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Oil Sands - Alberta 2006: Projects, Participants & Market Opportunities
Utilis Energy, LLC
Preface
Summary & overview Introduction Report structure
Understanding oil sands Introduction Definition of oil sands Historic developments Development drivers and challenges Extraction of oil sands Transporting oil sands/bitumen Crude oil pipelines Diluted bitumen pipelines Pipeline developments Pipeline jurisdiction Estimated value of investment Conclusions
Oil sands economics Introduction Economic viability Cost structure Mining process In-situ bitumen production Upgrading The role of natural gas Taxes and royalties Legal and regulatory issues Environmental impact Conclusions
Oil sands projects Introduction The Athabasca Oil Sands Project BlackRock Ventures Inc. Canadian Natural Resources Canadian Oil Sands Trust Chevron Corporation ConocoPhillips Devon Energy Corporation EnCana Energy Habanero Resources Inc. Husky Energy Imperial Oil JACOS Meg Energy Corp. Oilsands Quest Inc. Opti Canada/Nexen Penn West Energy Trust Petro-Canada Shell Canada Suncor Energy Syncrude Canada Ltd. Deer Creek Energy Limited ExxonMobil / Imperial Oil Synenco Energy TOTAL / Total E&P Canada Ltd. Connacher Oil and Gas Limited Petrobank Energy and Resources/Whitesands In-Situ Ltd. Value Creation Group/BA Energy Inc. UTS Energy Corporation Small scale ‘primary’ bitumen producers
Recommendations & conclusions Introduction Develop projects with sufficient scale Integrate upgrader operations Use risk management tools to lessen price risk Enter into term sales and marketing contracts Develop further markets for synthetic crude Conclusions
Appendix 1 – Production / project breakdown
Appendix 2 - Sources
TABLES Table 1: Bitumen chemical specifications Table 2: Forward NYMEX crude prices, 2006-2012 (Dec) $US/bbl Table 3: Oil sands reserves (in development) by type, 19976-2005 Table 4: Oil sands production by type, 1997-2005 Table 5: Oil sands production cost comparison, 1985-2004 ($ per barrel) Table 6: Forecast upgrader expansion by company 2003-2010 Table 7: Oil Sands project status 2005 Table 8: Deer Creek bitumen production timeline Table 9: Bitumen production by company and project, 2006 (a) Table 10: Bitumen production by company and project, 2006 (b) Table 11: Bitumen production by company and project, 2006 (c) Table 12: Bitumen production by company and project, 2006 (d) Table 13: Bitumen production by company and project, 2006 (e) Table 14: Largest oil sands projects under development, 2006 Table 15: Sources and contributors
FIGURES Figure 1: Oil sands industry revenues, 1996-2006 Figure 2: Oil sands production by region, 2006 Figure 3: Comparative oil reserves, 2005 Figure 4: Composition of oil sands Figure 5: Oil sands reserves (in development) by type, 1996-2005 Figure 6: Oil sands production by type, 1996-2005 Figure 7: Oil sands production by type, 2005-2015 Figure 8: Major Canadian oil pipelines Figure 9: Existing and pipelines under development Figure 10: Potential Gateway Pipeline route to the West Coast Figure 11: Planned route Waupiscoo pipeline corridor Figure 12: Oil sands capital spending, 1996-2005 Figure 13: Oil sands capital spending forecast, 2006-2012 Figure 14: Oil sands impact on Canadian GDP ($bn) Figure 15: Quantities of oil sands required to create a barrel of synthetic crude oil Figure 16: Production cost comparison, 1985-2004 ($ per barrel) Figure 17: Bitumen production costs - oil sands mining operations ($ per barrel) Figure 18: Bitumen production costs in-situ operations ($ per barrel) Figure 19: ‘Huff and Puff’ cyclic steam bitumen recovery Figure 20: SAGD in-situ bitumen production Figure 21: Upgrader capacity, 1996-2005 Figure 22: Upgrader capacity forecast 2003-2010 Figure 23: Oil sands natural gas demand (cubic feet/barrel) Figure 24: Oil sands royalty payments, 1996-2005 ($bn) Figure 25: Alberta Government oil sands revenues, 1998-2025 Figure 26: Locations of Alberta oil sands projects Figure 27: Athabasca Oil Sand Project assets Figure 28: Horizon project site map Figure 29: Production forecast Wolflake, Primrose, Horizon, 2004-2016 Figure 30: Suncor oil sands production (bbl/d), 1998-2005 Figure 31: Suncor oil sand production forecast, 2006-2012 Figure 32: Syncrude oil sands partners Figure 33: Deer Creek Energy Joslyn Project Figure 34: Location of Great Divide asset Figure 35: Connacher Great Divide oil sands leases Figure 36: Connacher Great Divide oil sand Pod locations Figure 37: Heartland Upgrader pipeline interconnections
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