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The 2009 Import and Export Market for Live Bovine Animals in Africa

ICON Group International, May 2009, Pages: 27

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the market in Africa face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying live bovine animals to Africa? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of live bovine animals vary from one country to another in Africa? Do exporters serving the market in Africa have similar market shares across the importing countries? On the supply side, Africa also sells to the international market of live bovine animals. Which countries in Africa supply the most exports of live bovine animals? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for live bovine animals in Africa. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for live bovine animals for those countries serving Africa via exports or supplying from Africa via imports. We do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Africa fits into the world market for imported and exported live bovine animals. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Africa in particular, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries in Africa are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets within Africa. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports for Africa, Chapter 3 details the exports of live bovine animals, but for each individual country in Africa. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of live bovine animals for all countries in Africa. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of live bovine animals to and from Africa to and from all other countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in live bovine animals (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Live Bovine Animals" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "live bovine animals" is 0011 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=001 .

1 METHODOLOGY 6
1.1 Our Approach 6
2 AFRICA’S SHARE OF THE WORLD MARKET 8
2.1 Exports from Africa as Share of the World Export Market 8
2.2 Imports in Africa as Share of the World Import Market 10
3 EXPORTS FROM AFRICA 14
3.1 Executive Summary 14
3.2 Burkina Faso 15
3.3 Cameroon 16
3.4 Chad 16
3.5 Djibouti 16
3.6 Ethiopia 16
3.7 Kenya 17
3.8 Niger 17
3.9 Somalia 17
3.10 South Africa 17
3.11 Sudan 18
3.12 Zambia 18
4 IMPORTS INTO AFRICA 19
4.1 Executive Summary 19
4.2 Algeria 21
4.3 Burkina Faso 21
4.4 Cameroon 21
4.5 Cape Verde 22
4.6 Gabon 22
4.7 Kenya 22
4.8 Malawi 23
4.9 Mauritius 23
4.10 Morocco 23
4.11 Senegal 24
4.12 Togo 24
4.13 Tunisia 24
4.14 Uganda 25
4.15 Zimbabwe 25
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 26
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 26
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 27

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