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3G Network Evolution from 2007 to 2012: HSPA+, LTE, WiMAX and Femtocells
Analysys Mason Group, Jan 2008
'Cellular infrastructure vendors are strongly promoting new network enhancements, such as HSPA+ and LTE, and there is much hype about these. In our report, we model the realistic capabilities of each technology, determining whether they will be required or not, in order to define the optimum network evolution path for mobile operators.'
Dr Mark Heath, Analysys Associate
3G networks are still relatively new; just 6% of GSM/UMTS subscribers were on 3G networks at September 2007. In spite of this, the 3GPP standards body has already planned a series of enhancements to UMTS, which will increase throughput and capacity, improve coverage and decrease system delay. These enhancements include HSDPA, HSUPA, HSPA+ and LTE. Cellular infrastructure vendors are strongly promoting these enhancements to drive their sales, but there is uncertainty about what these technologies will realistically deliver and when, and if, they should be deployed.
3G Network Evolution from 2007 to 2012: HSPA+, LTE, WiMAX and femtocells investigates the evolution options for mobile network operators, in order to identify the realistic timescales and capabilities of 3G enhancements. It considers how 3G network evolution will be affected by a number of key developments, including indoor base stations (especially femtocells), broadcasting networks (such as DVB-H), alternative wireless broadband technologies (such as WiMAX) and the emergence of network sharing.
3G Network Evolution from 2007 to 2012: HSPA+, LTE, WiMAX and femtocells reviews the current state of HSDPA and the services offered by operators, and then considers each of the key 3G enhancements, quantifying the services and customer usage profiles that can realistically be supported. The report models a typical 3G network in order to evaluate the match between service requirements and network capabilities, considering usage of each service type and the split of indoor and outdoor use. The report considers the best choice of 3G evolution path and assesses the broader implications of this for mobile network operators and equipment vendors.
3G Network Evolution from 2007 to 2012: HSPA+, LTE, WiMAX and femtocells answers your key questions:
-What is the current state of deployment of 3G technology and enhancements?
-What are the technology evolution options for 3G network operators?
-What are the realistic capabilities of HSDPA, HSUPA, HSPA+ and LTE in a typical network implementation?
-How will the advent of femtocells and broadcasting networks affect 3G technology choices by cellular network operators?
-Which enhancement represents the best choice for operators: HSPA+ or LTE?
-Is LTE a better choice than WiMAX, and how strong is the business case for LTE? Will there be a role for WiMAX as 3G networks evolve?
-How does the emergence of network sharing affect network evolution?
-What are the implications for equipment vendors, in terms of product sales?
Who should read this report
-Mobile network operators: senior executives, technology and marketing managers, in order to understand the technology evolution options, the fit with service strategy and the major strategic implications of new developments such as femtocells and broadcasting networks.
-Cellular equipment vendors: senior executives and product managers, in order to understand the likely investment strategy of mobile network operators.
-Regulators: senior analysts, in order to understand the implications of network investment on spectrum requirements.
-Analysts and investors: in order to understand the potential for picocells and femtocells in the enterprise market.
About the authors
Dr Alastair Brydon and Dr Mark Heath are founders of Sound Partners Ltd and authors of more than 35 reports from Analysys Research, including The Business Case for Picocells and Femtocells in the Enterprise Market, Femtocells in the Consumer Market: business case and marketing plan, How to Succeed with Fixed–Mobile Convergence, The Acceleration of Fixed–Mobile Substitution in Western Europe: facts and figures, Seizing the Opportunities from Enterprise Mobility, The Future of the Global Wireless Industry: scenarios for 2007–12, The World’s Top Ten Non-voice Services for MNOs, MNO Strategies for Fixed Broadband, The Business Case for WiMAX, Forecasting the Commercial Impact of Wireless VoIP in the USA and Western Europe and Evaluating the Options for Mobile TV and Radio Broadcasting in Western Europe.
Alastair is CEO of Sound Partners Ltd. Prior to joining Sound Partners, Alastair reported to Nokia’s European management team and worked with many of Nokia’s customers to implement market firsts ranging from the introduction of prepaid mobile tariffs to new mass-market content services. Previously, Alastair worked in a number of roles for the BT Group, focusing on the evolution of wireless services, networks and technologies. He also contributed to international research and standardisation of GSM, DECT and 3G. Alastair holds BSc and PhD degrees from UMIST, where he was awarded the IEE Prize for top student.
Mark is Director of Research at Sound Partners Ltd. He previously held a number of marketing and business development roles in Nokia, ultimately becoming responsible for strategy and business development across Europe. Before that, Mark was responsible for business planning at BT Cellnet in the UK, after spending six years at BT in wireless systems research and development. Mark holds BSc and PhD degrees from the University of Leeds, winning the University prize for his research in telecommunications. Mark also holds an MBA, graduating as top student from Henley Management College.
Andrew Parkin-White (Principal Analyst) has gained a deep understanding of the strategic and operational issues facing the mobile industry during his 17-year career. Formerly at Ovum, where he had been Managing Director of Consulting, Executive Board Director and, prior to that, leader of mobile research and consulting activities, Andrew’s extensive experience of working in senior operations roles for operators and vendors is combined with a first-class research and consultancy background. He has also held managerial roles in strategic planning and marketing with organisations including BT, Marconi and Orange and was a Principal Consultant at KPMG before moving to Ovum.
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