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France Food and Drink Report Q3 2008
Business Monitor International, July 2008, Pages: 71
Executive Summary 7 Business Environment 8 Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings 8 Western Europe Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q3 2008 11 France’s Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings 11 Table: Global Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings – France’s Peer Group 13
SWOT Analysis 14 Food And Drink 14 France Food And Drink Industry SWOT 14 Mass Grocery Retail 15 France Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT 15 Macroeconomic Outlook 16 Table: France – Macroeconomic Forecasts 18 Food 19
Industry Forecast Scenario 19 Food Consumption 19 Table: France Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts 19 Prepared Food / Canned Food 20 Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 20 Confectionery 20 Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 21 Private Label 21
Industry Developments 21 Market Overview 24 Food Production 24 Organic 26 Prepared Food 26 Drink 28
Industry Forecast Scenario 28 Hot Drinks 28 Table: Hot Drink Value Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 28 Soft Drinks 28 Table: Soft Drink Value Sales – Historical Data & Foreca 29 Alcoholic Drinks 29 Table: Alcoholic Drink Value/Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts 30
Industry Developments 31 Market Overview 33 Soft Drinks 33 Alcoholic Drinks 33 Agriculture At A Glance 34 Table: France Agricultural Sub-Sector Production 34 Table: France Organic Agricultural Data 34 Table: France Dairy Production, Farming & Consumption 34 Agricultural Commodity Price 35
Mass Grocery Retail 36 Industry Forecast Scenario 36 Table: France Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (US$bn) – Historical Data & Forecasts 37 Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format 37 Industry Developments 38 Market Overview 40 Table: Structure Of France's MGR Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets 42 Table: Structure Of France MGR Market – Sales Value By Format (US$bn) 43 Table: Average Value Of Sales Per Outlet (US$mn) By Format 2006 43
Competitive Landscape 44 Key Players 44 Food And Drink 44 Table: Key Players In France's Food & Drink Sector – 2006 44 Mass Grocery Retail 45 Table: Key Players In France's Mass Grocery Retail Sector – 2007 45 Table: Key Players In France's Mass Grocery Retail Sector – 2007 (continued) 46 Company Analysis 47 Food 47 Groupe Danone 47 Nestlé France 48 Drink 49 LVMH Group (Moet Hennessy Louis Vuitton) 49 Pernod Ricard 50 Mass Grocery Retail 51 Carrefour 51 Groupe Auchan 52 Groupe Casino 53
Deep US Recession Scenario 54 Global Scenario 54 Table: World GDP Growth 54 Table: US GDP Growth, Investment Growth And Private Consumption Growth 55 Table: Eurozone GDP Growth 56 Table: Asia, Excluding Japan, GDP Growth 57 Table: China GDP Growth 58 Table: Mexico GDP Growth 58 Table: Africa GDP Growth 59 Western Europe Recession Scenario 60 Table: Impact Of Deep US Recession On Total Food Consumption In Selected Western European Markets – Cumulative Difference Between Core And Recession Scenarios (%) 61
Appendix 63 Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings 63 Ratings Methodology 63 Ratings Overview 63 Ratings System 63 Indicators 63 Limits Of Potential Returns 64 Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns 65 Weighting 66 Weighting 66 BMI Food & Drink Industry Glossary 67 Food & Drink 67 Mass Grocery Retail 67 BMI Food & Drink Forecasting & Sourcing 69 How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts 69 Sourcing 70
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