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Japan Commercial Banking Report Q2 2009

Business Monitor International, June 2009, Pages: 49


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The Japan Commercial Banking Report provides independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Japan's commercial banking sector.

In Q209 BMI is making a number of changes which the publisher hopes will substantially improve the impact and value of our reports on the commercial banking sectors of various countries. Since they introduced the commercial banking reports in mid-2004, they have sought to generate insights by combining information from a number of sources. They have collated data pertinent to entire commercial banking sectors that have been published by central banks, regulators and/or trade associations. The publisher has collated basic information concerning individual market participants. They have also considered BMI’s current views on the economic outlook for the country in question. Many aspects have been – and continue to be – brought together in a systematic way through their proprietary Commercial Bank Business Environment Ratings (CBBER), which facilitate cross-country comparisons. The key changes in Q209 – and what they mean for readers – are as follows:

Comprehensively Upgraded Database
The report has now incorporated as much data as it can for 2008. The publisher has also considered the size of total bank assets, client loans, capital and client deposits in relation to the overall economy, as well as in absolute terms. The report calculates figures in local currency terms, US dollar terms and euro terms. The report has extended its forecast horizon out to 2013. The report has also improved the coverage of historical data in this report.

Concise Analysis Of The Sector
The structural strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats (SWOT) of commercial banking do not usually change much from quarter to quarter. Nevertheless, they need to be explained in some detail – even if only so that they may provide a context for the rest of the report. The report re-examines and (in most cases) substantially extended the SWOT analysis. Much more than previously, the SWOT analysis represents an ‘at a glance’ overview of what really matters for the overall commercial banking sector.

Broader And Deeper International Context
For a long time – before the global financial crisis reached a critical phase in mid-September 2008 – commercial banking was inherently international in nature. In other words, it was a rare commercial banking sector indeed that was totally isolated from cross-border influences. However, international influences have become even more important than before as a result of the crisis.

Deeper Economic Analysis
The report includes more extensive coverage of views of the economic outlook for each country. The report also includes a section that deals with monetary and exchange rate policy.

Clearer Identification Of Protagonists
The report now looks more closely at the mandates of central banks, regulators and trade associations. Clearer Definition Of The Commercial Banking Universe

It now includes a specific definition of the universe of commercial banks in each country. In most cases, it also includes a comprehensive list of identifiable institutions (the main exception to this is the US, where the publisher confines the list to the 50 largest banks in terms of deposits). By defining the commercial banking universe, and listing a greater number of active institutions in each country, they hope that their reports are of much greater value to other researchers.

A sample from the extended Commercial Banking SWOT Analysis below summarises what we see as some of the key issues in this report.


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