Indonesia Food and Drink Report Q3 2009
Business Monitor International, June 2009, Pages: 71
The Indonesia Food Drink Report provides independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Indonesia's food and drink industry.
While Indonesia’s economy is outperforming most other Asian countries whose economies have been hit hard by falling global trade, this quarter has still seen little merger, acquisition or expansion activity. This is most likely as a result of companies remaining cautious in the face of the current global economic crisis.
Despite prevailing economic conditions, Indonesian food company Indofood Sukses Makmur has posted strong 2008 financials, with sales growth achieved across all operating segments. Indofood's revenues increased by 39.3% to reach IDR38.8trn (US$3.34bn), however, the company refrained from making any bullish statements about its prospects for 2009. One company not worried about making such statements is Charoen Pokphand Indonesia, who announced this quarter that for the 2009 financial year it expects income to reach IDR13trn (US$1.18bn). This optimism is not surprising when per-capita food consumption is predicted to rise by 9.74% from 2008 to reach US$273.8 in 2009.
Moving to the mass grocery retail sector (MGR), this quarter Indonesian retailer Matahari Putra Prima announced results for the 2008 financial year. Sales increased 22.6% year-on-year (y-o-y) to reach IDR12trn (US$1.09bn), food sales accounted for IDR5.7trn (US$499.3mn) of this figure. However, despite the strong growth in sales the company suffered a decline in net profit to IDR10bn. The company remains positive amid the current global economic crisis and is planning to increase sales by 20% in 2009. This does not seem unrealistic when value sales through modern retail outlets are expected to increase 13.2% from 2008 to reach US$5.93bn in 2009, increasing yet further to reach US$9.36bn in 2013. Despite the company’s positivism, this quarter it announced that it is to slowdown its expansion plans as part of a pre-cautionary measure to save money during this period of economic uncertainty. Despite the current air of caution, we has forecast GDP growth of 3.6% for 2009, followed by a recovery to 4.5% in 2010, this offers some positivity for the country’s long-term outlook.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
SWOT ANALYSIS
Indonesia Food Industry SWOT
Indonesia Drink Industry SWOT
Indonesia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Regional Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings
Table: Asia Pacific Food & Drink Business Environment Ratings Q3 2009
Indonesia’s Food & Drink Business Environment Rating
Macroeconomic Outlook
Table: Indonesia – Economic Activity
FOOD
Industry Forecast Scenario
Food Consumption
Table: Food Consumption Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
Canned Food
Confectionery
Table: Value/Volume Sales, Selected Food Sub-sectors – Historical Data & Forecasts
Trade
Table: Indonesia Food & Drink Trade Indicators – Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Food Production
Confectionery
Halal
Agriculture
Organics
Fisheries
DRINK
Industry Forecast Scenario
Hot Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
Soft Drinks
Table: Indonesia Beverage Sub-Sectors – Value And Volume Sales – Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Soft Drinks
Alcoholic Drinks
RETAIL
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Indonesia Mass Grocery Retail Sales by Format
Table: Grocery Retail Sales by Format (%) – Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Developments
Market Overview
Table: Structure of Indonesia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector – Estimated Number of Outlets
Table: Structure of Indonesia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector – Sales by Format (US$mn)
Average Annual Sales by Format (US$mn), 2007
Competitive Landscape
Key Players
Food and Drink
Table: Key Players in Indonesia's Food & Drink Sector – 2007
Mass Grocery Retail
Table: Key Players in Indonesia's Mass Grocery Retail Sector, 2008
COMPANY ANALYSIS
Food
Indofood Sukses Makmur Terbuka
Drink
Coca-Cola Amatil (CCA)
Aqua Golden Mississippi (Aqua)
Mass Grocery Retail
Matahari Putra Prima
Carrefour
APPENDIX
COMMODITY PRICE FORECASTS
Corn
Table: Corn, 2005-2010
Soybean
Table: Soybean, 2005-2010
Rice
Table: Rice, 2005-2010
Wheat
Table: Wheat, 2005-2010
Cocoa
Table: Cocoa, 2005-2010
Coffee
Table: Coffee, 2005-2010
Milk
Table: Milk, 2005-2010
Sugar
Table: Sugar, 2005-2010
COUNTRY SNAPSHOT: INDONESIA DEMOGRAPHIC DATA
Section 1: Population
Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
Section 2: Education and Healthcare
Table: Education, 2000-2005
Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
Section 3: Labour Market & Spending Power
Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2010 (US$)
Table: Average Annual Manufacturing Wages, 2000-2012 (IDR)
FOOD & DRINK BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT RATINGS
Ratings Methodology
Ratings Overview
Ratings System
Indicators
Limits Of Potential Returns
Risks To Realisation Of Potential Returns
Weighting
Weighting
BMI FOOD & DRINK INDUSTRY GLOSSARY
Food & Drink
Mass Grocery Retail
BMI FOOD & DRINK FORECASTING & SOURCING
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Sourcing
- Indofood Sukses Makmur Terbuka
- Coca-Cola Amatil (CCA)
- Aqua Golden Mississippi (Aqua)
- Matahari Putra Prima
- Carrefour
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