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Research Report on the Chinese Hog Industry
Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultant Ltd, March 2008, Pages: 150
Report on Hog Industry of China
Presented by:
Beijing Orient Agribusiness Consultants Limited
Table of Contents II
Figures & Tables III
Report on Hog Industry of China
1 Policy Environment of Hog Industry
1.1 Judgment on Development of Grain Production Policy in China
1.2 Evaluation of Changes of Environmental Protection Policy on Animal Farming
1.3 Analysis of Quality Control over Hog Farming and Processed Products in China
1.4 Analysis of Policy Orientation for Development of Animal Husbandry in China
1.5 Evaluation of Policy on Feed Industry Development
1.6 Analysis of Trend of Policy on Hog Slaughter in China
1.7 Judgment of Trend of Trade Policy on Hog Products in China
1.8 Evaluation of Policy Environment for Hog Production in China
2 Analysis of Prospect of Pork Consumption
2.1 Trend of Meat Consumption
2.2 Structure of Pork Consumption and Trend
2.3 Analysis of Prospect of Pork Consumption at Home
2.4 Food Construction Structure of Households and Trend
2.4.1 Impacts from Rising of Resident’s Income to Household Pork Consumption
2.4.2 Analysis of Growth Potential of Household Pork Consumption Thanks to Rigid Population Growth
2.4.3 Impacts from Urbanization on Household Pork Consumption
2.4.4 Forecast of Growing Potential of Household Pork Consumption
2.5 Analysis of Prospect of Industrial Consumption of Pork
2.5.1 Prospect of Pork Processing
2.5.2 Proportion of Processed Pork Products in the Total of Meat Products
2.5.3 Patterns of Industrial Consumption of Pork and Trend
2.5.4 Processing Capacity of Pork Products
2.5.5 Forecast of Growing Potential of Demand from Processing Industry
2.6 Analysis of Prospect of Outdoor Consumption of Pork
2.6.1 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Rising of Income
2.6.2 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Urbanization
2.6.3 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Population Growth
2.6.4 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Tourism
2.6.5 Impacts on Outdoor Pork Consumption from Population Movement
2.6.6 Forecast of Growing Potential of Outdoor Pork Consumption
2.7 Analysis of Prospect of Pork Export
2.7.1 Analysis of Future Demand for Pork of Main Importing Countries and Regions
2.7.2 Impacts on Pork Export from China from International Pork Production Cost
2.7.3 Impacts on Pork Export from Trade Policies of Main Destination Countries and Regions
2.7.4 Forecast of Demand for Pork Export from China
2.8 Analysis of Impacts on Pork Consumption from Substitutes
2.9 Analysis of Impacts on Pork Demand from Price Fluctuation
2.10 Impacts on Pork Consumption from Uncertain Factors such as Epidemic
2.11 Evaluation of Growing Potential of Pork Demand and Forecast
3 Assessment of the Supply Capacity of Feed and Feedstuff for Hog Farming in China
3.1 Analysis of Feed Supply Structure in China
3.2 Analysis of Corn Material Supply
3.2.1 China’s Corn Production Capacity
3.2.2 China’s Corn Consumption Structure
3.2.3 Competition for Materials between Corn Deep-processing Industry and Feed Industry
3.2.4 Constraints on Hog Farming from Corn Feed Supply
3.2.5 Analysis of the Likelihood for China to Import Corn
3.2.6 Import Corn or Import Pork
3.2.7 Evaluation of the Comprehensive Supply Capacity of Corn Material for Hog Farming
3.3 Evaluation of the Supply Capacity of Soymeal
3.3.1 Analysis of Soybean Production Potential in China
3.3.2 Analysis of the Reliability of Soybean Import
3.3.3 Constraint on Hog Farming by Soymeal Supply
3.3.4 Evaluation of the Comprehensive Supply Capacity of Soymeal Material
4 Cost-benefit Analysis of the Value Chain of China’s Hog Industry
4.1 Structural Analysis of the Value Chain of Hog Industry
4.1.1 Cost-benefit Analysis of Hog Feed Production and Prediction
4.1.2 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Hog Farming
4.1.3 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Forecasts of Hog Farming in Different Regions
4.1.4 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Estimates of Hog Farming in Different Scales
4.1.5 Cost-Benefit Analysis and Forecasts of Hog Slaughtering
4.1.6 Cost-Benefit Analysis of Pork Products and Forecast
4.1.7 Value Chain Composition Analysis of the Hog Farming Industry in China
4.2 Evaluation of the Rationality of Interest Distribution of the Value Chain of Hog Farming
4.3 Impact on Benefits of Hog Farming from Interest Distribution of the Value Chain
5 Analysis of Hog Farming Prospects in China
5.1 Analysis of Total Quantity of Hog Farming in China
5.2 Analysis of Growth Potential of Hog Farming in Different Regions
5.3 Growth Potential for Hog Farming of Different Scales
5.4 Growth Potential of Hog Farming Given the Constraints of Feed Supply
5.5 Pork Trade and Its Impact on Hog Farming in China
6 Analysis of the Cyclic Turbulences of China’s Hog Farming and Counter Measures
6.1 Review of Cycles of Hog Farming in China
6.1.1 Definition of the Cycle of Hog Farming
6.1.2 Review of Main Cycles
6.2 Factors for the Formation of Farming Cycles in China
6.3 Factors Influencing the Cycles of China’s Hog Farming
6.3.1 Feed Material
6.3.2 Influence from Inventory of Breeding Sows
6.3.3 Influence from Farming Scale
6.3.4 Influence from Hog Epidemic and Diseases
6.3.5 Influence from Risk Control Mechanism of the Farming Industry
6.3.6 Influence from Interest Distribution of Hog Farming Industry
6.3.7 Influence from Hog Circulation System
6.3.8 Influence from GDP Growth
6.3.9 Other Factors
6.4 Policy Study for Lowering the Turbulence in Hog Farming
7 Status of China’s Hog Farming Industry in the World and Comparative Study of Costs
7.1 Hog Farming and Cost in US
7.2 EU Hog Farming and Cost
7.3 Hog Farming and Cost in Brazil
7.4 Hog Farming and Cost in Canada
7.5 Changes in the Status of China’s Hog Industry in the World
8 Enterprise-specific Analysis of China’s Hog Industry
8.1 Analysis of Farming Enterprises
8.1.1 Xinwufeng of Hunan
8.2 Analysis of Slaughtering and Meat Processing Enterprises
8.2.1 Shuanghui Group
8.2.2 Yurun Group
8.3 Analysis of Integrated Enterprises
8.3.1 Hunan Zhenghong Science and Tech
8.3.2 Gaojin Food from Sichuan
8.4 Advantages on Integrated Enterprises of China’s Hog Industry
8.5 Market Shares of Integrated Enterprises in China’s Hog Industry
8.6 Future Trend for Hog Industry Enterprises in China
9 Overall Evaluation of the Development of China’s Hog Industry
9.1 Driving Force for China’s Hog Industry
9.2 Negative Factors for the Development of China’s Hog Industry
9.3 Overall Evaluation of the Development of Hog Industry in China
Appendix
Figures & Tables
Table 1.1, Judgment on Trend of Policy Environment for Hog Farming in China
Fig 1, Changes of Per Capita Consumption of Animal Products and Aquatic Products at Home from 1990-2006
Fig 2, Consumption Structure of Fresh Pork and Meat Products from 1992-2015
Fig 3, Consumption Structure of Fresh Pork and Meat Products in 2006
Fig 4, Urban and Rural Structure of Pork Consumption, 1992-2015
Fig 5, Gross Household Pork Consumption of Urban and Rural Residents, 1990-2015
Table 2, Household Pork Consumption in 2015
Fig 6, Per Capita Food Consumption Indices of Households in 1990 and 2006
Fig 7, Income Level of Residents and Per Capita Pork Consumption at Home from 1990-2006
Fig 8, Indices of Per Capita Household Consumption of Pork of Urban Residents of Different Income Levels, 1990-2015
Fig 9, Income Structure of Per Capita Household Pork Consumption of Urban Residents, 1990-2006
Fig 10, Per Capita Household Pork Consumption of Urban Low-income Groups and Rural Residents, 1990 - 2015
Fig 11, Household Pork Consumption of Urban and Rural Residents, 1990-2015
Fig 12, Urban Population and Gross Household Pork Consumption, 1990-2015
Fig 13, Urbanization Level and Household Pork Consumption, 1990-2015
Fig 14, Gross Output of Meat Products and Pork Output, 1990-2015
Fig 15, Gross Output of Meat Products, Output of Meat Products from Processing Industry and Output of Traditional Chinese-style Meat Products, 1990-2015
Fig 16, Disposable Income of Urban and Rural Residents and Expenditure on Outdoor Consumption, 1990-2015
Fig 17, Per Capita Annual Consumption of Pork at Restaurants, 1992-2015
Fig 18, Added Value of Hotels and Catering Industry and Pork Consumption at Restaurants, 1992-2006
Fig 19, Pork Consumption at Restaurants by Urban and Rural Residents, 1992-2015
Fig 20, Outdoor Pork Consumption by Residents, 1992-2015
Fig 21, Structure of Destinations of Pork Export, 2006
Fig 22, Pork Import & Export and Total Trade Volume, 1991-2015
Fig 23, US Domestic Pork Retail Price and Hog Procurement Price and CIF Price to China, 2005-2006
Fig 24, Trends of Retail Prices Pork, Beef, Mutton, Chicken Meat and Chicken Eggs, 1997-2006
Fig 25, Per Capita Pork Consumption, Prices of Pork, Chicken Eggs and Chicken Meat, 1997-2006
Fig 26, Output of Manufactured Feed in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 27, Production Structure of Manufactured Feed in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 28, Animal Feed Production Composition in China in 2006 (Not converted to complete feed)
Fig29, Animal Feed Production Composition in China 2006 (Converted to complete feed)
Fig 30, Corn Growing Area, Yield and Output in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 31, Crop Growing Structure in China 1990 - 2006
Fig 32, China’s Crop Output Structure 1990 - 2006
Fig 33, Corn Consumption Structure in China 1991 - 2006 (crop year)
Fig 34, China’s Total Output of Manufactured Feed (in complete feed) and Corn Consumption for Feed 1991 – 2015
Fig 35, China’s Corn Output, Feed output, Corn Consumption for Feed, Industrial Consumption of Corn and Total Corn Consumption 1990 - 2015
Fig 36, Hog Feed Demand, Output (converted to complete feed) and the Penetration Rate of Hog Feed in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 37, China’s Output of Hog Feed (complete feed) and Corn Content 1990 - 2015
Fig 38, Hog Feed Consumption of Corn, Total Feed Consumption of Corn and Total Output of Corn 1991 - 2015
Fig 39, Corn Import and Export and Stocks at the End of Period 1991 - 2015
Fig 40, Soybean Growing Area, Yield and Output in China 1990 - 2015
Fig 41, China’s Soybean output and Soybean Crushing Volume 1991 - 2015
Fig 42, China’s Soybean Output and Soybean Import 1990 - 2015
Fig 43, China’s Total Output of Manufactured Feed (converted to complete feeds) and Soymeal Consumption 1991 - 2015
Fig 44, China’s Hog Feed Output (converted to complete feed) and Soymeal Content in Hog Feed 1991 - 2015
Fig 45, Production Cost Composition of Compound Feed for Hogs in China, 2006
Fig 46, Output of Compound Feed for Hogs and the Profit Rate in China, 1997 - 2006
Fig 47, Piglet Price and Sow Farming Benefits in China, 1997 - 2006
Fig 48, Production Cost of Backyard farming Hogs in China, 2006
Fig 49, Cost of Backyard farming in China (labor cost not included), 2006
Fig 50, Hog Backyard farming Profits in China (Labor not Included), 2005
Fig 51, Scaled Hog Farming Cost of Different Provinces, 2006
Fig 52, Profits of Scaled Hog Farm of Different Provinces in China, 2005
Fig 53, Backyard farming Cost Structure in China, 2006
Fig 54, Cost Composition of Backyard farming of Hogs in China, 1991 - 2006
Fig 55, Cost Composition of Scale-farming Pisg in China, 2006
Fig 56, Hog Scale-farming Cost Composition in China, 1991 - 2006
Fig 57, Profits of Backyard farming vs. Scale-farming in China, 1991 - 2006
Fig 58, Profit Rate of Backyard farming VS Scale-farming in China, 1991 - 2006
Fig 59, Slaughtering Cost Composition of Large Slaughtering Enterprises in China, 2006
Fig 60, Hog Price VS Profit Rate of Slaughtering Industry in China, 1997 - 2006
Fig 61, Value Chain of Hog Industry in China, 2005
Fig 62, Profit Distribution Composition of Hog Industrial Chain in China, 1997 – 2006
Fig 63, Comparison of Interest Rates across Sectors of Hog Industry, 1997 - 2006
Fig 64, China’s pork output and the Quantity of Fattened Hogs, 1991 - 2006
Fig 65, China Pork Output Trend, 1991 - 2015
Fig 66, China Pork Output Index across Regions in China, 1991- 2015
Fig 67, Regional Structure of Pork Production in China, 1991 - 2015
Fig 68, Growth Rate of Pork Output in Northeast China vs. National Average, 1991 - 2015
Fig 69, Pork Output Growth Trend in the Northwest, 1991 - 2006
Fig 70, Hog Farming Scale Structure in China, 2006
Fig 71, Backyard Farming VS Scaled-Farming of Hogs in China, 1991 - 2015
Fig 72, Consumption of Corn for Feed, Soymeal in China vs. Pork Output, 1991 - 2015
Fig 73, Pork Price and Import and Export Volume, 1991 - 2006
Fig 74, China’s Pork Output and Trade Volume, 1991 - 2015
Fig 75, Hog Price in China1952 - 2007
Fig 76, Annual Fluctuations of Hog Price in China 1984 - 2007
Fig 77, Hog Price Trend in China 1984 – 2007
Fig 78, Monthly Price Trend during the Hog Farming Cycle 1997 - 2007
Fig 79, Price Range for Hogs and Corn in China 1985 - 2007
Fig 80, Hog Price during the Streptococcus Epidemic and Blue Ear Disease 2005 - 2007
Fig 81, Hog Price Fluctuation vs. GDP Growth Rate in China 1979-2007
Fig 82, Hog Farm Size Structure in US, 2005
Fig 83, Hog Farming Cost Structure in US, 2006
Fig 84, Corn Prices in US and China, 1999 - 2006
Fig 85, Hog Farming Cost Structure in Germany, 2006
Fig 86, Hog Farming Cost Structure in UK, 2006
Fig 87, Cost Composition of Hog Farming in Denmark, 2006
Fig 88, Hog Farming Cost Structure in Brazil, 2006
Fig 89, Hog Farming Cost Structure in Canadian, 2006
Table 2.1 Per Capita Meat Consumption of China, 1990-2007
Table 2.2, Per Capita Consumption of Pork by Provinces in China, 2000-2006
Table 2.3, Per Capita Consumption of Beef by Provinces in China, 2000-2006
Table 2.4, Per Capita Consumption of Mutton by Provinces in China, 2000-2006
Table 2.5, Per Capita Consumption of Poultry Meat by Provinces in China, 2000-2006
Table 2.6, Per Capita Consumption of Poultry Egg by Provinces in China, 2000-2006
Table 2.7, Expenditure of Urban Residents for Pork by Provinces in China, 2000-2006
Table 2.8, Pork Consumption and Population Growth in Urban Areas in China, 1991-2015
Table 2.9, Pork Consumption and Population Growth in Rural Areas in China, 1991-2015
Table 2.10, Pork Consumption and Population Flow in Urban Areas in China, 1992-2015
Table 2.11, Pork Consumption and Per Capita Income Growth in Urban Areas in China, 1990-2015
Table 2.12, Pork Consumption and Per Capita Income Growth in Rural Areas in China, 1990-2015
Table 2.13, Per Capita Outdoor Consumption of Pork by Urban and Rural Residents in China, 1992-2015
Table 2.14, Per Capita Outdoor Expenditure of Pork by Urban and Rural Residents in China, 1992-2015
Table 2.15, Exports of Pork in China, 1991-2007
Table 3.1, Output of Hog Complete Feed by Provinces in China, 1997-2006
Table 3.2, Prices of Hog Feed by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 3.3, Output of Corn in China, 1990-2015
Table 3.4, Import and Export of Corn in China, 1991-2007
Table 3.5, Consumption of Corn for Feed by Provinces in China, 1998-2006
Table 3.6, Prices of Corn by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 3.7, Output of Soybean in China, 1990-2015
Table 3.8, Imports of Soybean in China, 1990-2007
Table 3.9, Consumption of Soymeal by Provinces in China, 1998-2006
Table 3.10, Prices of Soymeal by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.1 Heads of Breeding Hog by Provinces in China, 2000-2007
Table 4.2 Hog Inventory by Provinces in China, 1998-2007
Table 4.3 Hog Crop by Provinces in China, 1998-2007
Table 4.4 Hog Crop on Different Scales in China, 2001-2007
Table 4.5, Output of Pork by Provinces in China, 1998-2007
Table 4.6, Ratio of Live Hog prices with Feed Cost by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.7, Ratio of Live Hog prices with Corn Cost by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.8, Pork Production by Global Counties, 2006
Table 4.9, Hog Production Cost, Revenue & Profit of Backyard Farming in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.10, Hog Production Cost, Revenue & Profit of Scaled Farms in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.11, Live Hog Prices by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.12, Piglet Prices by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.13, Pork Prices by Provinces in China, 1997-2007
Table 4.14, Pork Supply and Demand Balance Sheet in China, 1999-2015
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