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World Electricity Meter Report Ed 7 2009 & Database
ABS Energy Research, May 2009, Pages: 321
The world is adopting advanced metering. So far 32 countries have decided to proceed and the global metering market will increase 56% in five years, with more to follow. However, it is not all good news. Amidst these exciting developments there are traps for the unwary. There are immediate hurdles to be jumped and long term pitfalls to be avoided.
Not every deployment will offer the same opportunities to the international meter manufacturers. Some of the largest schemes are in markets which are not accessible to the international vendors. To optimise the opportunity the good planner will need to direct resources to the countries where the chances are best, and the report offers guidance on this.
Long term the problem is that the dynamics of the market will be totally changed, in two ways. After the initial deployments in the next five to ten years two things will happen. There will be an immediate lull in demand. On current plans for AMI, the European market alone will decline by almost 60% for a period as large swathes of the meter fleet will have been completely renewed and will need no replacement. Another ripple to this comes with privatisation in Eastern Europe. Old electromechanical meters are being replaced by (mostly) basic electronic meters, creating another category of new meter fleets. At some point after that replacement will recommence, and it wlll be based on a shorter meter life than in the traditional electromechanical meter installations, so demand will increase.
In past years before these technology changes meter demand approximated to a sine curve. This is now being interrupted not once but by two factors. These trends are in their infancy and as yet are not completely mapped because full plans are not yet known. They are discussed in the report and will be addressed in increasing detail in future issues of the report as we have the data to fill in more elements of the future data map. They are crucial for meter company planners.
The ABS Electricity Meters Report Ed 7 2009 has measured the largest expansion of metering, already under way and about to escalate significantly, both quantitative and qualitative. This electricity market research report is redesigned and greatly expanded in scope compared with previous editions of this report. The changes and expansions have been designed to meet the need of the metering industry for information at their specific request. The metering companies have given strong support and have been generous in time and provision of information. We would like to acknowledge their generous support.
The world is adopting advanced metering. So far 32 countries have decided to proceed and the global metering market will increase 56% in five years, with more to follow. However, it is not all good news. Amidst these exciting developments there are traps for the unwary. There are immediate hurdles to be jumped and long term pitfalls to be avoided. Not every deployment will offer the same opportunities to the international meter manufacturers. Some of the largest schemes are in markets which are not accessible to the international vendors. To optimise the opportunity the good planner will direct resources to the countries where the chances are best and the Electricity Meter Report offers guidance on this. Long term the problem is that the dynamics of the market will be totally changed, in two ways. After the initial deployments in the next five to ten years two things will happen. There will be an immediate lull in demand. On current plans for AMI, the European market alone will decline by almost 60% as large swathes of the meter fleet will have been completely renewed and will need no replacement. Another ripple to this comes with privatisation in Eastern Europe as old electromechanical meters are being replaced by basic electronic meters, creating another category of new meter fleets. At some point after that replacement will recommence, and it will be based on a shorter meter life than in the traditional electromechanical meter installations, so demand will increase. These issues are starting and as yet are not completely mapped because full plans are not yet known. They are discussed in the report and will be addressed in increasing detail in future issues of the report. They are crucial for meter company planners.
Report Scope:
The report contains the following
- Total market demand for meters and market values in dollars and euros forecast to 2012:
- Global
- By region
- Country (184 covered)
- Export analysis
- Marketing analysis of 50 countries covering the following topics:
- Analysis by user segment, residential versus C&I, penetration of meters and market demand
- Analysis of each market by 8 meter types/technologies:
- Residential electromechanical
- Residential electronic
- Ripple control
- AMR
- AMI
- Pre-payment
- C&I
- Grid
- Market shares for the 50 countries (with a few exceptions)
- Analysis of future trends
In 2007, 2008 and continuing in 2009 many countries have decided to re-configure their metering systems with advanced 2-way fixed network AMI. The report identifies 32 national AMI roll-outs (to date with more to follow) covering 416 million electricity end points in the next 5 to 12 years. These do not included smaller utility installations, mainly C&I, but are the large national deployments of residential advanced meters, which will completely change the way the world measures and manages electricity and gas consumption. The bulk of these deployments are spread over Europe, Asia and North America. They range from the largest (the 170 million roll-out for electricity in China), the smallest but most comprehensive 43,000 national deployment in Greenland (for electricity, gas, water and heat) to the most ambitious 22 million Homenet deployment in Korea (with electricity management only as one element of comprehensive household data and management services). However, it is one thing to measure a market expansion, but another to find an accessible market offering potential for the metering companies. The report examines opportunities within existing decisions/plans, and quantifies where the next wave of potential for AMI deployments will come. The report examines the accessibility of the markets and identifies those which are probable and accessible and those which are not in the international mainstream and to all intents and purposes not available as markets.
The metering companies are examined and we have continued our policy of identifying the most interesting national and regional companies in a new section of the report called ‘Big Players and Rising Stars’.
Outline of the Report:
The report contains the following:
Meter market size
- Demand for electricity meters for every country (184 countries), units, value in $ and €
- Demand forecasts for each country from 2008 to 2012
Market analysis and meter types
- Analysis of the installed base of electromechanical and electronic (AMR and AMI) meters by country
- Future trends of electromechanical/basic and advanced electronic meter deployment in major markets, with country analysis
Market shares
- Company mergers and consolidations
- Global shares of top 23 meter companies
- Major new players identified, ‘Rising Stars’
- Market shares of leading meter vendors in 40 countries
- Report on prepayment meters in the UK AMR (Automatic Meter Reading) and AMI (Advanced Infrastructure Management)
- The report outlines the transition from one-way to two-way communications and the convergence of AMR towards AMI technology and capability
- Survey of global AMR and deployment
- Future trends and deployment projections for AMI and AMR
Detailed surveys of the 50 largest electricity meter markets, 82% of the market (expanded from 29 market profiles in the previous report)
50 countries covered:
- Europe – Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Russia, Slovak Republic, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom
- North America – Canada, Mexico, United States
- South America – Overview of South America, Argentina, Brazil, Chile
- Asia Pacific - Australia, China, India, Indonesia, Japan, Korea (South), Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam
- Middle East – Overview of the Middle East, Iran
- Africa – Overview of Africa, Egypt, South Africa
For each of the 50 countries
- Installed base meters by country
- Annual meter demand
- Analysis of meter type – electromechanical, basic residential electronic, ripple control, AMR, AMI, prepayment/ C&I, grid, with forecasts to 2012
- Market trend
- AMR and AMI development and deployment trends
- Type approval and certification, together with significant changes which are driving market development
- Market shares and participants
- Utility background and ESI market characteristics
Tables and spreadsheets containing:
- Market size, analysis and forecasts for every market, for each of 184 countries
- Annual meter demand
- Market size and forecast for each year from 2006 to 2012 for every country, units and $ value
- Historical export data from 1997 to 2008
- Analysis of exports from all countries to all destinations, for 2003, 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007 and 2008
Meter Manufacturing Companies
- Major meter companies outlined, with consolidations and mergers
- Significant new meter companies identified, the ‘Rising Stars’ from Central & Eastern Europe and developing world
- Directory of 1,000 meter manufacturers, including 570 electricity meter companies
Metrology
- Outline of global metrology institutions and standards, procedures for type approval and meter verification
- Regional details and cooperation arrangements
- Methodology changes which are driving meter market developments
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