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Courier & Express Services Market Report 2005
Key Note Publications Ltd, Nov 2005

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Executive Summary

1. Market Definition

REPORT COVERAGE

MARKET SECTORS
National Post
Other Courier and Express Services

MARKET TRENDS
Liberalisation of National Postal Markets
Opening of Royal Mail Business to Competition
National Postal Administrations as Global Competitors
Home Delivery and The Internet

ECONOMIC TRENDS
Population
Table 1: UK Resident Population Estimates by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2000-2004
Gross Domestic Product
Table 2: UK Gross Domestic Product at Current and Annual Prices (£m), 2000-2004
Inflation
Table 3: UK Rate of Inflation (%), 2000-2004
Unemployment
Table 4: Actual Number of Unemployed Persons (million), 2000-2004
Household Disposable Income
Table 5: Household Disposable Income Per Capita (£), 2000-2004

MARKET POSITION
The UK
Table 6: Share of UK Courier and Express Services Sector in Total UK Freight Transport Market by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2000-2004
Overseas

2. Market Size

THE TOTAL MARKET
Table 7: The Total UK Courier and Express Services Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2000-2004
Figure 1: The Total UK Courier and Express Services Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2000-2005
Table 8: The Total UK Courier and Express Services Market by Sector by Value at Constant 2000 Prices (£m), 2000-2004

BY MARKET SECTOR
National Post Activities
Table 9: The National Post Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2000-2004
Table 10: The National Post Sector by Value at Constant 2000 Prices (£m), 2000-2004
Other Courier and Express Services
Table 11: The Other Courier and Express Services Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2000-2004
Table 12: The Other Courier and Express Services Sector by Value at Constant 2000 Prices (£m), 2000-2004
Figure 2: The UK Courier and Express Services Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2000-2004

3. Industry Background

RECENT HISTORY
The National Post
Other Courier and Express Services
Influences on the Sector as a Whole

NUMBER OF COMPANIES
Table 13: UK VAT-Based Enterprises Engaged in the Courier and Express Services Sector by Turnover Sizeband (number and %), 2004

EMPLOYMENT
Table 14: Number of Employee Jobs in the Courier and Express Services Sector in Great Britain (000), as at June 2000-2004

REGIONAL VARIATIONS IN THE MARKETPLACE

HOW ROBUST IS THE MARKET?

LEGISLATION
UK Transport Legislation
General Policies
The Working Time Directive
EU Civil Aviation Legislation
Liberalisation of Postal Markets
The UK
Other Markets
UK Business Legislation

KEY TRADE ASSOCIATIONS
Association of International Courier and Express Services
Despatch Association
European Express Association
Other Related Trade Associations

4. Competitor Analysis

THE MARKETPLACE

MARKET LEADERS

Business Express Network Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

Business Post Group PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

DHL
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

FedEx Corporation
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

GeoPost UK Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

Lynx Express Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

Parcelnet Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

Royal Mail Holdings PLC
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

TNT Express Worldwide (UK) Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

UPS Ltd
Company Structure
Current and Future Developments
Financial Results

OUTSIDE SUPPLIERS
Transport Providers
Computer Services
Advertising and Other Business Services
Fuel Suppliers
Motor Vehicles and Aircraft
Table 15: Expenditure of the Courier and Express Services Sector by Supplying Sector by Value (£m and %), 2003

MARKETING ACTIVITY
Table 16: Main Media Advertising Expenditure by Major Courier and Express Companies (£000 and %), Years Ending June 2004 and 2005
Exhibitions and Trade Shows
Table 17: Major Exhibitions of Relevance to the Courier and Express Services Sector, 2005 and 2006

5. Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats

STRENGTHS
WEAKNESSES
OPPORTUNITIES
THREATS

6. Buying Behaviour

PURCHASING PROFILE
Table 18: Value of Purchases of Courier and Express Services by Purchasing Sector (£m and %), 2003
Financial and Legal Services
Wholesale and Retail Distribution
Public Administration and Defence

7. Current Issues

E-COMMERCE AND THE INTERNET
The impact of customs restrictions
FUEL PRICES (including taxes)
Road pricing and demand management
Congestion Charging
Transport Innovation Fund
Access to UK regional airports
Security requirements
Low-cost carriers
Product Development
Consumer Demand
Corporate Activity
Brands
Acquisitions
European legislation
Harmonisation of Social Legislation
European Postal Reform
The Working Time Directive
Environmental Issues
Aircraft Noise and Night Flights
The Climate Change Levy
Aviation and Climate Change

8. The Global Market

GLOBAL INDUSTRY STRUCTURE

MARKET SIZE
Table 19: The World Courier and Express Services Market by Region by Value at Current Prices ($bn and %), 2003

WORLD TRADE AND THE GLOBAL MARKET

BUYING BEHAVIOUR

THE EUROPEAN MARKET

THE FUTURE

9. Forecasts

INTRODUCTION
Economic Background
Table 20: Forecast UK Growth in Gross Domestic Product, Inflation and Unemployment (% and million), 2005-2009

FORECASTS 2005 TO 2009
Table 21: The Total Forecast UK Courier and Express Services Market by Sector by Value at Current Prices (£m and %), 2005-2009
Table 22: The Total Forecast UK Courier and Express Services Market by Sector by Value at Constant 2000 Prices (£m and %), 2005-2009
Market Growth
Figure 3: Market Growth of the UK Courier and Express Services Market by Value at Current Prices (£m), 2000-2009

FUTURE TRENDS
Demographics
Table 23: Forecast UK Resident Population by Sex (000), Mid-Years 2005-2009
Market Segmentation
Future Capacity Issues
Road Freight
Air Freight
Technological Changes
Competitive Strategies

10. Company Profiles

Business Express Network Ltd
Business Post Group PLC
DHL Express (UK) Ltd
GeoPost UK Ltd
Lynx Express Ltd
Parcelnet Ltd
Royal Mail Holdings PLC
TNT Express Worldwide (UK) Ltd
UPS Ltd

11. Consumer Confidence

METHODOLOGY

THE WILLINGNESS TO BORROW
Table A: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), November 2004, February 2005, May 2005 and August 2005
The Desire to Borrow is Waning
Table B: The Number of Adults Willing to Borrow in Order to Purchase Expensive Items (000 and %), November 2004, February 2005, May 2005 and August 2005

THE WILLINGNESS TO SPEND FROM SAVINGS
Table C: The Average Amount Consumers Are Willing to Spend from Savings in Order to Purchase Expensive Items at Current and Constant November 2004 Prices (£ and £bn), November 2004, February 2005, May 2005 and August 2005
Confidence is Fragile
Table D: The Average Amounts Adults Are Confident Spending to Purchase Expensive Items (£ and %), November 2004, February 2005, May 2005 and August 2005
The Extremes Contract

12. Further Sources

Associations
Publications
General Sources
Government Publications
Other Sources
Bonnier Information Sources




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