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The Future of Social Networks (Review Report)
Datamonitor, Feb 2008, Pages: 50
Overview 1 Catalyst 1 Summary 1 Methodology 1 Executive Summary 2 Introduction 2 The outlook for social networks (Market Focus) 2 Exploiting explosive growth & fostering opportunities in social networking (Strategy Focus) 2 Routes to reliability and user adherence in social networking (Technology Focus) 3 The future of social networks in North America (Databook) 3 The future of social networks in EMEA (Databook) 3 5 Table of figures 6 Table of tables 7 The outlook for social networking (Market Focus) 8 Summary 8 Global growth in social networking will plateau in the next five years 8 Three distinct paths to success have emerged for social networking services 11 People-based sites 12 People-based sites - offline relationships 12 People-based sites - online relationships 13 Content-based sites 14 Special-interest sites 15 General success factors for social networks 16 Major enterprises have committed to social networking as a marketing channel 16 Building a presence in existing social networks 17 Leveraging brand to create social networking properties 17 Adding selected social networking components to existing web sites 17 A nascent value chain is emerging 18 Innovation will continue at a high pitch 18 exploiting explosive growth & fostering opportunities in social networking (Strategy Focus) 20 SUMMARY 20 Social networking startups should isolate the fundamental need they intend to serve 21 People-oriented services: off-line friends 21 People-oriented services: on-line friends 21 People-oriented services: crossing the line between offline and online friendships 22 Content-oriented services 22 Special interest services 22 Opening APIs 22 Social networking services should be prepared for a long tail of regional audiences 23 Search firms & media properties should maintain an aggressive acquisition strategy 28 Brands should decide whether to buy, build or partner in social networking 28 Technology providers should isolate elements in the value chain that they can own 29 Consultants and systems integrators should guide customers through a confusing and chaotic landscape 30 routes to reliability & user adherence in social networking (Technology Focus) 31 Summary 31 Scalability and availability are critical issues for social networking services 31 Social networking service of all stripes should be preparing their mobile strategies 33 The ability to port content and contacts between non-competing social networking services 33 The future of social networks in north america (Databook) 35 Introduction 35 Social networking revenue & membership growth in North America 36 Social networking revenue & membership growth in Canada 37 Social networking revenue & membership growth in the US 38 The future of social networks in emea (Databook) 39 Introduction 39 Social networking revenue & membership growth in EMEA 40 Social networking revenue & membership growth in France 41 Social networking revenue & membership growth in Germany 42 Social networking revenue & membership growth in Italy 43 Social networking revenue & membership growth in Russia 44 Social networking revenue & membership growth in Spain 45 Social networking revenue & membership growth in the UK 46 Social networking revenue & membership growth in the rest of EMEA 47 APPENDIX 48 Definitions 48 Social network 48 Social networking service 48 Membership 48 Methodology 48 Further reading 48 Ask the analyst 48 Our consulting 49 Disclaimer 49 List of Tables Table 1: Global social networking revenue, 2006-2012 9 Table 2: Global social networking memberships, 2006-2012 11 Table 3: Social networking revenue & membership growth in North America 36 Table 4: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Canada 37 Table 5: Social networking revenue & membership growth in the US 38 Table 6: Social networking revenue & membership growth in EMEA 40 Table 7: Social networking revenue & membership growth in France 41 Table 8: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Germany 42 Table 9: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Italy 43 Table 10: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Russia 44 Table 11: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Spain 45 Table 12: Social networking revenue & membership growth in the UK 46 Table 13: Social networking revenue & membership growth in the rest of EMEA 47 List of Figures Figure 1: Global social networking revenue, 2006-2012 9 Figure 2: Global social networking memberships, 2006-2012 10 Figure 3: Social networking memberships in the United States, 2007 24 Figure 4: Social networking memberships in Taiwan, 2007 24 Figure 5: Social networking memberships in France, 2007 25 Figure 6: Social networking memberships in Belgium, 2007 25 Figure 7: Social networking memberships in Tunisia, 2007 26 Figure 8: Social networking memberships in Mexico, 2007 26 Figure 9: Social networking memberships in Colombia, 2007 27 Figure 10: Social networking memberships in Hong Kong, 2007 27 Figure 11: Three tier server model 32 Figure 12: Social networking revenue & membership growth in North America 36 Figure 13: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Canada 37 Figure 14: Social networking revenue & membership growth in the US 38 Figure 15: Social networking revenue & membership growth in EMEA 40 Figure 16: Social networking revenue & membership growth in France 41 Figure 17: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Germany 42 Figure 18: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Italy 43 Figure 19: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Russia 44 Figure 20: Social networking revenue & membership growth in Spain 45 Figure 21: Social networking revenue & membership growth in the UK 46 Figure 22: Social networking revenue & membership growth in the rest of EMEA 47
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