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Integrated Optics in Active Components: A Four-Year Forecast
CIR, June 2003
The report is one in a series that provides comprehensive coverage of the market for integrated optical components. Whereas the previous two volumes have analyzed and forecasted the markets for passive components such as optical switches and Oadms, Volume III provides detailed market forecasts of active components such as transmitters, receivers, transmission arrays, transceivers, transponders and amplification products.
The next report in the series will examine the market opportunities for the various optical integration material platforms such as silicon, silica, indium phosphide (InP), lithium niobate (LiN), gallium arsenide (GaAs) and polymers. The report will profile the leading suppliers using these materials and evaluate both their product strategies and the strategic issues arising from their choices of platforms.
Volume III quantifies the opportunities over the next four years for manufacturers that employ various kinds of optical-integration processes to build components products that are already or are likely to be used in telecom and data communications. For our purposes this means coverage of components that transmit, detect or amplify light, or some combination of these functions, as shown below:
List of Products and Potential Application Areas
Long Haul
Metro
Access
LAN
Backplane / Intra-Computer
Transmission Arrays
Pump arrays
X
X
Array-based tunable transceivers/ transponders
X
X
X
X
Parallel optics
X
X
X
Integrated Transmission Products
Transmitters-on-a-chip
X
X
X
X
X
Receivers-on-a-chip
X
X
X
X
X
Transponders/transceivers-on-a-chip
X
X
X
X
Integrated multi-functional transceiver modules
X
X
X
X
Integrated multi-functional transponder modules
X
X
X
X
Integrated Amplification Products
SOAs
X
X
X
X
X
LOAs
X
X
X
X
X
Edwas
X
X
X
X
X
Integrated multi-functional amplification modules
X
X
X
X
In addition to the primary focus of forecasting specific products and product categories, materials platforms that are used for optical integration in the actives space are also considered. This is because many optical integration businesses today are being built around a particular materials platform in which the firm has protected IP. Also, wherever appropriate, the forecasts are broken out by the network segment in which the products are likely to be used, and there is usually also a discussion of who the leading suppliers of each type of product are and what materials/technology is likely to be used to build the devices.
Finally, the markets that we consider in this report are all within the telecom or datacom sectors. This would hardly have been worth commenting on during the optical boom, since it was assumed that 'optical components' were synonymous with 'optical telecommunications components.' However, in the past year components manufacturers have begun to acknowledge that it could be many years before the telecom sector booms once more and that areas outside of telecom are worth looking at for diversification.
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