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2Q.08 Global Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast
IE Market Research Corp., May 2008, Pages: 176
Global Handset Vendor and Technology Forecasts provides historical and forecasted (2003 - 2011) information on global handset shipments by unit shipments, air interface, generation, and form factor. Vendors with complete coverage include: Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, LG, and Sony-Ericsson.
Notable highlights of the 2Q08 Global Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast include:
- Unit shipments globally are expected to rise from 1.14 billion in 2007 to 1.59 billion in 2011. The biggest story as far as unit shipments are concerned is that we are expecting that shipments of converged mobile devices in the world will increase from 142 million in 2008 to 258 million in 2011, making up 16.2% of the global handset market.
- We expect 67% of the 1.59 billion shipments that will take place in 2011 to be 2.5G handsets. Our model is forecasting that shipments of 2.5G handsets will increase from 900 million in 2008 to 1.06 billion in 2011
- 3G handset shipments are also increasing steadily. Over the forecast period of 2008 - 2011, we expect 3G handset shipment to increase by 75.6% from 200 million to 351 million.
- NOKIA continues to perform well in the global 3G handset market. Nokia’s 3G handsets accounted for 25.2% of all 3G handsets sold in the world in December 2006. The Top 5 vendors - Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, Sony Ericsson and LG - continue to gain market shares from other vendors in the global 3G handset market, primarily because Japanese vendors have not been able to make much inroads into the 3G space in international markets.
Handset Forecasts are based on our proprietary, vendor-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular region; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
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