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Digital and interactive TV markets: Opportunities in Europe to 2005
Datamonitor, April 2001

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Introduction


Market context


51% of TV households will be digital by 2005

Customer focus

Competitor dynamics


The future decoded

iTV services allow service providers to increase revenues


Digital television dominates the distribution of iTV services


iTV services offered by the top 15 broadcasters


iTV business models are changing


Interactivity will transform the way consumers use the TV

Action points


INTRODUCTION


What is this report about?


Who is the target reader?


How to use this report


MARKET CONTEXT


Introduction


Key findings


The digital TV market develops beyond pay-TV services


Initial uptake of digital TV is dominated by pay-TV services


Non-premium cable subscribers gain access to digital services


Digital services become mass-market


Cable will become the strongest platform for digital services

Cable will be very popular where available


Satellite benefits from speed to market and total coverage


DTT will gain significant market share only in the long term

51% of European TV households will be digital by 2005


Satellite will remain dominant until 2004


Cable growth will accelerate


DTT will only take a small part of the digital market by 2005


Advanced pay-TV markets dominate digital TV


Advanced pay-TV markets dominate the digital TV landscape


Other European markets will narrow the lead of early adopters


Cable operators become strong digital and iTV players


European countries split into two distinct groups


Consolidation will drive competition


Network upgrades are a strategic investment


Provision of premium content is key to sucess

Digital satellite benefits from first-mover advantage


Satellite operators benefit from large analog installed base

A shift in the area of competition

Digital terrestrial will rely on free-to-air in the long term


European countries have different agendas for analog switch-off


Can DTT compete against digital satellite and cable?


Spain and the UK have successfully launched commercial DTT


Conclusions



CUSTOMER FOCUS


Introduction


Key findings

A changing audience for digital TV


Pay-TV subscribers adopt digital services for premium content


Non-pay-TV cable subscribers will be next to adopt digital TV


The creation of a mass market


Digital TV strategies must target various customer segments


Improving customer loyalty is vital

Conclusions



COMPETITOR DYNAMICS


Introduction


Key findings

Austria


Multichannel TV has limited the development of pay-TV


Market forecasts


Cable is the dominant digital platform


Satellite provides both free-to-air and pay-TV services


Austria's DTT plans remain vague


Conclusions



Belgium


A difficult market to approach and target


Market forecasts


A complex cable market


Canal Plus is the main provider of digital TV services

No current plans for digital terrestrial


Conclusions

Denmark


Uptake of digital TV has been confined to pay-TV subscribers


Market forecasts


Tele Danmark and Telia Stofa account for 75% of the cable market


Digital satellite dominated by pay-TV operators

DTT will only take a small share of the digital TV market


Conclusions

Finland


Finland: an underdeveloped digital TV market


Market forecasts

Helsinki Television and Sonera dominate Finnish cable market


Pay-TV operators dominate the digital satellite market

Digita, Finland's DTT platform, will launch in August 2001


Conclusions

France


Satellite operators dominate the French digital television market


Market forecasts


A promising cable industry


Interactivity becomes the battleground of digital satellite


Digital terrestrial will promote local and regional programming


Conclusions

Germany


The digital TV market is still closely aligned to the pay-TV sector


Market forecasts


Premiere World currently dominates the digital television market


Free-to-air homes will constitute the core of the digital TV market


The shake-up of the cable industry


Satellite will remain predominant in areas not covered by cable


DTT has no economic justification

Conclusions

Italy


A market dominated by strong digital satellite operators


Market forecasts


An underdeveloped cable network


Digital satellite is the stronghold of Tele+ and Stream


Italy has announced 2006 as official switch-off date


Conclusions

The Netherlands


The Dutch market is highly dominated by cable

Market forecasts


Cable will account for 84% of the digital market in 2005


Digital satellite will remain a niche service


DTT will increase competition in the digital TV market


Conclusions

Norway


Satellite and cable are the primary distribution media

Market forecasts


UPC and Telenor Avidi will pursue aggressive roll-out strategies


Canal Digital and Viasat dominate digital satellite


No plans for digital terrestrial television


Conclusions

Spain


Spain has launched digital television on all three platforms


Market forecasts


A nascent but promising cable market

Fierce competition on digital satellite


Digital terrestrial will create a digital mass market in Spain


Conclusions

Sweden


Cable provides most of free-to-air programming


Market forecasts


Cable will represent 60% of the digital installed base in 2005

Pay-TV operators dominate the digital satellite market


The limited success of the Swedish digital terrestrial platform


Conclusions

Switzerland


Cable is the primary medium for multichannel television

Market forecasts


Almost 90% of Swiss households subscribe to cable


Satellite only covers a niche market


Unlikely launch of DTT


Conclusions

The UK


The UK is the most advanced digital and pay-TV market in Europe


Market forecasts


BSkyB leads the digital television market


UK cable reduced to a duopoly between NTL and Telewest


Successful launch of commercial DTT


Conclusions


THE FUTURE DECODED


Introduction


Key findings


Defining interactivity


The various types of interactivity


Digital television dominates the distribution of iTV services


iTV services allow service providers to increase revenues


iTV services open up new revenue streams

iTV as a differentiator


iTV as a source of customer information


iTV increases viewer retention and customer loyalty

Key issues for iTV service development


The challenges of ever more sophisticated iTV services


Market forecasts


Interactive opportunities by platform

Interactive opportunities by type of iTV service

The changing nature of interactive services on digital TV

Developed digital TV markets have advanced iTV services

Developed digital and interactive TV markets


Early digital and interactive markets


Pre-launch markets

Analysis by broadcaster

iTV business models are changing


Walled garden versus full Internet access

The convergence of programming, advertising and commerce


Multiplatform strategies broaden the scope of broadcasters


Interactivity will transform the way consumers use the TV

Conclusions


ACTION POINTS


Introduction


Key findings

Action point 1: broadcasters must focus on iTV in order to strengthen their offering and improve performance


Action point 2: businesses need to form relationships with digital TV operators in order to exploit the iTV opportunity


Action point 3: technology providers must focus on markets offering the fastest growth potential


Action point 4: iTV application and content developers must concentrate on the most sophisticated iTV markets


Action point 5: broadcaster business models must become increasingly flexible to address the changing digital TV audience


Conclusions


APPENDIX


Definitions and abbreviations


Research methodology


Future reading


SPP writing team


How to contact experts in your industry




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