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Fixed WiMAX: Opportunities for 'Last Mile' Broadband Access, 2008-2013
Juniper Research, April 2008, Pages: 130
Glossary
Executive Summary
Fixed WiMAX Subscriber Forecast
Figure ES.1: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (m) by Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure ES.2: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX 2013 Subscriber Base (%) Regional Forecast
Figure ES.3: DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (m) Global Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure ES.4: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (%) Regional Forecast, 2008 - 2013 20
Figure ES.5: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($bn) Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure ES.6: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market Size (m Subscribers) Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure ES.7: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Device Market Forecast ($m) Global Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Key Market Trends for Fixed 802.16e WiMAX
Main WiMAX Drivers
Main WiMAX Inhibitors
Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market Status
Operator Case Studies
Recommendations
Fixed WiMAX Service Providers
Fixed WiMAX Vendors
1. Last Mile Broadband – The Technologies
1.1 WiMAX
1.1.1 OFDM
Figure 1.1: OFDM Spectrum
1.2 Fixed WiMAX (802.16d-2004)
1.3 Mobile WiMAX (802.16e-2005)
Figure 1.2: WiMAX Timeline
Figure 1.3: Difference between OFDM and OFDMA
Table 1.1: Scalable OFDM: Sub Carrier Permutations
1.4 Duplexing Techniques
1.4.1 FDD (Frequency Division Duplexing)
Figure 1.4: Frequency Division Duplexing
1.4.2 TDD (Time Division Duplexing)
Figure 1.5: Time Division Duplexing
1.5 HSPA (High Speed Packet Access)
Figure 1.6: HSDPA Performance Improvements
Figure 1.7: LTE Migration to Packet Core
1.6 CDMA 1X EVDO and UMB
1.7 Competing Broadband Access Technologies
1.7.1 ADSL
i. Comparison of ADSL with WiMAX
1.7.2 WiFi and Mesh Networking
Table 1.2: List of WiFi Standards
Figure 1.8: WiFi Mesh Network
i. QoS (Quality of Service) in WiFi
ii. Differences between WiMAX 802.16e and WiFi
Table 1.3: Comparison of Fixed WiMAX (802.16-2004) and 802.11
iii. WiFi Mesh and Mobile WiMAX
1.7.3 Satellite
i. Satellite and Fixed WiMAX
1.8 Industry Associations
1.8.1 WiMAX Forum
Table: 1.4: WiMAX Forum Working Groups
1.8.2 WiMAX Certification
Table: 1.5: The Certification Process
1.8.3 WiMAX Spectrum Owners Alliance (WiSOA)
Table: 1.6: The WiSOA Working Groups
1.8.4 DSL Forum
Figure 1.9: Broadbandsuite Release 2.0
Figure 1.10: Broadbandsuite Release 3.0
1.8.5 Satellite Industry Association (SIA)
1.8.6 WiFi Alliance
1.8.7 GSM Association (GSMA)
Table: 1.7: The GSMA Working Groups
1.8.8 CDMA Development Group (CDG)
2. Market Trends for WiMAX 802.16e
2.1 Introduction 2.2 WiMAX Drivers
Table 2.1: Top WiMAX Drivers as Ranked by Survey Respondents
2.2.1 100% IP
2.2.2 Lack of Infrastructure in Developing Countries
2.2.3 Attractive for Green Field Operators
2.2.4 Spectrum Availability & Efficiency
2.2.5 High QoS & Data Rate
2.2.6 Fixed, Portable & Mobile Usage
2.3 WiMAX Inhibitors
Table 2.2: Top WiMAX Inhibitors as Ranked by Survey Respondents
2.3.1 Widespread Commercial Availability Unlikely Before 2009
2.3.2 Poor Mobility
2.3.3 New Network Build Required
2.3.4 Brand Identification and Service Differentiation
2.4 Conclusion
3. WiMAX 802.16e: Market Status
3.1 North America
3.1.1 Overall Status
3.1.2 Trial Examples
Table 3.1: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.1.3 Contract Examples
Table 3.2: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 and Q1 2008
3.2 South America
3.2.1 Overall Status
Table 3.3: WiMAX Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.2.2 Trial Examples
Table 3.4: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.2.3 Contract Examples
Table 3.5: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 and Q1 2008
3.3 Western Europe
3.3.1 Overall Status
Table 3.6: WiMAX Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.3.2 Trial Examples
Table 3.7: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.3.3 Contract Examples
Table 3.8: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 and Q1 2008
3.4 Eastern Europe
3.4.1 Overall Status
Table 3.9: WiMAX Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.4.2 Contract Examples
Table 3.10: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 to Q1 2008
3.5 Far East & China
3.5.1 Overall Status
Table 3.11: WiMAX Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008 3.5.2 Trial Examples
Table 3.12: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.5.3 Contract Examples
Table 3.13: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 and Q1 2008
3.6 Indian Sub Continent
3.6.1 Overall Status
Table 3.14: WiMAX Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.6.2 Trial Examples
Table 3.15: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.6.3 Contract Examples
Table 3.16: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 and Q1 2008
3.7 Rest of Asia-Pacific
3.7.1 Overall Status
Table 3.17: WiMAX Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.7.2 Trial Examples
Table 3.18: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.8 Africa & Middle East
3.8.1 Overall Status
Table 3.19: WiMAX Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.8.2 Trial Examples
Table 3.20: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Trial Announcements 2007 and Q1 2008
3.8.3 Contract Examples
Table 3.21: WiMAX (802.16e-2005) Network Contracts 2007 and Q1 2008
3.9 Target Market Analysis
Table 3.22: WiMAX Service Provider Target Market Focus: N. America
Table 3.23: WiMAX Service Provider Target Market Focus: S. America
Table 3.24: WiMAX Service Provider Target Market Focus: W. Europe
Table 3.25: WiMAX Service Provider Target Market Focus: E. Europe
Table 3.26: WiMAX Service Provider Target Market Focus: Far East & China
Table 3.27: WiMAX Service Provider Target Market Focus: India Sub Continent
Table 3.28: WiMAX Service Provider Target Market Focus: Africa & Middle East
3.10 Conclusion
4. Operator Case Studies
4.1 Altech
i. Company Background
ii. Products & Services Overview
iii. WiMAX Network Description
iv. Future Developments
4.2 Danske Telecom
i. Company Background
ii. Products & Services Overview
iii. WiMAX Network Description
iv. Future Developments
4.3 DigitalBridge Communications (DBC)
i. Company Background
ii. Products & Services Overview
iii. WiMAX Network Description
iv. Future Developments
4.4 FREEDOM4
i. The Company
ii. Products & Services
iii. WiMAX Trial Details
iv. WiMAX Strategy
4.5 Nth Air
i. The Company
ii. Products & Services
iii. WiMAX Trial Details
iv. WiMAX Trial Feedback and Future Developments
4.6 Urban WiMAX
i. Company Background
ii. Products & Services Overview
iii. WiMAX Network Description
iv. Future Developments
5. Global Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecast
5.1 Subscriber Forecasting Technique
5.1.1 Overall Approach
5.1.2 Methodology and Assumptions
Figure 5.1: W. Europe DSL Subscriber Base by Download Rates, at the End of 2006
Figure 5.2: % of DSL Subscribers with Download Speeds of 2Mbit/s or Less by Region 2006 - 2013
5.1.3 Geographical Splits
5.2 Market Issues
5.2.1 Devices
Figure 5.3: Types of WiMAX Access Possible Under the IEEE Standards
Figure 5.4 ZyXEL MAX-200M1 IEEE 802.16e CPE
Figure 5.5 Samsung’s WiMAX USB Dongle SPH-H1200 - (WiMAX Card / Receiver)
5.2.2 Regulatory
i. World Radiocommunications Conference Agreement
ii. European Commission
iii. Spectrum Auctions
5.2.3 Untapped Potential in Developing Countries
Table 5.1: India & the US - Basic Statistics 2007
5.2.4 ARPU
Figure 5.6: 802.16e WiMAX ARPU ($) in Fixed Applications – Regional Forecast, 2008 - 2013
Table 5.2: 802.16e WiMAX ARPU ($) in Fixed Applications – Regional Forecast, 2008- 2013
5.3 Global Broadband and DSL Subscriber Forecast
Figure 5.7: Broadband Subscriber Base (m), Regional Forecast - 2006-2013
Table 5.3: Broadband Subscriber Base (m), Regional Forecast - 2006-2013
Figure 5.8: DSL Subscriber Base (m), Regional Forecast – 2006 - 2013
Table 5.4: DSL Subscriber Base (m), Regional Forecast – 2006 - 2013
5.4 Global Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Forecast
Figure 5.9: DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (m) Global
Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 5.10: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (m) by Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 5.5: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (m) by Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 5.11: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX 2013 Subscriber Base (%) Regional Forecast
Figure 5.12: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (%) Regional Forecast, 2008 - 201392
Figure 5.13: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market Size (m Subscribers) Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 5.6: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market Size (m Subscribers) Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 5.14: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX 2013 Market Size (% Subscribers) Regional Forecast
5.5 Fixed 802.16e vs. Mobile 802.16e WiMAX Market Trends 94
Figure 5.15: 802.16e Global Fixed 802.16e & Mobile 802.16e WiMAX Market
Comparison (%), 2008 & 2013
5.6 Global Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues Forecast95
Figure 5.16: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($bn) Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 5.7: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($bn) Regional Forecast, 2008 – 2013
5.7 Global Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Device Forecast
Table 5.8: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Device Wholesale Pricing ($) Forecast, 2008-2013
Figure 5.17: Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Device Market Forecast ($m) Global Forecast, 2008 – 2013
6. North America Fixed 802.16e WiMAX
Forecast
6.1 North America Broadband Overview
Figure 6.1: N. America Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
6.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
6.2.1 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Market Size & Growth
Figure 6.2: N. America DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 6.3: N. America Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 6.1: N. America Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 6.4: N. America Fixed, 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m) Forecast 2008 – 2013
7. South America Fixed 802.16e WiMAX
Forecast
7.1 South America Broadband Overview
Figure 7.1: S. America Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
7.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
Figure 7.2: S. America DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base
(000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 7.1: S. America Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 7.3: S. America Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 7.4: S. America Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
8. Western Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX
Forecast
8.1 Western Europe Broadband Overview
Figure 8.1: W. Europe Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
8.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
Figure 8.2: W. Europe DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base
(000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 8.3: W. Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 8.1: W. Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 8.4: W. Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
9. Eastern Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecast
9.1 Eastern Europe Broadband Overview
Figure 9.1: E. Europe Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
9.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
Figure 9.2: E. Europe DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 9.1: E. Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 9.3: E. Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 9.4: Eastern Europe Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m) Forecast, 2008– 2013
10. Far East & China Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecast
10.1 Far East & China Broadband Overview
Figure 10.1: Far East & China Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 10.2: Far East & China FTTH Penetration
10.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
Fixed WiMAX: Opportunities for ‘Last Mile’ Broadband Access, 2008 - 2013
Page 10
Figure 10.3: Far East & China DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber
Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 10.4: Far East & China Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast,
2008 – 2013
Table 10.1: Far East & China Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast,
2008 – 2013
Figure 10.5: Far East & China Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
11. Indian Sub Continent Fixed 802.16e
WiMAX Forecast
11.1 Indian Sub Continent Broadband Overview
Figure 11.1: Indian Sub Continent Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s Subscribers)
Forecast, 2008 – 2013
11.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
Figure 11.2: Indian Sub Continent DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber
Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 11.3: Indian Sub Continent Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 11.1: Indian Sub Continent Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers)
Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 11.4: Indian Sub Continent Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m)
Forecast, 2008 – 2013
12. Rest of Asia-Pacific Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecast
12.1 Rest of Asia-Pacific Broadband Overview
Figure 12.1: Rest of Asia-Pacific Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
12.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
Figure 12.2: Rest of Asia-Pacific DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 12.3: Rest of Asia-Pacific Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers)
Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 12.1: Rest of Asia-Pacific Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers)
Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 12.4: Rest of Asia-Pacific Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Fixed WiMAX: Opportunities for ‘Last Mile’ Broadband Access, 2008 - 2013
13. Africa & Middle East Fixed 802.16e
WiMAX Forecast
13.1 Africa & Middle East Broadband Overview
Figure 13.1: Africa & Middle East Broadband Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 –2013
13.2 Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Forecasts
13.2.1 Fixed WiMAX Subscriber Market Size & Growth
Figure 13.2: Africa & Middle East DSL Replacement by Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Subscriber Base (000’s) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 13.3: Africa & Middle East Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Table 13.1: Africa & Middle East Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Market (000’s Subscribers)
Forecast, 2008 – 2013
Figure 13.4: Africa & Middle East Fixed 802.16e WiMAX Service Revenues ($m) Forecast, 2008 – 2013
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