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Communications Markets in Russia - 2009 Edition
Pyramid Research, Inc., Feb 2009, Pages: 30
We estimate Russia’s telecommunications services market reached $37.2bn in 2008. We expect that it will grow to $48.5bn by 2013, equating to a CAGR of 5.4%, the fastest in the entire Central & Eastern European region. Mobile voice continues to be the largest revenue segment and is expected to remain so for the forecast period. Nevertheless, the growth rate for mobile voice services will trail that of fixed voice, which will continue its revenue growth at a CAGR of 4.9% through 2013. Mobile data’s share of total revenue will grow from 9.2% in 2008 to 13.5% in 2013, reaching $6.5bn in 2013. Another emerging sector is fixed broadband — its share has grown from 2.8% in 2007 to an estimated 4.0% in 2008 and will eventually command 5.8% of total revenue by 2013, amounting to roughly $2.8bn. Fixed VoIP and IPTV will grow at much faster rates over the forecast period, but their effect on total service revenue will be minimal due to the small scale and start-up stages of the market.
Significant changes are coming to Russia's telecommunications market, as new government initiatives and shifting demand for services that have a strong impact on revenues and the competitive landscape in one of the world's fastest-growing telecom markets, according to this latest report.
Communications Markets in Russia offers a precise, incisive profile of the converged telecommunications, media, and technology sectors in Russia based on exclusive market and economic data collected by us. The 30-page report provides detailed competitive analysis of both the fixed and mobile sectors, tracks the market shares of technologies and services, and monitors the introduction and spread of new technologies such as WiMax, IPTV, and VoIP.
The telecom market in Russia generated an estimated $37.2 billion in service revenue in 2008, an increase of approximately 20 percent over 2007 revenues, notes Andrei Tchadliev, analyst at Pyramid Research and author of the report. We estimate that Russia's telecom services sector will be worth $48.5 billion in 2013, equating to a CAGR of about 5.4 percent over the next five years, making Russia not only the largest market in the Central and Eastern European region but also the fastest growing one.
'As revenue growth continues, Russia's telecom sector will undergo some significant changes that will affect the competitive landscape over the next five years,' Tchadliev says. 'Mobile voice revenues in Russia will level off and begin to decline by 2011, but revenues from mobile data services will rise by a CAGR of nearly 14 percent over the next five years,' he says, adding that fixed broadband Internet services also will fuel revenue growth.
'Government policies could have a negative impact on the revenue opportunities for competing network operators and their technology suppliers,' Tchadliev warns. 'Russia remains one of the largest and most promising markets in the world, but its increasingly closed way of doing business, first exhibited in the energy sector, is quickly spreading to all levels of the economy,' he says. 'In the past year, foreign-owned companies, such as Telenor and Tele2, have seen the Russian market and regulators becoming markedly hostile to the concept of majority foreign ownership of telecommunications firms.'
Communications Markets in Russia is part of our Central and Eastern Europe Country Intelligence Report Series. Our premium Country Intelligence Reports are the industry's best available analysis on market trends, regulatory environments, and competitive dynamics for 60 countries worldwide.
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