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2Q.08 Central, Eastern Europe, Middle East, and Africa (CEMA) Handset Vendor and Technology Forecasts
IE Market Research Corp., May 2008, Pages: 32
CEMA Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast provides historical and forecasted (2003 - 2011) information on handset shipments by unit shipments, air interface, generation, and form factor in the CEMA market. Vendors with complete coverage include: Nokia, Motorola, Samsung, LG, and Sony-Ericsson.
Notable highlights of the 2Q08 CEMA Handset Vendor and Technology Forecast include:
- Unit shipments into CEMA markets are expected to rise from 240 million units in 2008 to 303 million units in 2011.
- In CEMA markets, we expect that shipments of converged mobile devices will almost double from 21.6 million in 2008 to 42.4 million in 2011.
- Our model is forecasting that 3G handset shipment in CEMA markets will increase dramatically while 2G Handset shipments fall. We expect 2G handset shipments to reach their maximum in 2008 at 57.7 million units and then start falling as more consumers switch to 3G handsets. For 3G handsets, our model is forecasting 3G handset shipment to increase by 129.4% from 26.4 million to 60.6 million.
- In CEMA emerging markets, Nokia continues its domination. Nokia’s market share in 2006 was 51.8% in CEMA.
Handset Forecasts are based on our proprietary, vendor-specific forecasting models. These models deploy multiple regression analysis and cross-impact matrices that estimate relationships between subscriber data, technology use and deployment data, overall economic and demographic changes expected in a particular region; and relate these to company operational and financial metrics.
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