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TD-SCDMA in China: Two Years Away From Ten Million Users
In-Stat/MDR, June 2008, Pages: 28
The development of TD-SCDMA will remain in its infancy throughout 2008, with the total number of subscribers reaching 600,000. In 2009, following a possible network expansion to tier-two and tier-three cities, the number of TD-SCDMA subscribers will explode to 4.3 million and in 2010 to 15.7 million. By then, China Mobile will be focusing on HSDPA/EDGE instead of just on TD/GSM dual-mode. The capex on TD-SCDMA is estimated to peak at US$5.3 billion by late 2008 or the beginning of 2009.
We believe that the market will move in TD-SCDMA's favor in 2009, and that 2009 will be the turning point for TD-SCDMA's growth rate, which will reach 617%. However, the number of subscribers will not pass 10 million until 2010.
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