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World Telecom Service Market - Fixed, Mobile, Data & Internet
IDATE, Jan 2005
World Telecom Services Market report, focuses on market developments and operator strategies at a time when many operators are announcing slow growth of their revenues and are facing increasing competition.
- The world telecoms services market was worth USD 1,117 billion in 2004. It grew by 5.3%.
- It should reach a value of USD 1,430 billion in 2009, representing average annual growth of 5% between 2005 and 2009.
- The main telecoms operators have seen weak growth in their turnover, but have managed to maintain or improve their profitability.
- Following the mega mergers in North America, all markets are seeing a period of consolidation.
In 2004 the telecommunications services market worldwide was worth USD 1,117 billion, up 5.3% versus 2003. According to the trends seen in the first half of the year, growth will increase slightly in 2005 (+5.5%).
The two main engines of growth remain mobile services and the Internet. Revenues from mobile services increased by 11% in 2004 to reach USD 513 billion, or 46% of total telecoms services revenues. Data services and the Internet saw 8.5% growth in 2004 and accounted for 15% of total telecommunications services. The net increase in revenues from mobile services (+USD 52 billion) and data and Internet services (+USD13 billion) has offset the drop in revenues from fixed telephony (USD -8 billion).
1.2 billion fixed lines, over 2 billion mobile subscribers and 200 million broadband subscribers worldwide at the end of 2005.
Growth in the telecoms services market remains sustained by growth in the number of connections, especially mobile lines. The total number of fixed (including broadband) and mobile lines increased by 15.6% in 2004. The number of fixed lines worldwide in-creased by 5.1% to reach almost USD 1.2 billion (18.9% of the world population) by the end of 2004, while the number of mo-bile subscribers, which exceeded the number of fixed lines in 2002, continued to see strong growth (+298 million, or an increase of 21%). By the end of 2004 there were 1.7 billion mobile subscribers worldwide (27% of the population). The 2 billion mobile subscriber mark should be reached by the end of 2005. Growth in the internet market in terms of subscribers was supported by the boom in broadband. In 2004 the number of Internet subscribers worldwide increased by 13% to reach 404 million, of which 157 million (39% of the total) had a broadband connection (103 million or 29% of the total number of internet subscribers at the end of 2003). By the end of 2005, the number of broadband subscribers should exceed 200 million and represent almost 50% of Internet subscribers worldwide.
Major telecoms operators suffer low growth
Among the major telecommunications operators in terms of turnover, only operators mainly active in emerging markets (like China Mobile, China Telecom, América Móvil) saw strong growth in their turnover in 2004. Operators in industrialised countries, which remain close to the top of the world rankings, posted low growth rates. However, they did continue to show improvements in their profitability first seen in 2003.
- In the USA, the drop in fixed revenues had a major impact on the results of operators, primarily long distance operators. Among regional operators, the healthy dynamic in the mobile services market has made it possible to compensate for the drop in fixed revenues to varying degrees (positive growth for Verizon and BellSouth excluding the sale of its assets in Latin America, stagnation for SBC and a down-turn for Qwest).
- In Japan, NTT remains by far the leading telecommunications operator with a turnover of almost USD 100 billion for the financial year 2004/1005. This figure is down almost 3% and this decrease ex-tends to mobile services. As for KDDI, it saw limited growth (less than 3%), boosted by mobiles.
- In Europe, the growth of major operators that plunged in 2003 versus the years preceding this, remained limited in 2004 (+3.4% for Deutsche Telekom, +2.2% for France Télécom, +1.3% for Telecom Italia), was virtually inexistent (BT with +0.6%, TeliaSonera with –0.6%) or dropped (–6.2% for KPN). The relatively strong growth rate posted by Telefonica is a result of the upturn in Latin American markets and the improvement in exchange rate conditions.
Among the major European incumbents, the growth in mobile and internet services made it possible to offset the effect of the drop in fixed telephony revenues. How ever, it is international activities that are increasingly contributing to their growth (or even exclusively, as is the case with Deutsche Telekom).
**This report can also be purchased as an annual subscription which provides 3 updates during the year.
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