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Growth Strategies In Generics: Innovative And Aggressive Strategies And Their Impact On Branded Pharmaceuticals
Business Insights, July 2004, Pages: 172
Executive summary 10
Introduction 10 Market overview 10 Successful US strategies 11 Successful European strategies 12 US legislation and its impact 13 European legislation and its impact 14 US barriers to generics growth 15 European barriers to generics growth 16 Future prospects and conclusions 17
Chapter 1 Market overview 20
Summary 20 Introduction 21 US vs Europe – differences and contradictions 23 Global opportunities – forthcoming patent expiries 27 Underdeveloped markets 29 Expand abroad or stay at home? 32 Multinational R&D companies’ involvement in generics 34
Chapter 2 Successful US strategies 38
Summary 38 Overview of US generic market 39 Leading US generic companies 41 The road to success 42 Distribution of commodity generics 42 Manufacture and distribution of commodity generics 43 Acquisition 44 Patent challenges – Paragraph IV filings and first to file 46 Specialty generics - reducing the competition levels 48 Products with technologically challenging formulations 48 Controlled release generics 49 Products where significant regulatory support is required 49 Products with limited availability of the API 50 Proprietary drugs — branded and generic products together 50 Biogenerics 51
Chapter 3 Successful European strategies 54
Summary 54 Overview of European generic markets 55 Pricing 56 Intellectual property 57 Generic prescribing levels 57 Purchasing decision based on price 58 Pricing based on supply and demand 58 Leading European companies 59 The road to success 61 Distribution of commodity generics 61 Manufacture and distribution of commodity generics 62 Patent challenges 63 Be first to launch 64 Acquisition 65 Specialty generics - reducing the competition levels 66 Proprietary drugs - branded products alongside generics 67 Biogenerics 67
Chapter 4 US legislation and its impact 70
Summary 70 Overview of US generic legislation 71 Hatch-Waxman amendments 72 Benefits to the R&D side 72 Benefits to the generic side 73 Disadvantages of the legislation 75 McCain-Schumer legislation 77 Gregg-Schumer Act 78 The impact of new legislation 80 Single 30 month stay 80 Orange Book listings 81 180-day exclusivity 81 Authorized generics 82 Bioequivalence 82
Chapter 5 European legislation and its impact 86
Summary 86 Overview of European generic legislation 87 Directive 2001/83 89 Directive 2004/27/EC 90 Benefits to the R&D side 90 Benefits to the generic side 93 The impact of new legislation 94 Definition of a generic 94 Bolar clause 95 “Is Marketed” 95 European Reference Product 97 Harmonization of SmPC’s 98 Disadvantages of the legislation – winners and losers 98 Other IP issues 99
Chapter 6 US barriers to generics growth 102
Summary 102 Introduction 103 Threats to the industry 103 Market saturation 103 Increasing wholesaler consolidation 104 Overseas competitors – India 105 Overseas competitors – Europe 107 Gaps in patent expiries 109 Reference prices 110 Parallel imports 111 Individual company strategies 114 Movement away from normal release oral commodity generics 115 Adjustment of product portfolio to include higher margin products 116 Investment in original R&D 117 Acquisitions 119 Expansion into overseas markets 120 Alliances with overseas manufacturers in India or Latin America 122 Biogenerics 122 The role of trade associations 124
Chapter 7 European barriers to generics growth 128
Summary 128 Overview 129 Threats to the industry 130 Market saturation 130 Increasing wholesaler consolidation 131 Overseas competitors – India 131 Overseas competitors – Europe 133 Reference prices 134 Parallel imports 136 Individual company strategies 137 Portfolio adjustment 138 Expand abroad 140 Attack patents – risks and opportunities 143 Form an alliance with multinational 145 Conduct own R&D 146 Biogenerics 147 Add parallel imports to the range 149 Enter OTC market 149 The role of trade associations 150 Lobby for legislative change 150 Lobby against legislative change 150
Chapter 8 Future prospects and conclusions 153
Summary 153 Overview 154 Trends in manufacturing 156 Movement of manufacturing facilities 156 Threats to generics companies 157 Trends in marketing 159 Movement upstream 159 Expansion overseas 161 Target areas for expansion 162 The future of generics in the US 164 US profit margins 164 Future legislative changes 165 The future of generics in Europe 166 Pan-European generics 166 Legislation 167 IP Problems 167 The generics competitive landscape 168 Generic superheroes 168 Consolidation of generic companies 168 Branded pharmaceutical company consolidation 169 Growth prospects for generics 170 Outlook by therapeutic area 172
List of Figures
Figure 1.1: Examples of differences between US and Europe (as at start of 2004) 25 Figure 1.2: Generic penetration in Europe 30 Figure 2.3: Significant factors necessary for the development of a healthy generic market 39 Figure 2.4: Branded sales and sales growth of the leading generics companies, 2000–01 50 Figure 3.5: Factors necessary for the development of a healthy generic market 55 Figure 3.6: European sales of leading generics players, 2001 59 Figure 6.7: The value of major US patent expiries to 2008 110 Figure 6.8: Generics R&D strategies – trade off between risk and competition level 119 Figure 6.9: Drivers and resistors to geographic expansion 121 Figure 7.10: European prices compared against reference price systems 135 Figure 7.11: Pharmaceutical prices and generic penetration in Europe 142 Figure 8.12: Generic penetration rates in Europe, 2003 154 Figure 8.13: Opportunities and saturation in generics markets 155 Figure 8.14: Threats to generics companies 158 Figure 8.15: The evolution of successful generics companies 160 Figure 8.16: Plans for overseas expansion 161 Figure 8.17: Target areas for expansion 162 Figure 8.18: Use of regional offices, subsidiaries, acquisition and local agents 163 Figure 8.19: The impact of recent changes in pharmaceutical law 165 Figure 8.20: Annual growth predictions for generic drugs, 2004, responses by type of company170 Figure 8.21: Annual growth predictions for generic drugs, 2004, responses by location of respondents 171 Figure 8.22: Most attractive therapy areas for generic drugs growth 172
List of Tables
Table 1.1: Size of key generics markets, 2001-02 24 Table 1.2: Best selling pharmaceuticals (2003) and their patent expiry dates 28 Table 2.3: Major generic companies in the US market 2002 41 Table 2.4: Generics players and their subsidiaries (selected list) 45 Table 3.5: Comparison of different national pharmaceutical price levels, 2000 56 Table 3.6: Generics players and their subsidiaries (selected list) 65 Table 4.7: Comparison of major legislative provisions in the US 79 Table 5.8: EU members and their date of accession 87 Table 5.9: Generic substitution by country in Europe (as at February 2004) 88 Table 5.10: EU data exclusivity times as at early 2003 91 Table 6.11: Key US patent expiries, 2001-2006 123 Table 7.12: European price comparisons, 1996-2003 129 Table 7.13: European reference pricing systems in each country, by type 134
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