical to the success of WiMAX
Quantifies
- 802.16/WiMAX base station deployments and shipments
- 802.16/WiMAX CPE shipments
- 802.16/WiMAX users and services
- 802.16/WiMAX users by region
- 802.16/WiMAX device shipment by frequency of operation
- 802.16/WiMAX chipset shipments
- BWA subscribers and services
- BWA base station deployments and shipments
- BWA CPE shipments
- BWA users by region
- BWA users by operating frequency
Study Topics
- Technologies
- Applications
- Regions
- Vendors
Research Methodology
This study is the result of primary and secondary research. Analysts gathered information via interviews with marketing and engineering executives, corporate reports, databases, and other secondary sources. Evaluations were made based on the current performance of various components of a particular technology, including need, market potential, technology evolution, maturation, price points, and the companies and resources being put towards the development or deployment.
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