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Green Energy in the US: Renewable Investment, Capacity Growth and Future Outlook
Business Insights, June 2007, Pages: 153

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Green Energy in the US
Executive Summary
Market development
Wind power
Solar power
Hydropower
Geothermal power
Biopower
Ocean power
Outlook
Abbreviations

Chapter 1 Market development
Summary
Overview of the US electricity infrastructure
Generation and installed capacity
Sectoral distribution of generation
Sales, revenue, and average retail price
Overview of renewable energy in the US
Background
Installed capacity and growth of renewables
Drivers of renewable energy
Production tax credit (PTC)
State level Renewable energy Portfolio Standards (RPS)
Growing public support for action on climate change
Increasing political will to address climate change
Increasing corporate activism
Increasing investments
Resistors of renewable energy
Failure to price carbon dioxide emissions
Licensing and permitting issues
Environmental issues
Discontinuity in PTC
Transmission issues
Comparative economics
Global comparison

Chapter 2 Wind power
Summary
Overview
Current scenario
Installed capacity and generation
Global comparison
State level analysis
Key players
Economics
Drivers of wind power
Continuity in PTC
Strong public and political support
Increasing economic competitiveness of wind power
Resistors of wind power
Lack of continuity in the PTC
Environmental issues
Transmission constraints and costs
Constraints in the supply of turbines
Wind power potential and outlook
Wind Power Potential
Outlook for wind power

Chapter 3 Solar power
Summary
Overview
Current scenario
Installed capacity and generation
Global comparison
State level analysis
Key players
Economics
Drivers of solar power
The Federal Investment Tax Credit
The “President’s Solar America Initiative”
California Solar Initiative
Increasing corporate interest in solar power
Increased VC funding in solar power
State level RPS Targets
Resistors of solar power
Shortage of silicon
High cost
Solar power potential and outlook
Solar power potential
Outlook for solar power

Chapter 4 Hydropower
Summary
Overview
Current scenario
Installed capacity and generation
Global comparison
State level analysis
Key players
Economics
Drivers of hydropower
Licensing reforms
Inclusion of incremental hydropower under PTC
The DOE Hydropower Program
Resistors of hydropower
Licensing issues due to environmental concerns
Capital intensive but lacking incentives
Hydropower potential and outlook
Hydropower potential
Outlook for hydropower

Chapter 5 Geothermal power
Summary
Overview
Current scenario
Installed capacity and generation
Global comparison
State level analysis
Key players
Economics
Drivers of geothermal power
Introduction of PTC for geothermal
DOE’s Geothermal Technologies Program
Geothermal Resource Exploration and Development Program
Increased environmental concerns
Resistors of geothermal power
Short time horizon for PTC
Leasing issues
Cost constraints and transmission issues
Scant research funding
Geothermal power potential and outlook
Geothermal power potential
Outlook for geothermal power

Chapter 6 Biopower
Summary
Overview
Current scenario
Installed capacity and generation
Global comparison
Key players
Economics
Drivers of biopower
Attractive economics of co-firing
Environmentally friendly power generation
Employment generation
DOE biopower program
Resistors of biopower
Lack of subsidies or any strong incentive program
Cost constraints
Constraints in the supply of raw material
Biopower potential and outlook
Biopower potential
Outlook for biopower

Chapter 7 Ocean power
Summary
Overview
Current scenario
Global comparison
Key players
Economics
Drivers of ocean power
Energy Policy Act of 2005
State and city government initiatives
Private investments
Resistors of ocean power
Lack of federal support
Sitting and leasing issues
Cost constraints
Ocean power potential and outlook
Ocean power potential
Outlook for ocean power

Chapter 8 Future outlook
Summary
Outlook for the US electricity sector
Outlook for renewables
EIA outlook
Alternative scenarios
Abbreviations
Index

List of Figures
Figure 1.1: Net generation shares by energy source, 2006
Figure 1.2: US electric power industry, net summer capacity, 2005
Figure 1.3: Net generation shares by sector, 2006
Figure 1.4: Crude oil spot prices, 1982-2006 29
Figure 1.5: Net generation by energy source, 2006
Figure 1.6: CAGR (2001-2005) of various energy sources in the US
Figure 1.7: RPS map as of April, 2007
Figure 1.8: Media coverage about climate change
Figure 1.9: Global comparison in terms of installed capacity, 2005
Figure 2.10: Cumulative installed capacity (MW)
Figure 2.11: Top 5 countries by cumulative installed capacity (MW), December 2006
Figure 2.12: Top 5 countries by new installed capacity (MW), December 2006
Figure 2.13: Leading states by cumulative capacity as of December 2006
Figure 2.14: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) of states, December 2006
Figure 2.15: Turbine manufacturer market shares in the US (2005)
Figure 2.16: Average cost/kWh of wind-generated electricity
Figure 2.17: Impact of PTC on wind power capacity additions
Figure 2.18: Wind resource map for the US
Figure 3.19: Cumulative installed capacity (MW)
Figure 3.20: Top 3 countries by cumulative installed solar capacity (MW)
Figure 3.21: Key markets by new installed solar capacity (MW), December 2006
Figure 3.22: US PV market 2005
Figure 3.23: Solar set-asides of states
Figure 3.24: Solar PV manufacturers’ market shares in US (2004)
Figure 3.25: Technology cost reduction goals for residential PV systems
Figure 3.26: Solar resource map for the US
Figure 3.27: Forecasts for installed capacity and costs
Figure 4.28: Cumulative installed capacity (MW)
Figure 4.29: Net generation (bn kWh)
Figure 4.30: Total average electric power from hydroelectric plants
Figure 4.31: Top 5 countries by hydroelectric consumption, 2005
Figure 4.32: Leading states by cumulative capacity as of December 2005
Figure 4.33: State ranking and percentage of total electric power generation in the US
Figure 4.34: Ownership of hydroelectric plants in the US
Figure 4.35: DOE Hydropower Program
Figure 4.36: Feasible project hydropower potential
Figure 4.37: Generation, hydropower vs. other renewables, 1990-2030
Figure 5.38: Cumulative installed capacity (MW)
Figure 5.39: Top 5 countries by cumulative installed capacity (MW), December 2005
Figure 5.40: Leading states by cumulative capacity 2006
Figure 5.41: Geothermal existing plant locations
Figure 5.42: Geothermal resource map for the US
Figure 5.43: Geothermal potential by 2025
Figure 5.44: Estimated earth temperature at 6 .5 km depth
Figure 6.45: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) and Net generation (kWh)
Figure 6.46: Biopower generation market shares in the US (2005)
Figure 6.47: Cost of electricity: biomass gasification combined-cycle
Figure 6.48: Biopower capacity projections, 2000-2020
Figure 6.49: Biomass resources US
Figure 6.50: Nonhydroelectric renewable electricity generation by energy source, 2004-2030
Figure 7.51: Ocean energy resource map for the US
Figure 8.52: Electricity sales by sector, 1980-2030
Figure 8.53: Net Generation by Energy Source, 2005-2030
Figure 8.54: Electricity generation capacity additions by fuel type, 2006-2030
Figure 8.55: Outlook to 2030, Reference case scenario
Figure 8.56: Generation, Hydropower vs. other renewables, 1990-2030

List of Tables

Table 1.1: Cost parameters of electricity sources
Table 2.2: Largest wind farms operating in the US, as of December, 2006
Table 2. 3: Top 10 states for wind energy potential in the US
Table 3. 4: Federal tax credits in the US
Table 4.5: Largest hydroelectricity dams in the US
Table 4.6: Costs parameters of hydro technologies
Table 4.7: Costs parameters of hydro technologies
Table 5.8: Largest geothermal projects operating in the US
Table 5. 9: Cost parameters of a geothermal power plant
Table 5. 10: Top 10 states for geothermal energy potential in the US
Table 5. 11: Developing projects by state, as of November 2006
Table 7. 12: Projects in progress for wave energy as of June, 2006
Table 7. 13: Projects in progress for tidal energy as of June, 2006
Table 7. 14: Capital cost of wave energy power plants
Table 8. 15: Renewable energy generation, GWh, Reference Case

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