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Sugar Confectionery in the United States 2008
Mintel, June 2007, Pages: 101
Scope and Themes What you need to know Definition Data sources Sales data Consumer survey data Abbreviations and terms Abbreviations Terms Executive Summary FDMx sales holding at about $2 billion Convenience stores are the only channel with significant gains The competitive landscape is challenging Chewy candy is the biggest segment, with a 35% share C-stores control about one-third of total sales Children, teens, and young adults drive the market Increasing commodity prices affect candy industry The Hershey Co. is the market leader… for now Innovations from many countries Advertising constrained by childhood obesity concerns Some two-thirds of adults buy candy Impulse drives more than half of purchases Candy preferences: new flavors and concepts Brand choices Kids, teens, candy Market Size and Forecast Key points Candy: not so dandy Kids and candy: a tricky mix FDMx sales Figure 1: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of sugar confectionery at current prices, 2002-12 Figure 2: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of sugar confectionery at inflation-adjusted prices, 2002-12 Wal-Mart sales When factoring in convenience stores, overall sales are more robust Figure 3: U.S. sales of sugar confectionery at convenience stores, at current prices, 2002-07 Figure 4: U.S. sugar confectionery sales at FDMx and convenience stores, at current prices, 2002-07 Competitive Context Key points Snack options go beyond candy Figure 5: Foods chosen to satisfy craving for something sweet, by age, April 2008 If you can’t beat ’em… Drink your candy Segment Performance Key points Chewy candy is biggest seller Packaging and placement are major factors Segment sales summary Figure 6: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of sugar confectionery at current prices, by top five segments, 2002-12 Figure 7: U.S. sales of sugar confectionery, by segment, 2005 and 2007 Segment Performance—Chewy Candy Key points Biggest segment, and most likely to continue to see sales growth Figure 8: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of chewy candy, 2002-12 Segment Performance—Seasonal Candy Key points Seasonal candy sales depend on the calendar Figure 9: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of seasonal candy, 2002-12 Halloween sees greatest sales growth Figure 10: U.S. FDMx Sales of seasonal candy, by holiday, 2005 and 2007 Segment Performance—Novelty Candy Key points Novelty candy’s success depends on innovation Figure 11: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of novelty candy, 2002-12 Segment Performance—Hard Candy Key points A segment in need of help Figure 12: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of hard candy, 2002-12 Segment Performance—Licorice Key points A “plow horse” of a segment Figure 13: U.S. FDMx sales and forecast of licorice, 2002-12 Retail Channels Key points Convenience stores are top venue for candy sales Supermarkets lose sales Figure 14: U.S. sales of sugar confectionery, by retail channel, 2005 and 2007 Retail Channels—Convenience Stores Key points Candy sales growth in c-stores significant C-store operators work hard for their candy income Convenience store sales Figure 15: U.S. sales of sugar confectionery at convenience stores, 2002-07 Retail Channels—Supermarkets Key points Supermarket sales decline Where to put the candy? Supermarket sales Figure 16: U.S. sales of sugar confectionery at supermarkets, 2002-07 Market Drivers Key points Children, teens, and young adults are the candy eaters Figure 17: Projected population by age, 2008 and 2013 Obesity rates among children level off Commodity prices are taking a toll Leading Companies Key points The candy world is in a state of flux Mergers, acquisitions, and questions Figure 18: FDMx Sales of leading sugar confectionery companies, 2005 and 2007 Brand Share—Chewy Candy Key points One-fifth of the segment belongs to Mars Figure 19: FDMx brand sales of chewy candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Brand Share—Seasonal Candy Key points Holiday candy sales dependent on the calendar Different strengths at different holidays Figure 20: Manufacturer share of total seasonal candy FDMx sales, 2005 and 2007 Figure 21: FDMx brand sales of Easter candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Figure 22: FDMx brand sales of Christmas candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Figure 23: FDMx brand sales of Halloween candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Figure 24: FDMx brand sales of Valentine’s Day candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Brand Share—Novelty Candy Key points Market leader has strong backing from book, movie Figure 25: FDMx brand sales of novelty candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Brand Share—Hard Candy Key points A segment in serious trouble Will Wrigley’s sales improve with Mars’ help? Figure 26: FDMx brand sales of hard candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Brand Share—Licorice Key points Hershey’s Twizzler owns the segment Figure 27: FDMx brand sales of licorice in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Brand Qualities A “Peeps” for all seasons Innovation and Innovators Key points International new product launches on the rise Figure 28: New product launches, sugar confectionery, 2002-07 New product trends Many new launches aimed at kids Using licensed characters to capture kids’ attention Gender-based candy for kids Kids still like extreme flavors and colors Truly unusual Healthier candy for kids and adults Creative packaging for sugar-free products Growth in natural and organic candies A move towards “real” ingredients Herbal = healthy Functional candy originated in Asia Vitamin and mineral fortification Breath-freshening beyond mint Advertising and Promotion Overview Teen-focused ads Figure 29: Airheads Pops television ad, 2007 Figure 30: Ring pops television ad, 2007 Figure 31: Sour Patch Kids television ad, 2007 Adult-focused ads Figure 32: Jelly Belly television ad, 2007 Figure 33: Skittles Fruit Sweets television ad, 2007 Figure 34: Starburst Fruit Sweets television ad, 2007 Figure 35: Starbucks Fruit Sweets II television ad, 2007 Healthy candy or candy snack? Figure 36: Yogos television ad, 2007 Usage Key points Figure 37: Purchase incidence of non-chocolate candy, by key demographics, April 2008 Figure 38: People for whom non-chocolate candy is purchased, by household income, April 2008 Figure 39: People for whom non-chocolate candy is purchased, by presence of children under 18 in household, April 2008 Choices to Satisfy Desire for Something Sweet Key points Figure 40: Foods chosen to satisfy craving for something sweet, by age, April 2008 Figure 41: Foods chosen to satisfy craving for something sweet, by race/Hispanic origin, April 2008 Impulse or Planned Purchase? Key points Figure 42: Ways of purchasing non-chocolate candy for personal consumption, by age, April 2008 Figure 43: Ways of purchasing non-chocolate candy for personal consumption, by race/Hispanic origin, April 2008 Non-Chocolate Candy Preferences Key points Figure 44: Opinions about non-chocolate candy (strongly agree/agree), by race/Hispanic origin, April 2008 Figure 45: Interest in non-chocolate confectionery concepts, by age, April 2008 Figure 46: Interest in non-chocolate confectionery concepts, by presence of children under 18 in household, April 2008 Brand Preferences of Adults, Teens and Kids Key points Adults’ preferences are more limited Figure 47: Brands of non-chocolate candy preferred by adults, January 2007-November 2007 Teenagers more likely to choose a wide array of candy Figure 48: Brands of non-chocolate candy preferred by teenagers, January 2007-November 2007 Children like candy they can play with Figure 49: Children’s candy preferences, January 2007-November 2007 Children, Teens and Candy Key points Kids and candy Figure 50: Children’s preferences for non-chocolate candy, April 2008 What teens have to say about candy Figure 51: Opinions about non-chocolate confectionery, by gender, April 2008 Figure 52: Potential motivators for buying candy, April 2008 Appendix: Other Useful Tables People for whom respondents purchase candy Figure 69: People for whom non-chocolate candy is purchased, by age, April 2008 Satisfying a craving for something sweet Figure 70: Foods chosen to satisfy craving for something sweet, by income, April 2008 Figure 71: Foods chosen to satisfy craving for something sweet, by presence of children under 18 in household, April 2008 Opinions about candy Figure 72: Opinions about non-chocolate candy (strongly agree/agree), by age, April 2008 Figure 73: Opinions about non-chocolate candy (strongly agree/agree), by presence of children under age 18 in household, April 2008 Figure 74: Interest in non-chocolate confectionery concepts, by race/Hispanic origin, April 2008 Brand share – smaller segments Figure 75: FDMx brand sales of sugar-free/diet candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Figure 76: FDMx brand sales of nut/coconut candy in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Figure 77: FDMx brand sales of caramel/taffy apple kits and dips in the U.S., 2005 and 2007 Appendix: Trade Associations
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