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Green Energy in the US: Renewable Investment, Capacity Growth and Future Outlook
Business Insights, June 2007, Pages: 153
Green Energy in the US Executive Summary Market development Wind power Solar power Hydropower Geothermal power Biopower Ocean power Outlook Abbreviations
Chapter 1 Market development Summary Overview of the US electricity infrastructure Generation and installed capacity Sectoral distribution of generation Sales, revenue, and average retail price Overview of renewable energy in the US Background Installed capacity and growth of renewables Drivers of renewable energy Production tax credit (PTC) State level Renewable energy Portfolio Standards (RPS) Growing public support for action on climate change Increasing political will to address climate change Increasing corporate activism Increasing investments Resistors of renewable energy Failure to price carbon dioxide emissions Licensing and permitting issues Environmental issues Discontinuity in PTC Transmission issues Comparative economics Global comparison
Chapter 2 Wind power Summary Overview Current scenario Installed capacity and generation Global comparison State level analysis Key players Economics Drivers of wind power Continuity in PTC Strong public and political support Increasing economic competitiveness of wind power Resistors of wind power Lack of continuity in the PTC Environmental issues Transmission constraints and costs Constraints in the supply of turbines Wind power potential and outlook Wind Power Potential Outlook for wind power
Chapter 3 Solar power Summary Overview Current scenario Installed capacity and generation Global comparison State level analysis Key players Economics Drivers of solar power The Federal Investment Tax Credit The “President’s Solar America Initiative” California Solar Initiative Increasing corporate interest in solar power Increased VC funding in solar power State level RPS Targets Resistors of solar power Shortage of silicon High cost Solar power potential and outlook Solar power potential Outlook for solar power
Chapter 4 Hydropower Summary Overview Current scenario Installed capacity and generation Global comparison State level analysis Key players Economics Drivers of hydropower Licensing reforms Inclusion of incremental hydropower under PTC The DOE Hydropower Program Resistors of hydropower Licensing issues due to environmental concerns Capital intensive but lacking incentives Hydropower potential and outlook Hydropower potential Outlook for hydropower
Chapter 5 Geothermal power Summary Overview Current scenario Installed capacity and generation Global comparison State level analysis Key players Economics Drivers of geothermal power Introduction of PTC for geothermal DOE’s Geothermal Technologies Program Geothermal Resource Exploration and Development Program Increased environmental concerns Resistors of geothermal power Short time horizon for PTC Leasing issues Cost constraints and transmission issues Scant research funding Geothermal power potential and outlook Geothermal power potential Outlook for geothermal power
Chapter 6 Biopower Summary Overview Current scenario Installed capacity and generation Global comparison Key players Economics Drivers of biopower Attractive economics of co-firing Environmentally friendly power generation Employment generation DOE biopower program Resistors of biopower Lack of subsidies or any strong incentive program Cost constraints Constraints in the supply of raw material Biopower potential and outlook Biopower potential Outlook for biopower
Chapter 7 Ocean power Summary Overview Current scenario Global comparison Key players Economics Drivers of ocean power Energy Policy Act of 2005 State and city government initiatives Private investments Resistors of ocean power Lack of federal support Sitting and leasing issues Cost constraints Ocean power potential and outlook Ocean power potential Outlook for ocean power
Chapter 8 Future outlook Summary Outlook for the US electricity sector Outlook for renewables EIA outlook Alternative scenarios Abbreviations Index
List of Figures Figure 1.1: Net generation shares by energy source, 2006 Figure 1.2: US electric power industry, net summer capacity, 2005 Figure 1.3: Net generation shares by sector, 2006 Figure 1.4: Crude oil spot prices, 1982-2006 29 Figure 1.5: Net generation by energy source, 2006 Figure 1.6: CAGR (2001-2005) of various energy sources in the US Figure 1.7: RPS map as of April, 2007 Figure 1.8: Media coverage about climate change Figure 1.9: Global comparison in terms of installed capacity, 2005 Figure 2.10: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) Figure 2.11: Top 5 countries by cumulative installed capacity (MW), December 2006 Figure 2.12: Top 5 countries by new installed capacity (MW), December 2006 Figure 2.13: Leading states by cumulative capacity as of December 2006 Figure 2.14: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) of states, December 2006 Figure 2.15: Turbine manufacturer market shares in the US (2005) Figure 2.16: Average cost/kWh of wind-generated electricity Figure 2.17: Impact of PTC on wind power capacity additions Figure 2.18: Wind resource map for the US Figure 3.19: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) Figure 3.20: Top 3 countries by cumulative installed solar capacity (MW) Figure 3.21: Key markets by new installed solar capacity (MW), December 2006 Figure 3.22: US PV market 2005 Figure 3.23: Solar set-asides of states Figure 3.24: Solar PV manufacturers’ market shares in US (2004) Figure 3.25: Technology cost reduction goals for residential PV systems Figure 3.26: Solar resource map for the US Figure 3.27: Forecasts for installed capacity and costs Figure 4.28: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) Figure 4.29: Net generation (bn kWh) Figure 4.30: Total average electric power from hydroelectric plants Figure 4.31: Top 5 countries by hydroelectric consumption, 2005 Figure 4.32: Leading states by cumulative capacity as of December 2005 Figure 4.33: State ranking and percentage of total electric power generation in the US Figure 4.34: Ownership of hydroelectric plants in the US Figure 4.35: DOE Hydropower Program Figure 4.36: Feasible project hydropower potential Figure 4.37: Generation, hydropower vs. other renewables, 1990-2030 Figure 5.38: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) Figure 5.39: Top 5 countries by cumulative installed capacity (MW), December 2005 Figure 5.40: Leading states by cumulative capacity 2006 Figure 5.41: Geothermal existing plant locations Figure 5.42: Geothermal resource map for the US Figure 5.43: Geothermal potential by 2025 Figure 5.44: Estimated earth temperature at 6 .5 km depth Figure 6.45: Cumulative installed capacity (MW) and Net generation (kWh) Figure 6.46: Biopower generation market shares in the US (2005) Figure 6.47: Cost of electricity: biomass gasification combined-cycle Figure 6.48: Biopower capacity projections, 2000-2020 Figure 6.49: Biomass resources US Figure 6.50: Nonhydroelectric renewable electricity generation by energy source, 2004-2030 Figure 7.51: Ocean energy resource map for the US Figure 8.52: Electricity sales by sector, 1980-2030 Figure 8.53: Net Generation by Energy Source, 2005-2030 Figure 8.54: Electricity generation capacity additions by fuel type, 2006-2030 Figure 8.55: Outlook to 2030, Reference case scenario Figure 8.56: Generation, Hydropower vs. other renewables, 1990-2030
List of Tables
Table 1.1: Cost parameters of electricity sources Table 2.2: Largest wind farms operating in the US, as of December, 2006 Table 2. 3: Top 10 states for wind energy potential in the US Table 3. 4: Federal tax credits in the US Table 4.5: Largest hydroelectricity dams in the US Table 4.6: Costs parameters of hydro technologies Table 4.7: Costs parameters of hydro technologies Table 5.8: Largest geothermal projects operating in the US Table 5. 9: Cost parameters of a geothermal power plant Table 5. 10: Top 10 states for geothermal energy potential in the US Table 5. 11: Developing projects by state, as of November 2006 Table 7. 12: Projects in progress for wave energy as of June, 2006 Table 7. 13: Projects in progress for tidal energy as of June, 2006 Table 7. 14: Capital cost of wave energy power plants Table 8. 15: Renewable energy generation, GWh, Reference Case
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