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Fibre in the Last Mile: The Business Case for FTTP and VDSL
Analysys Mason Group, July 2006
'Incumbent operators and their financiers are now being forced to make very long-term decisions about the kind of network investment they will need in order to develop video services and fend off new competitive threats in their existing markets. Both VDSL2 and FTTP deployments will demand high levels of financial collateral. Given these high costs, in which markets is there a business case for these services?'
Martin Scott, Research Analyst
Incumbent telcos, and some alternative operators, are investing heavily in a next generation of broadband suitable for the delivery of TV. Fibre in the Last Mile: the business case for FTTP and VDSL assesses the last-mile options (ADSL2+, FTTP/PON, VDSL as well as the role of WiMAX) available to operators wishing to launch or upgrade their TV services and examines the business cases for VDSL and FTTP roll-outs. It brings together an assessment of the costs of deployment, the evidence of consumer demand for bandwidth, and an overview of the important regulatory dimension of incumbent second-generation broadband build, in order to offer return-on-investment scenarios for operators in European country markets. This report provides forecasts of bandwidth demand to 2014, and models the return on investment for the next 20 years. It is aimed at any operator, investor or manufacturer wishing to know their markets better, and the potential applications for their services and technologies.
Fibre in the Last Mile: the business case for FTTP and VDSL answers your key questions:
- Should operators invest in fibre yet, or will xDSL technologies be sufficient to meet near-future demand?
- When can a return on investment be expected for VDSL and FTTP build-outs?
- What impact will IPTV and HDTV have on revenues and on bandwidth demand?
- What bandwidths will consumers demand by 2014?
- To what extent will video compression weaken consumer demand for bandwidth – and if so, will ADSL2+ and VDSL2 be sufficient?
- Ultimately, can operators afford fibre?
Who should read this report
Incumbent operators: understand broadband drivers and demand, through detailed forecasts to 2014. This report will tell you whether you can, or should be, rolling out fibre.
Broadcast TV companies and other media-industry players: discover the opportunities that VDSL and FTTP provide for VOD solutions, or how it could otherwise benefit your direct competitors.
Financial institutions, investors and analysts: understand the demand and financial implications of next-generation broadband access for the European media and telecoms industries.
Cable operators: develop a view of how the competitive landscape is changing and how different access technologies and applications can have an impact upon customer spend and adoption.
Vendors of telecoms equipment: focus your marketing of broadband and video distribution solutions by being aware of the potential demand for these services.
** Both options PDF and Hardcopy come with an Excel data annex and half an hour of Analyst Support
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