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Motor Finance Market Assessment 2005
Key Note Publications Ltd, Sep 2005
Executive Summary
1. Introduction
BACKGROUND
OBJECTIVES
METHODOLOGY
DEFINITION Personal Loans Hire Purchase Personal Contract Plans Cash
2. Strategic Overview
MARKET DYNAMICS AND SEGMENTATION
Market Drivers New and Used Car Sales Table 1: New Car and Commercial Vehicle Registrations in the UK by Volume, 2000-2004 Figure 1: New Car and Commercial Vehicle Registrations in the UK by Volume, 2000-2004 Table 2: The Apparent UK Market for Motor Vehicles and Components by Sector by Value (£m at msp), 2000-2004 Car Prices The Current Status of the Market Total Industry Value and Growth Table 3: New Business for Motor Finance in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004 Figure 2: New Business for Motor Finance in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004 Table 4: New Business for Motor Finance for New Cars by Method of Purchase by Value (£m and %), 2000-2004 Table 5: New Business for Motor Finance for Used Cars by Method of Purchase by Value (£m and %), 2000-2004 The Largest Sector The Sector with the Highest Growth Rate The Sector with the Lowest Growth Rate The Smallest Sector
DISTRIBUTION
Regional Distribution Table 6: Breakdown of UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Motor Trade by Region (number and %), 2004
COMPETITIVE STRUCTURE
Finance Companies Table 7: Total Lending to Individuals (£m), 2000-2004 Manufacturers Subprime Lenders Aggregators
FRAUD AND MONEY LAUNDERING
ADVERTISING
THE CONSUMER Who is the Consumer? Table 8: Number of Cars Licensed in the UK (000), 2000-2004 Table 9: Age of Only or Most Recently Purchased Car (% of households), 2004 Factors Affecting the Consumer Gross Domestic Product Table 10: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Chain-Linked Prices (£m), 2000-2004 Unemployment Table 11: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 2000-2004 Household Disposable Income Table 12: Household Disposable Income per Capita (£), 2000-2004 Inflation Table 13: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2000-2004 Equity Withdrawal Table 14: Mortgage Equity Withdrawal in the UK (£m and %), 2000-2004 and Quarter 1 2005
MARKET FORECASTS Table 15: Forecast New Business for Motor Finance by Value (£m), 2005-2009
3. New Cars
BACKGROUND Table 16: UK New Car Registrations by Volume (000), 2000-2004
MARKET SIZE Table 17: New Business for Motor Finance for New Cars in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004
MAJOR SUPPLIERS Manufacturers Table 18: Selected Leading UK-Registered Motor-Vehicle Manufacturers by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£m), 2003/2004 Table 19: New Car Registrations in the UK by Manufacturer (number and %), 2003 and 2004 Car Models Table 20: The Top Ten Car Models in the UK by New Registrations (number and %), 2004
MARKETING ACTIVITY
ADVERTISING Table 21: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Motor Manufacturers (£000), Years Ending March 2004 and 2005
DISTRIBUTION Table 22: Selected Leading UK-Registered Motor Dealerships by Turnover and Pre-Tax Profit (£m), 2003/2004
4. Used Cars
BACKGROUND
MARKET SIZE Table 23: New Business for Motor Finance for Used Cars in the UK by Value (£m and %), 2000-2004
DISTRIBUTION
5. Personal Loans
BACKGROUND
MARKET SIZE Table 24: Personal Loans to Finance New-Car Purchases in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004 Table 25: Personal Loans to Finance Used-Car Purchases in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004
MARKET SHARE Table 26: Typical Offerings for Unsecured Loans (% and £), August 2005
CONSUMER TRENDS
ADVERTISING Table 27: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Secured Personal Loans (£000), Years Ending March 2004 and 2005 Table 28: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Unsecured Personal Loans (£000), Years Ending March 2004 and 2005
DISTRIBUTION
INSURANCE
6. Hire Purchase
BACKGROUND
MARKET SIZE Table 29: Hire Purchase to Finance New-Car Purchases in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004 Table 30: Hire Purchase to Finance Used-Car Purchases in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004
CONSUMER TRENDS
MARKETING ACTIVITY
DISTRIBUTION
7. Personal Contract Plans
BACKGROUND
MARKET SIZE Table 31: Personal Contract Plans to Finance New-Car Purchases in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004 Table 32: Personal Contract Plans to Finance Used-Car Purchases in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2004
CONSUMER TRENDS
MARKETING ACTIVITY
ADVERTISING Table 33: Main Media Advertising Expenditure on Personal Contract Plans (£000), Years Ending March 2004 and 2005
DISTRIBUTION
8. An International Perspective
MARKET DEVELOPMENTS The Global Car Industry Table 34: Global Production of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles by Country by Volume (number and %), 2002 and 2003 Figure 3: Global Production of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles by the Top Ten Countries by Volume (number), 2002 and 2003 Europe — Block Exemptions
EUROPEAN CAR MARKET By Volume Table 35: New Registrations of Passenger Cars and Commercial Vehicles in Europe by Country (number), 2000-2004
CONSUMER BEHAVIOUR
9. PEST Analysis
POLITICAL FACTORS ECONOMIC FACTORS SOCIAL FACTORS TECHNOLOGICAL FACTORS
10. Consumer Dynamics
INTRODUCTION Table 36: Summary of Results (% of respondents), 2005
OWNERSHIP OF CARS 'Owning A Car Outright Is Important To Me' 'I Use My Car As A Means Of Getting From A To B, Rather Than As A Status Symbol' Table 37: Importance of Outright Car Ownership, and Cars as a Means of Transport Rather than a Status Symbol (% of respondents), 2005
FEW REPLACE THEIR CAR REGULARLY 'I Replace My Car Regularly' 'I Intend To Finance My Next Car In The Same Way As My Last Car' Table 38: Regularly Replacing Cars, and Financing the Next Car in the Same Way as the Last Car (% of respondents), 2005
CASH PAYMENT MORE POPULAR THAN LOANS FROM A CAR DEALER 'The Next Time I Buy A Car I Will Pay For It Outright In Cash' 'I Expect To Finance My Next Car Through A Loan Arranged Through A Car Dealer' Table 39: Importance of Outright Car Ownership, and Financing the Next Car Through a Loan Arranged Through a Car Dealer (% of respondents), 2005
FEW PLAN TO PURCHASE A CAR USING FINANCE ARRANGED ONLINE 'I Expect To Finance My Next Car Through Finance Arranged Online' 'I Expect To Finance My Next Car Through A Car Manufacturer Direct' Table 40: Expectations of Financing Cars Through Finance Arranged on the Internet, and Direct Through a Car Manufacturer (% of respondents), 2005
SLIGHTLY MORE PLAN TO BORROW TO PURCHASE A USED CAR THAN A NEW ONE 'I Expect To Borrow To Buy A New Car' 'I Expect To Borrow To Buy A Used Car, Which Will Be Up To 1 Year Old' Table 41: Expectations of Borrowing Money to Buy a New Car, and a Used Car Less Than 1 Year Old (% of respondents), 2005 'I Expect To Borrow To Buy A Used Car Over 1 Year Old' 'I Do Not Drive/Have A Car' Table 42: Expectations to Borrow to Buy a Used Car Over 1 Year Old, and Do Not Drive/Have a Car (% of respondents), 2005
HIRE PURCHASE HAS LITTLE APPEAL 'I Intend To Lease My Next Car' 'The Next Time I Buy A Car I Will Use Hire-Purchase Finance' Table 43: Intention to Lease the Next Car, or to Use Hire Purchase to Finance the Next Car (% of respondents), 2005
LITTLE ENTHUSIASM FOR DEFERRED PAYMENT PLANS 'I Will Finance My Next Car By A Deferred Payment Deal' 'I Expect To Finance My Next Car Through A Loan From My Bank' Table 44: Financing the Next Car Using Deferred Payment, and Through a Bank Loan (% of respondents), 2005
FEW PLANNING TO TAKE OUT A LOAN FROM THEIR BUILDING SOCIETY 'I Expect To Finance My Next Car Through A Loan From My Building Society' Table 45: Expectation of Financing the Next Car with a Building Society Loan (% of respondents), 2005
11. Company Profiles
INTRODUCTION
ALLIANCE & LEICESTER PLC Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
AUTOMOBILE ASSOCIATION Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
BARCLAYS PLC Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
FORD MOTOR CREDIT Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
GE CAPITAL WOODCHESTER LTD Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
GMAC FINANCIAL SERVICES Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
HBOS PLC Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
HSBC HOLDINGS PLC Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
LLOYDS TSB GROUP PLC Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
NATIONWIDE BUILDING SOCIETY Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
PARAGON CAR FINANCE Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND Group PLC Corporate Strategy Strengths and Weaknesses New Product Development Brand Development Innovations Research Appointments Advertising Profitability Future Company Developments
12. The Future
THE ECONOMY Gross Domestic Product Table 46: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product in Real Terms (%), 2005-2009 Inflation Table 47: Forecast UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2005-2009 Unemployment Table 48: Forecast Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 2005-2009 Other Economic Indicators Demographics Table 49: The Projected UK Population by Age, 2002, 2006 and 2011
MERGERS AND ACQUISTIONS
FORECASTS 2005 TO 2009 Table 50: Forecast New Business for Motor Finance in the UK by Value (£m), 2005-2009 Figure 4: Forecast New Business for Motor Finance in the UK by Value (£m), 2005-2009
MARKET GROWTH Figure 5: Forecast New Business for Motor Finance in the UK by Value (£m), 2000-2009 13. Consumer Confidence
METHODOLOGY
THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant May 2003 Prices (£ and £bn), May 2003, November 2004, February 2005 and May 2005 Consumers Willing to Borrow Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), May 2003, November 2004, February 2005 and May 2005
THE WILLINGNESS TO SPEND FROM SAVINGS Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant May 2003 Prices (£ and £bn), May 2003, November 2004, February 2005 and May 2005 Table D: The Average Amounts Adults Are Confident Spending To Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), May 2003, November 2004, February 2005 and May 2005
14. Further Sources
Associations Publications General Sources Government Sources Other Sources Bonnier Information Sources
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