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Dwdm Sub-systems and Components: Markets and Trends
CIR, Jan 2001


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As the market for Dwdm related technology has grown, so has the demand for the various components and sub-systems that are used in Dwdm systems. These components include not only the light sources, detectors and filters that are intrinsic to Dwdm technology, but a variety of other components -- such as connectors, optical isolators, etc. - the market for which has boomed as the result of the rise of Dwdm.
The market for Dwdm sub-systems and components is not easy to understand. And gaining understanding in this industry is made even harder by industry hype. CIR is therefore pleased to announce a new market analysis titled, Dwdm Subsystems And Components: Markets And Trends
, that is designed to provide the reader with the necessary understanding to plan profitable strategies in the Dwdm components marketplace. This report discusses how new trends within the long-haul, metropolitan, access and enterprise Dwdm systems are impacting the Dwdm components and sub-systems market and how, in turn, changes at the Dwdm components and sub-systems level are impacting optical networking. This report also analyzes and forecasts the current and future market opportunities for sub-systems and their related components as well as providing predictions on their future technological evolution.
The Dwdm components market is rife with change. Every week, it seems, we see a new company announce its intention to provide Tunable Lasers, Fiber Bragg Gratings, or some other piece of the Dwdm technology puzzle, or proudly declare that it is the latest winner in the venture capital game. CIR believes strongly that such hype - and unrealistic market forecasts that show the Dwdm components business growing by 500 percent in three years - tends to mask serious issues that will ultimately affect not just the components business, but the future of optical networking itself. We have therefore designed Dwdm Subsystems And Components: Markets And Trends
to lead the reader beyond the hype to the realities of the Dwdm components marketplace.
These realities are complex. Current players and new entrants in the Dwdm components and sub-systems market must consider, not only the development of next generations of components and sub-systems, but changes in the supply chain for such products, along with the impact of new optical materials and manufacturing processes. The Dwdm components market must also respond to the growing use of Dwdm for metro, access and enterprise applications - applications that have different requirements than the traditional long-haul sector - for example coarser wavelength spacing, less need for amplification, and higher cost sensitivities. To what extent components manufacturers will be able to meet the changing requirements of Dwdm equipment manufacturers remains an open question. And then there is the issue of the supply chain - Dwdm component and sub-systems manufacturers must learn to play the supply management and sourcing game to their advantage.
Dwdm Subsystems And Components: Markets And Trends
discusses how such challenges can best be met. But CIR believes that today’s trends in the Dwdm components and sub-systems marketplace have created not only problems for the market but tremendous opportunities as well. And these new opportunities are also discussed by the report. In many ways the developments in the Dwdm components and sub-systems market will not only affect the future of the components business, but the whole optical networking business as well. Indeed, the ability of Dwdm components and sub-systems vendors to adapt to the changing needs of the optical networking marketplace will have a direct impact on service providers’ abilities to address the ongoing public network bandwidth limitations, as well as their abilities to create new services.

This report will also examine the future of the Dwdm components and sub-systems market in the light of the less favorable outlook for the economy and optical industry investments in particular. We believe that the Dwdm components and sub-systems business will eventually face a shake out and start-ups in this area will have a much harder time raising funds than they did in 2000. In part, we believe this shakeout will be driven by the more realistic view about the pace of change of Dwdm deployment that we expect to see the market take. Metro Dwdm has not taken off the way that some analysts firms enthusiastically projected and Sonet still will not seem to go away. And capital expenditure forecasts by telecom service providers are no longer as rosy as they were a year ago.

All of these trends and their impact on the Dwdm components market are explored in Dwdm Subsystems And Components: Markets And Trends
. CIR does not see gloom and doom for the industry. But we do believe that companies need to consider several issues if they are to succeed. The markets have proven themselves to be quite unforgiving to those companies whose management missed the mark. Opportunities remain plentiful but only for those who understand the overall picture.

We at CIR believe that true demand side analysis is the most accurate way of providing research results that companies can trust. The methodology for this report begins with CIR’s understanding of the optical networking business based on our discussions with service providers. We then speak with the systems manufacturers to gain a better understanding of their component and sub-systems purchasing plans as well as their technical requirements, finally moving on to the sub-systems and components manufacturers to evaluate their product, market and technology strategies. The final analyses, forecasts and outlooks drawn from all the data collected will provide a clear, accurate and informed opinion about the market. CIR eschews the media hype and cheerleading that characterizes not only vendor product marketing but also the research and promotion done by other analysts.

The products covered in this report are shown below:
Sub-Systems Covered - Light Sources/Transmitters - Receivers - Multiplexers/Demultiplexers - Connectorization Products - Transponders - Processors - Amplifiers - Raman Gain Modules - Dispersion Compensators Components Covered - Lasers - Modulators - Optical Isolators - Detectors - Filters - Gratings - Interleavers - Wavelength Lockers - Hardware - Connectors, Splitters, Couplers, Attenuators
Dwdm Subsystems And Components: Markets And Trends
contains profiles of both major vendors of Dwdm components and sub-systems and of the components/subsystems requirements of leading Dwdm equipment manufacturers. It also includes a five-year forecast of Dwdm components and sub-systems broken down by type. We believe that this report will be required reading for all marketing, strategy and product managers in the optical components industry, as well as those in the equipment industry, who need to understand how business and technology change in the components and sub-system market will impact their firms. This new CIR report will be available in April.


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