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Viewing report
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Retail VoIP in Western Europe: Forecasts 2005-2010
Analysys Mason Group, Sep 2005
Introduction The development of retail VoIP in Europe
Taxonomy of VoIP Three business models for mass-market VoIP
Snapshot of retail VoIP VoIP subscribers Usage patterns Skype Private VoIP applications Pricing
Barriers and drivers of retail VoIP Broadband Cable POTS Carrier-internal VoIP Incumbents Naked DSL
Individual markets Austria Belgium Denmark Finland France Germany Greece Ireland Italy Netherlands Norway Portugal Spain Sweden Switzerland United Kingdom
Forecasts
Author, acknowledgements and disclaimer
Figures and Tables
Figure 1 Call and payment flow for typical voice sold with access VoIP
Figure 2 Call and payment flow for typical voice sold without access
Figure 3 Call and payment flow for typical DIY VoIP
Figure 4 Skype downloads, worldwide registered users and estimated active users to June 2005
Figure 5 Skype minutes of use per registered user and active user, October 2004–June2005
Figure 6 Simultaneous users of Skype, September 2003–June 2005
Figure 7 Skype penetration as a percentage of broadband subscribers
Figure 8 Skype usage as percentage of all fixed calls, first quarter 2005
Figure 9 Total fixed voice minutes, first quarter 2005
Figure 10 Factors shaping retail VoIP business plans
Figure 11 Difference in price between Tele2 POTS and leading national VoIP provider
Figure 12 Incumbent share of national fixed-to-fixed minutes, fourth quarter 2003–fourth quarter 2004
Figure 13 Broadband penetration rates in Europe, 2005–2010
Figure 14 Broadband market share by access type
Figure 15 Unbundled lines and broadband connections other than cable or DSL as a percentage of all broadband connections
Figure 16 Cable-modem markets in Europe by retail VoIP addressable markets
Figure 17 Subscribers of ISPs using incumbent DSL by country in Europe
Figure 18 Retail VoIP pricing pressures
Figure 19 Average spend per minute on traditional fixed voice versus the percentage of calls originating on the fixed network
Figure 20 Carrier-internal VoIP implementation phases
Figure 21 Options for mainstream fixed operators faced with the threat of retail VoIP
Figure 22 Incumbents exposure to fixed–mobile substitution according to non-incumbent access
Figure 23 Key assumptions and inputs for retail VoIP in Western Europe forecasts
Figure 24 Subscribers and active users of retail VoIP services, Western Europe, 2005–2010
Figure 25 Residential subscribers to paid-for retail VoIP services in larger Western European markets, 2005–2010
Figure 26 Residential subscribers to paid-for retail VoIP services in smaller Western European markets, 2005–2010
Figure 27 Total spend on residential and small business retail VoIP services in Western Europe, 2005–2010
Figure 28 Retail residential VoIP minutes as percentage of residential fixed voice minutes, total residential voice minutes, 2010
Figure 29 Small business subscribers to paid-for retail VoIP services in larger Western European markets, 2005–2010
Table 1 Average usage for residential telephone line, selected Western European markets, fourth quarter 2004
Table 2 Key factors for VoIP penetration of residential broadband subscribers
Table 3 Key factors for VoIP penetration of small business broadband subscribers
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