Poland Agribusiness Report Q3 2009
Business Monitor International, July 2009, Pages: 66
Poland Agribusiness service provides proprietary medium term price forecasts for key commodities, including corn, wheat, rice, sugar, cocoa, coffee, soy and milk; in addition to newly-researched competitive intelligence on leading agribusiness producers, traders and suppliers; in-depth analysis of latest industry developments; and essential industry context on Poland's agribusiness service.
This report analyses supply and demand in Poland's changing dairy, grain, rice, sugar and livestock sectors. It considers recent developments and looks at how production levels and consumption are likely to play out to the end of the forecast period in 2013.
Poland is one of the EU's most important agricultural product providers. It is a significant producer of wheat, sugar beet, pork, poultry and milk, and, although only touched upon by this report, it is one of the leading EU suppliers of rye, triticale, oats, rape, potatoes, carrots, onions, apples and cherries. It is generally a net exporter of meat and dairy products. About 77% of the agricultural land is arable, 2% is covered by orchards and about 20% is permanent pasture.
Agri-food exports have increased considerably in recent years, in 2008 the value of foreign sales reached EUR11.3bn, up 12.1% compared to the year before (Ministry of Agriculture). Most of the exports, worth EUR8.5bn, went to the EU-27, Germany being the biggest market. The value of imported agri-food products in 2008 was EUR9.8bn, up 21.7% on 2007.
Since joining the EU Poland's agriculture industry has been, and is still being, forced into significant change in order to be competitive. In an effort to encourage consolidation of the fragmented farming system; to help bring farms and processing units up to EU production, health and safety standards, and to help give impetus to the food industry, the EU, in conjunction with the national government, has handed over billions of euros in subsidies and other types of financial support. Additional support is provided by the World Bank.
Slowly this seems to be working and despite inevitable fluctuations in market conditions for certain products (the pig industry has suffered in the recent EU pig crisis), farms are generally becoming more productive, farmers are generally becoming richer and the food industry is developing well.
All this has helped expand the larger Polish economy, which in recent years has seen a significant improvement in GDP and consumer spending power (although the recession is now taking a toll - in May 2009 the IMF approved a one year US$20.58bn arrangement for Poland under the Flexible Credit Line). The westernisation of consumer food preferences is providing further opportunities for agricultural producers and processors and the winners will be those who can adapt best. Poland's encouragement of foreign investment in the food industry is helping to meet shifting consumer demands and drive the industry forward.
Significant opportunities still remain in some sectors such as organic production, which could particularly suit many of Poland's small farms. Conversely, a greater acceptance of genetically modified (GM) organisms could help crop and livestock producers.
In response to the EU Renewable Energy Directive which stipulates that by 2020 at least 10% of fuel used in transport will be from biofuel or electric power, there is some excitement about the possible benefits of domestic biofuel production for crop and sugar beet growers. However, it remains to be seen how this plays out. According to a Reuters report Poland is the fourth biggest EU producer of bio-ethanol, though a long way behind France, Germany and Spain.
The current economic downturn is of course a threat to Poland's agricultural sector, as it is to most others around the world.
Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
Poland Agricultural SWOT
Industry Business Environment Overview
Market Overview
Supply Demand Analysis
Industry Forecast - Poland Dairy Outlook
Table: Poland Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Poland Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Milk Production & Consumption
Table: Poland Butter Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Cheese Production, Consumption & Trade
Industry Forecast – Poland Grain Outlook
Table; Poland Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Barley Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Wheat Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Corn Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Barley Production, Consumption & Trade
Industry Forecast – Poland Livestock Outlook
Table: Poland Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Poultry Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Pork Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Beef & Veal Production, Consumption & Trade
Industry Forecast – Poland Rice Outlook
Table: Poland Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Rice Production, Consumption & Trade
Industry Forecast – Poland Sugar Outlook
Table: Poland Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Table: Poland Sugar Production, Consumption & Trade
Competitive Landscape
Table: Agricultural Commodity Producers & Traders
Table: Agribusiness Suppliers
Table: Integrated Agricultural Producers
Market Strategy - Grains Update
Corn
Table: Corn
Soybean
Table: Soybean
Rice
Table: Rice
Wheat
Table: Wheat
Market Strategy Softs Update
Cocoa
Table: Cocoa
Coffee
Table Coffee
Milk
Table: Milk
Sugar
Table: Sugar
Downstream Supply Chain Analysis
Industry Forecast Scenario - Food
Table: Poland Food Consumption Indicators -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Confectionery
Table: Poland Confectionery Indicators -- Historical Data & Forecasts (US$mn, unless otherwise stated)
Canned Food
Table: Poland Canned Foods Indicators -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Trade
Table: Poland Food, Drink & Tobacco Trade Indicators (US$mn) -- Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Forecast Scenario – Retail
Industry Forecast Scenario
Table: Poland Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format (US$bn)
Table: Poland Grocery Retail Sales By Format -- Historical Data And Forecasts (%)
Macroeconomic Outlook
Recession To Reach Bottom In Q209-Q309
Poland - Economic Activity
Forecast Modelling
How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
Company News Alert
Drosed Eyeing Expansion
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