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Western European Fixed Telecoms: Market Sizings and Forecasts 2008–2014
Analysys Mason Group, Dec 2008
5. Document map – Introduction, scope and methodology 6. This report forecasts aspects of fixed telecoms markets in 17 individual countries 7. The data annex provides the following measures 8. The forecasts measure end-user spend by type of site and type of service… 9. …and are based on spend per site, not on spend per enterprise 10. Sites are further categorised by level of bandwidth used 11. Line data is broken down by the principal narrowband and broadband fixed technologies 12. Narrowband access and services spend has separable components 13. Broadband spend does not have easily separable components, but can be broken down by access technology 14. Business network services encompass managed and unmanaged WAN-environment data services 15. Fixed minutes include PSTN/ISDN and VoIP 16. For the purposes of this report, IPTV means linear TV delivered over broadband networks 17. Actual and historical market sizing is calculated around the central equation ‘ASPS × penetration = spend’ 18. There are three main sets of inputs into the forecasts 19. The forecasts are intended to predict outcomes, rather than to model market opportunity
20. Document map – Individual service outlook 21. The economic environment for telecoms has changed dramatically 22. On the supply side, the economic downturn could fracture vertically integrated operators’ businesses 23. Weaker market players will disappear, removing some competitive pressures 24. On the demand side, the economic downturn will be felt most in business telecoms 25. Moderate pressure on household budgets could benefit triple play, but more severe pressure will benefit mobile 26. The underlying cost structure of fixed telecoms may be a disadvantage if retail telecoms spending is curtailed 27. In mature markets, spend on and demand for voice are stable, and users tend to maximise mobile voice usage 28. The mobile premium is generally, although not universally, in decline 29. Small changes in mobile premiums can have dramatic effects on fixed and mobile usage 61. Key trends in Ireland 62. Basic forecast indicators, Ireland 63. Key trends in Italy 64. Basic forecast indicators, Italy 65. Key trends in the Netherlands 66. Basic forecast indicators, the Netherlands 67. Key trends in Norway 68. Basic forecast indicators, Norway 69. Key trends in Portugal 70. Basic forecast indicators, Portugal 71. Key trends in Spain 72. Basic forecast indicators, Spain 73. Key trends in Sweden 74. Basic forecast indicators, Sweden 75. Key trends in Switzerland 76. Basic forecast indicators, Switzerland 77. Key trends in the UK 78. Basic forecast indicators, the UK
79. Document map – Authors, copyright and key to acronyms 80. Authors [1] 81. Authors [2] and acknowledgements 82. Copyright and disclaimer 83. Key to acronyms [1] 84. Key to acronyms [2]
85. Document map – List of figures 86. List of figures [1] 87. List of figures [2] 88. List of figures [3] 89. List of figures [4] 90. List of figures [5] 91. List of figures [6] 92. List of figures [7] 93. List of figures [8] 94. List of figures [9]
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