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Mobile Location Based Services: Information Services, Tracking, Navigation, Community & Entertainment
Juniper Research, June 2005, Pages: 204
Executive Summary
1. Introduction 2. Global Market Forecasts 3. Regional Market Forecasts 4. Underlying Technology 5. Delivering MLBS 6. Emergency Services 7. Commercial MLBS Applications 8. Operator Experiences of MLBS 9. Supplier Strategies
List of Figures List of Tables Glossary
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Introduction Nature of MLBS Market Drivers and Constraints Operator Experiences with MLBS Delivering MLBS Available Applications Market Estimates The Future of MLBS
1. INTRODUCTION What Are Mobile Location Based Services? Definition of LBS MLBS Building Blocks The Hope for MLBS The Reality Report Scope Report Structure Acknowledgements
2. GLOBAL MARKET FORECASTS Market Drivers and Constraints Market Drivers Market Constraints Privacy and Security Issues Standardisation Network Technologies Interoperability Download and Execution Standards Data Formats Related EC Initiatives and Programmes E-Merge EC Position Project (www.position-project.org)
Forecast Categories & Methodology
Mobile Subscriber Data 2G Mobile Subscribers 2.5G & 3G Mobile Subscribers
Global MLBS Forecasts 2G MLBS Service Revenues Regional MLBS Revenue Forecast MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type Annual ARPU 2.5G & 3G MLBS Service Revenues Regional MLBS Forecast Revenue MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type Total Market for All Mobile Location Based Services Regional MLBS Revenue Forecast MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type
3. REGIONAL MARKET FORECASTS
Mobile Phone Penetration Average Mobile Penetration Rates Mobile Subscriber Growth Rates
North America Mobile Phone Diversities MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type
South America 2.5G and 3G Service Availability MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type
Europe Mobile Phone Densities Provision of MLBS Applications MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type
Asia Pacific Mobile Phone Densities MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type
Rest of the World Mobile Phone Densities MLBS Revenue Forecast by Service Type
4. UNDERLYING TECHNOLOGY Technology Infrastructure
Positioning Technologies Which Technologies Will Operations Invest In?
Technologies Available Cell-ID Enhanced Cell-ID E-OTD TDOA U-TDOA A-GPS E-GPS Positioning Technologies Compared Current Status in Positioning Platform Deployment Location Based Services Using GPS The Galileo Project
Location Middleware Using Location Information to Create Useful Applications Geographic Content The Importance of Data Quality
Handsets for MLBS Consumer Market Business Market
5. DELIVERING MLBS
Partners in the Delivery Chain Selecting the Right Partners Managing Partners in the Chain
Service Architectures, Standards and Data Flows Interfaces Data Flows
Delivering Customer Satisfaction Processing Location Requests Providing Services that Users Want Protection of User Data and Privacy
OSS Implications for Telcos Challenges in Introducing Content Rich Services Selecting Telecom OSS Solutions
Making Money from MLBS Sources of Income in the MLBS Delivery Chain
6. EMERGENCY SERVICES
E911 and E112 Background
Positioning for Emergencies The USA The European Union Other Parts of the World Australia Other Regions
On-going Challenges Weak Links in the Chain Special Characteristics of Mobile Calls Vertical Accuracy Cost Factors and Financing End to End Transmission of the Call Gaining Political Concensus
7. COMMERCIAL MLBS APPLICATIONS
Introduction MLBS Global Revenue Forecasts
Providing Commercial MLBS
The Corporate Market
The Consumer Market
Location Based Information Applications Find and Seek MyFinder Taxi Finding Service Traffic Information Health Alerts Regional Revenue Opportunities
Tracking Applications Resource/Asset Tracking Safety Related Applications Roadside Assistance and Emergency Service Applications
Navigation Applications
Community & Entertainment Applications Community Applications Location Based Games
8. OPERATOR EXPERIENCES OF MLBS
Introduction
Overview of Operator Experiences Business Models and Pricing Positioning Technology Delivery Platforms and Terminals Interoperability and Roaming Markets Addressed
Operator Profiles Bell Mobility Background and Strategy Overview of Services Technology and Partners Future Plans and View of the Market Mobilkom Background and Strategy Overview of Services Supporting Technology and Partners Future Plans and View of the Market O2 Overview of MLBS Services Supporting Technology SK Telecom Background and Strategy Overview of MLBS Services Supporting Technology TeliaSonera Mobile Background and Strategy Overview of MLBS Services Supporting Technology Telstra Mobile Background and Strategy Overview of MLBS Services Supporting Technology Future Plans Vodafone Background and Strategy Overview of MLBS Services Supporting Technology
9. SUPPLIER STRATEGIES
Supply Chain
Positioning Technology Suppliers Cambridge Positioning Systems Background and Strategy: Products and Services Partners and Customers Contact TruePosition Inc. Background and Strategy Products and Services Partners and Customers Future Plans Contacts SiRF Technology Inc. Background and Strategy Products and Services Partners and Customers Contact
Middleware and Location Platform Suppliers Autodesk Location Services Background and Strategy Products and Services LocationLogic 6 Autodesk Mobile Resource Manager Autodesk Location Connect Technology and Partners Future Plans Contact ESRI Background and Strategy Products and Services Partners and Customers Contact MapInfo Background and Strategy Products and Services Envinsa™ Technology and Partners Future Plans Contact TeleComunications Systems Inc. Background and Strategy Products and Services XLP Technology and Partners Future Plans Contact Webraska Background and Strategy Products and Services SmartZone Geospacial and Applications Platforms SmartZone Wireless Applications Suite SmartZone Navigation Suite SmartZone Call Centre Technology and Partners Future Plans Contact
Application Developers Mobile Commerce Ltd Background and Strategy Overview of Services Technology and Partners Future Plans Contact YDreams Company Background Products and Services Live Anywhere Technology and Partnerships Contact
Solution Suppliers Alcatel - MLBS Solution Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Key Partners Customers and Applications Ericsson MLBS Solution Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Add-ons Key Partners Customers and Applications Hewlett-Packard - OpenCall LBS Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Customers and Applications Lucent Technologies - MiLife Location Solution Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Add-ons Key Partners Motorola – ViaMoto Product Set Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Add-ons Key Partners Customers and Applications Nokia - mPosition Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Add-ons Key Partners Customers and Applications Nortel Networks - Univity Mobile Location Centre Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Add-ons Siemens - Siemens Location Solution Base Platform and Location Enabling Middleware Positioning and Delivery Technologies Supported Add-ons Key Partners Customers and Applications
OSS/BSS Suppliers TimesTen Background and Strategy Products and Services Technology Partners and Customers Contacts
LIST OF FORECASTS All regional forecasts cover five regions: North America, South America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Rest of World 2005-2010
TOTAL MOBILE SUBSCRIBERS
Total Mobile Subscribers - Regional Forecast (m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Regional Forecast ($m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m)
2G 2G Mobile Subscribers. Regional Forecast (m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2G Subscribers Regional Forecast ($m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Annual ARPU from MLBS for 2G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($)
2.5 G & 3G 2.5G & 3G Mobile Subscribers. Regional Forecast (m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2.5/3G Subscribers Regional Forecast ($m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2.5/3G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Annual ARPU from MLS for 2.5G/3G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($)
MLBS INFORMATION SERVICES Total Available Revenues from MLBS Information Services. Regional Forecast ($m) % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Information Services Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Information Service User Per Year Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2G MLBS Information Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Information Services Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Information Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Information Service Session. Regional Forecast ($)
MLBS NAVIGATION SERVICES Total Available Revenues from MLBS Navigation Services. Regional Forecast ($m) % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Navigation Services. Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Navigation Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2G MLBS Navigation Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Navigation Services. Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Navigation Service User. Per Year Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Navigation Service Session. Regional Forecast ($)
MLBS TRACKING SERVICES Total Available Revenues from MLBS Tracking Services Regional Forecast ($m) % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Tracking Services. Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Tracking Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2G MLBS Tracking Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Tracking Services. Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Tracking Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Tracking Service Session. Regional Forecast ($)
MLBS COMMUNITY & ENTERTAINMENT SERVICES Total Available Revenues from MLBS Community & Entertainment Services Regional Forecast ($m) % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Community and Entertainment Services. Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Community and Entertainment Services. Regional Forecast Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service Session. Regional Forecast ($)
REGIONAL Average Mobile Penetration Rates by Region (%) Mobile Growth Rates by Region (%) Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for North America. Forecast by Service Type ($m). Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers for South America. Forecast by Service Type ($m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for Europe. Forecast by Service Type ($m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for Asia Pacific Forecast by Service Type ($m) Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for ROW Forecast by Service Type ($m)
LIST OF FIGURES All regional forecasts cover five regions: North America, South America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Rest of World 2005-2010
Figure ES.1: MLBS Meet Fundamental Needs Figure ES.2: MLBS Building Blocks Figure ES.3: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Regional Forecast 2005-2010 ($m). Figure ES.4: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 1: MLBS Building Blocks Figure 2 Market Segmentation and Forecasting Methodology Figure 3: Total Mobile Subscribers Regional Forecast (m) Figure 4: Distribution of Mobile Subscribers (%) Figure 5: 2G Mobile Subscribers. Regional Forecast (m) Figure 6: 2.5G & 3G Mobile Subscribers. Regional Forecast (m) Figure 7: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2G Subscribers Figure 8: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 9: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2.5/3G Subscribers Regional Forecast ($m) Figure 10: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2.5/3G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 11: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Regional Forecast $m) Figure 12: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 14: Average Mobile Penetration Rates by Region (%) Figure 15: Mobile Subscriber Growth Rates by Region (%) Figure 16: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for North America. Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 17: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for South America. Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 18: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for Europe Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 19: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for Asia Pacific Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 20: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for Rest of the World. Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 21: Delivering Mobile Location Based Services Figure 22: Cell Based Positioning Accuracies E-OTD/Matrix Figure 23: Sample Location Middleware Architecture Figure 24: Role of Wireless Network in Delivering Location Based Service Figure 25: Diagram of Location Based Services Architechure Figure 26: Standardising Interfaces for Mobile Location Based Services Figure 27: Example of MLBS Data Flow (1) Figure 28: Example of MLBS Data Flow (2) Figure 29: The Telecom OSS Selection Process Figure 30: Data Flows in E911 Mobile Calls in the US Figure 31: Example of E112 in the UK Figure 32: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Figure 33: MLBS Meet Fundamental Needs Figure 34: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Information Services Regional Forecast ($m) Figure 35: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Tracking Services Regional Forecast ($m) Figure 36: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Navigation Services Regional Forecast ($m) Figure 37: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Community & Entertainment Services. Regional Forecast ($m) Figure 38: Typical TimesTen Implementation
LIST OF TABLES All regional forecasts cover five regions: North America, South America, Europe, Asia Pacific, Rest of World 2005-2010
Table ES.1: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers. Regional Forecast ($m) Table ES.2: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table ES.3: Annual ARPU from MLBS for 2G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type 2005-2010 ($) Table ES.4: Annual ARPU from MLBS for 2.5G/3G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type 2005-2010 ($) Table 1: Total Mobile Subscribers - Regional Forecast (m) Table 2: 2G Mobile Subscribers. Regional Forecast (m) Table 3: 2.5G & 3G Mobile Subscribers. Regional Forecast (m) Table 4: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2G Subscribers Regional Forecast ($m) Table 5: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type $m) Table 6: Annual ARPU from MLBS for 2G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($) Table 7: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2.5/3G Subscribers Regional Forecast ($m) Table 8: Total MLBS Revenues Available from 2.5/3G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table 9: Annual ARPU from MLS for 2.5G/3G Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($) Table 10: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Regional Forecast ($m) Table 11: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table 12: Average Mobile Penetration Rates by Region (%) Table 13: Mobile Growth Rates by Region (%) Table 14: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for North America. Forecast by Service Type ($m). Table 15: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers for South America. Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table 16: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for Europe. Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table 17: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for Asia Pacific Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table 18: Total MLBS Revenues Available from all Mobile Subscribers for ROW Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table 19: Comparison of MLBS Positioning Technologies Table 20: Participants in the MBLS Delivery Chain with Examples of Companies Table 21: Sources of Income in the MLBS Delivery Chain Table 22: FCC Requirement for E-911 Positioning Accuracy Table 23: Recommended Accuracy Levels for Caller Finding Table 24: Total MLBS Revenues Available from All Mobile Subscribers Forecast by Service Type ($m) Table 25: Type of Application against Required Capability Table 26: % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Information Services Regional Forecast Table 27: % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Information Services Regional Forecast Table 28: Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Information Service User Per Year Regional Forecast Table 29: Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Information Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Table 30: Average Price Per 2G MLBS Information Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 31: Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Information Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 32: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Information Services. Regional Forecast ($m) Table 33: % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Tracking Services. Regional Forecast Table 34: % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Tracking Services. Regional Forecast Table 35: Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Tracking Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Table 36: Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Tracking Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Table 37: Average Price Per 2G MLBS Tracking Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 38: Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Tracking Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 39: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Tracking Services Regional Forecast ($m) Table 40: % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Navigation Services. Regional Forecast Table 41: % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Navigation Services. Regional Forecast Table 42: Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Navigation Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Table 43: Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Navigation Service User. Per Year Regional Forecast Table 44: Average Price Per 2G MLBS Navigation Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 45: Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Navigation Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 46: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Navigation Services. Regional Forecast ($m) Table 47: % 2G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Community and Entertainment Services. Regional Forecast Table 48: % 2.5G & 3G Users Who Actively Use MLBS Community and Entertainment Services. Regional Forecast Table 49: Average Number of Sessions per 2G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Table 50: Average Number of Sessions per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service User Per Year. Regional Forecast Table 51: Average Price Per 2G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 52: Average Price Per 2.5G & 3G MLBS Community and Entertainment Service Session. Regional Forecast ($) Table 53: Total Available Revenues from MLBS Community & Entertainment Services Regional Forecast ($m)
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