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China Hog Industry Market Research 2009
China Market Report, Sep 2009, Pages: 22
After 30 years development, China's hog industry has entered the mature stage, the domestic per capital possession amount of pork has exceeded the world average; the hog industry has basically ended a period of rapid growth.
The development of competition of hog industry has in a stage of scale, characteristic cultivation and brand. At this stage, disease control, price risk management and meticulous management are the foundation of competitiveness. Build up a brand is the core of competition of differentiation, the ideal development is to form a fully industry chain with feed, cultivation, breed, slaughter and sale. In terms of the development of hog industry in the past 30 years, in every economic cycle, the hog industry always carry out an industrial upgrading. In the next 10 years hog industry will be into a stage with industrial scale and brand.
Pork price always reflects the level of feed grain prices, labor costs and general inflation, or even more sensitive than CPI to reflect price level. Since 2000, pork price has been continued rising, the domestic inflation has been rising faster.
During 2000-2003, the price of pork was 10 yuan / kg with relative stability; 2004-2006 was 13 yuan / kg, an increase of 30% with moderate inflation; 2006-2008 was 20 yuan / kg; since the second half of 2008 until now, although the price of pork call-back quite sharp, but the hog industry is still in loss, however, the overall level of pork price is still high, a long-term trend is still in a down trend from the peak time.
In terms of regional resource advantages and development status, government chooses some traditional areas such as the coastal areas, northeast areas, central areas and south-west areas in 19 provinces to establish 437 pig breeding bases. By 2015, the total amount of slaughter pigs will reach to 400 million in those bases, an average annual increase of 3.4%; pork production reach to 32.4 million tons, an average annual increase of 3.5%. Among them, the proportion of large-scale breeding to achieve 65% or more; pig slaughter rate achieve 150% or more; each pig for meat yield annually will reach 120 kg. Creating a healthy stock breeding system, as well as the supply capacity of boar meets the production needs. The sales from these bases to other consumer areas will reach 240 million hogs, accounting for 60% of the total slaughter amount; the export of pig products will grow to 80 million tons.
In general, government policy can be divided into two categories: one is called ''essential functions'' policy includeing five main policies: the monitoring of basic information and release, disease prevention subsidies, disease pigs slaughtered, subsidy of slaughter link of harmless disease treatment, use of government pig reserves to regulate short-term market fluctuations.
The second category is ''strengthen and promotion'' policy. These policies include: breeding sow insurance and subsidies, reward for large pigs base for transferred out, subsidies for pig seed, and support standardization of the size of farm infrastructure. These policies are mainly aimed at the development of China's live pig production problems, such as low level of scale and standardization, seed rate is not high, instability of development. These policies are necessary and will remain long-term stability.
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