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The 2009 Import and Export Market for Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms in Latin America

ICON Group International, May 2009, Pages: 35

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the market in Latin America face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying propylene copolymers in primary forms to Latin America? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of propylene copolymers in primary forms vary from one country to another in Latin America? Do exporters serving the market in Latin America have similar market shares across the importing countries? On the supply side, Latin America also sells to the international market of propylene copolymers in primary forms. Which countries in Latin America supply the most exports of propylene copolymers in primary forms? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for propylene copolymers in primary forms in Latin America. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for propylene copolymers in primary forms for those countries serving Latin America via exports or supplying from Latin America via imports. We do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Latin America fits into the world market for imported and exported propylene copolymers in primary forms. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Latin America in particular, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries in Latin America are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets within Latin America. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports for Latin America, Chapter 3 details the exports of propylene copolymers in primary forms, but for each individual country in Latin America. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of propylene copolymers in primary forms for all countries in Latin America. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of propylene copolymers in primary forms to and from Latin America to and from all other countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in propylene copolymers in primary forms (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Propylene Copolymers in Primary Forms" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "propylene copolymers in primary forms" is 57513 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=575 .

1 METHODOLOGY 6
1.1 Our Approach 6
2 LATIN AMERICA’S SHARE OF THE WORLD MARKET 12
2.1 Exports from Latin America as Share of the World Export Market 12
2.2 Imports in Latin America as Share of the World Import Market 14
3 EXPORTS FROM LATIN AMERICA 18
3.1 Executive Summary 18
3.2 Argentina 20
3.3 Brazil 21
3.4 Chile 22
3.5 Colombia 22
3.6 Mexico 23
3.7 Panama 23
3.8 Venezuela 23
4 IMPORTS INTO LATIN AMERICA 24
4.1 Executive Summary 24
4.2 Argentina 26
4.3 Bolivia 26
4.4 Brazil 27
4.5 Chile 28
4.6 Colombia 29
4.7 Costa Rica 29
4.8 Ecuador 30
4.9 El Salvador 30
4.10 Guatemala 31
4.11 Mexico 31
4.12 Peru 32
4.13 Uruguay 32
4.14 Venezuela 33
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 34
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 34
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 35

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