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The 2009 Import and Export Market for Crude Peanut Oil in Europe

ICON Group International, May 2009, Pages: 30

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the market in Europe face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying crude peanut oil to Europe? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of crude peanut oil vary from one country to another in Europe? Do exporters serving the market in Europe have similar market shares across the importing countries? On the supply side, Europe also sells to the international market of crude peanut oil. Which countries in Europe supply the most exports of crude peanut oil? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for crude peanut oil in Europe. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for crude peanut oil for those countries serving Europe via exports or supplying from Europe via imports. We do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Europe fits into the world market for imported and exported crude peanut oil. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Europe in particular, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries in Europe are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets within Europe. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports for Europe, Chapter 3 details the exports of crude peanut oil, but for each individual country in Europe. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of crude peanut oil for all countries in Europe. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of crude peanut oil to and from Europe to and from all other countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in crude peanut oil (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Crude Peanut Oil" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "crude peanut oil" is 42131 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=421 .

1 METHODOLOGY 6
1.1 Our Approach 6
2 EUROPE’S SHARE OF THE WORLD MARKET 10
2.1 Exports from Europe as Share of the World Export Market 10
2.2 Imports in Europe as Share of the World Import Market 12
3 EXPORTS FROM EUROPE 16
3.1 Executive Summary 16
3.2 Belgium 18
3.3 France 18
3.4 Germany 18
3.5 Italy 19
3.6 Spain 19
3.7 the Netherlands 19
3.8 the United Kingdom 20
4 IMPORTS INTO EUROPE 21
4.1 Executive Summary 21
4.2 Belgium 23
4.3 Denmark 23
4.4 Finland 23
4.5 France 24
4.6 Germany 24
4.7 Ireland 25
4.8 Italy 25
4.9 Luxembourg 25
4.10 Portugal 26
4.11 Spain 26
4.12 Sweden 26
4.13 Switzerland 27
4.14 the Netherlands 27
4.15 the United Kingdom 28
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 29
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 29
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 30

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