The 2009 Import and Export Market for Nitrogenous Minerals and Chemical Fertilizers in Asia
ICON Group International, May 2009, Pages: 41
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners approaching the market in Asia face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers to Asia? What is the dollar value of these imports? How much do the imports of nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers vary from one country to another in Asia? Do exporters serving the market in Asia have similar market shares across the importing countries? On the supply side, Asia also sells to the international market of nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers. Which countries in Asia supply the most exports of nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers? Which countries are buying their exports? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers in Asia. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics that appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers for those countries serving Asia via exports or supplying from Asia via imports. We do so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Asia fits into the world market for imported and exported nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Asia in particular, is based on a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the shares that countries in Asia are likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize markets within Asia. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports for Asia, Chapter 3 details the exports of nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers, but for each individual country in Asia. Chapter 4 does the same, but for imports of nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers for all countries in Asia. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present the complete picture for imports and exports of nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers to and from Asia to and from all other countries in the world. Of the 150 countries considered, if a country is not reported here it is therefore estimated to have only a negligible level of trade in nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers (i.e. their market shares are close or equal to zero percent). "Nitrogenous Minerals and Chemical Fertilizers" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "nitrogenous minerals and chemical fertilizers" is 5621 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=562 .
1 METHODOLOGY 6
1.1 Our Approach 6
2 ASIA’S SHARE OF THE WORLD MARKET 8
2.1 Exports from Asia as Share of the World Export Market 8
2.2 Imports in Asia as Share of the World Import Market 10
3 EXPORTS FROM ASIA 14
3.1 Executive Summary 14
3.2 Bangladesh 16
3.3 China 17
3.4 Hong Kong 18
3.5 India 18
3.6 Indonesia 19
3.7 Japan 20
3.8 Malaysia 20
3.9 Philippines 21
3.10 Singapore 21
3.11 South Korea 21
3.12 Sri Lanka 22
3.13 Taiwan 22
3.14 Thailand 22
3.15 Vietnam 23
4 IMPORTS INTO ASIA 24
4.1 Executive Summary 24
4.2 Bangladesh 27
4.3 China 28
4.4 Hong Kong 28
4.5 India 29
4.6 Indonesia 30
4.7 Japan 31
4.8 Malaysia 32
4.9 Maldives 33
4.10 Mongolia 33
4.11 Philippines 34
4.12 Seychelles 34
4.13 Singapore 35
4.14 South Korea 36
4.15 Sri Lanka 37
4.16 Taiwan 38
4.17 Thailand 39
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 40
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 40
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 41
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