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Naked DSL: challenges and opportunities
Analysys Mason Group, Jan 2006
Naked DSL (NDSL) breaks the association between DSL broadband service and the PSTN service, so that a customer may cancel an existing PSTN service, but retain the DSL service. Until recently, incumbent telcos had tended to resist NDSL because of the immediate revenue loss from the absence of the PSTN subscription, and the fear that it would exacerbate the move of voice usage away from the PSTN towards mobile and Voice over IP (VoIP). Naked DSL: challenges and opportunities examines the current status of naked DSL and assesses its likely development in regulatory and implementation terms.
NDSL is now beginning to be offered (in a rather ad hoc manner) by a few incumbent telcos in Europe and North America. Some industry observers have suggested that NDSL could have a serious effect on incumbents by deeply eroding the core PSTN revenues that still underpin much of their revenues and profitability. The report uses modelling to address the crucial issue of the potential impact of NDSL on incumbent telcos' revenues and margins, and places this in the context of the overall effect of NDSL on the telecoms market and competitive environment. The report assesses the potential of NDSL in furthering fixed–mobile convergence, and examines the impacts and opportunities for a range of players: incumbents, alternative network operators, ISPs and mobile operators.
Naked DSL: challenges and opportunities answers your key questions:
- What is the current status of naked DSL?
- How is NDSL likely to develop in regulatory and implementation terms?
- Is DSL likely to become a mandatory requirement in important jurisdictions, or will it be offered widely enough to reach de facto market status?
- How would NDSL affect incumbents, broadband operators and mobile operators in market and competitive terms? Does NDSL really present a serious threat to incumbent business models?
- Does NDSL present a significant business opportunity within the wider context of fixed–mobile convergence?
- What might be the financial effects on incumbents of the introduction of NDSL?
- What are the strategic options and responses facing incumbents for NDSL?
Who should read this report
Incumbent telecoms operators: corporate strategy executives, regulatory affairs, public policy, broadband/access network executives and business development managers who need to understand the threats and opportunities that Naked DSL (NDSL) poses and to devise an NDSL strategy
Alternative telecoms operators, ISPs and mobile operators: corporate strategy executives, regulatory affairs, public policy personnel and business development managers who need to assess the opportunities and impacts of NDSL on the competitive telecoms environment and the medium- to long-term business development opportunities it may offer
ISPs and VoIP providers: senior management can gain insight into the the impact that NDSL will have on telecoms operators and the potential opportunities it provides to their own businesses
Investors and financial analysts: who need to understand the financial impact of NDSL on incumbent telcos and assess the opportunities and impact of NDSL on the competitive telecoms environment over the next five to ten years
Telecom equipment vendors: market intelligence, business development and regulatory affairs executives who are seeking to develop new markets through new forms of broadband access
Regulators: economists, competition advisors, policy advisors in broadband, access network, unbundling, local loop, who need an assessment of the impact of NDSL on telecoms operators as part of their work in establishing a regulatory framework for NDSL.
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