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Sub-Saharan African Biofuels Market

Frost & Sullivan, June 2009, Pages: 131

This Frost & Sullivan research service titled Sub-Saharan African Biofuels Market provides an analysis of the total biofuels market in the region. The research offers a comprehensive overview of the market for biodiesel and ethanol, as well as feedstock used for the following key countries: Nigeria, South Africa, Ghana, Kenya, Zambia and Mozambique. The market size in revenues and growth rates are forecast from 2010 to 2017. Finally, an opportunity analysis is provided for biofuels in the key countries and recommendations are made for market participants.

Market Overview

Environmental Concerns, Coupled with the Need to Ensure Energy Independence, Promote the Popularity of Biofuels

Despite serious challenges to its development, the Sub-Saharan African biofuels market is anticipated to experience rapid growth in the next five years. High EU and US targets for inclusion of biofuels in their fuel supply have been a key driver for biofuels projects in Sub-Saharan Africa. In addition, intensified government support for the market has helped attract increased investment into biofuels production in the region. “Globally, growing awareness of environmental issues and finite energy sources has led to heightened investment into alternative and renewable energy,” notes the analyst of this research. “Biofuels have received increased support in an effort to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and for their role in helping countries to achieve energy independence.”

Promisingly, many countries in Sub-Saharan Africa have suitable climatic conditions as well as land to grow the feedstock required for biofuels production. Biofuels have the potential to reduce countries’ fuel import bills significantly and make the funds available for much-needed poverty alleviation and development. A large percentage of the population in Africa relies on agriculture for its livelihood. Growing energy crops could provide an income for subsistence and small-scale farmers and support rural development initiatives.

Delays in Regulatory Formulation and Implementation Hamper Market Development

Delays in formulating and implementing the regulatory framework for biofuels production have been a major restraint for the development of the biofuels market. In addition, limited infrastructure in many of the Sub-Saharan African countries remains a challenge for potential biofuels manufacturers. “Legislating mandatory blending into a country’s fuel supply will create a secure market for biofuels,” states the analyst. “At present, however, the uncertainty related to policy has made investors hesitant about investing in this industry, which is still in its infancy.”

Many foreign companies and organisations and local commercial farmers have invested in land or have made agreements with out-growers for growing energy crops and setting up pilot production facilities. This is to ensure that production can begin once the regulations are in place. In the absence of mandatory blending, manufacturers are looking to target other fuel end-users. These include commercial farmers, trucking and equipment companies, the export market and the local communities that have limited or no access to electricity. Biodiesel manufacturers that target the local market will need to ensure that they develop and maintain good relationships with their customers. Ensuring that the product adheres to the necessary standards for use as a fuel is essential. “For manufacturers targeting the export market, taking sustainability criteria into consideration will be critical to securing market access,” advises the analyst. “African governments will need to take a proactive stance to ensuring that the industry’s development is regulated to prevent the potential negative impact on food security and the environment.”

Market Sectors

Expert Frost & Sullivan analysts thoroughly examine the following market sectors in this research:

By Fuel Type:

- Biodiesel
- Ethanol

By Geographic Region:
- Nigeria
- South Africa
- Ghana
- Kenya
- Zambia
- Mozambique

1. Executive Summary

2. Research Aim and Objectives

3. Research Scope and Definitions

4. Research Methodology

5. Biofuels in Sub-Saharan Africa
- 5.1 Introduction
- 5.2 Technology Analysis
- 5.3 Introduction to Key Countries
- 5.3 a. South Africa, Mozambique, Zambia, Ghana, Nigeria and Kenya
- 5.4 Industry Best Practice
- 5.5 Total Biofuels Market

6. Biodiesel Market
- 6.1 Introduction
- 6.2 Biodiesel and Feedstock Supply Chain
- 6.3 Market Engineering Research Measurements
- 6.4 Market Revenues and Growth Rates
- 6.5 Market Engineering Measurements by Country
- 6.6 Biodiesel Market by Country
- 6.7 Summary and Opportunity Analysis

7. Ethanol Market
- 7.1 Introduction
- 7.2 Ethanol and Feedstock Supply Chain
- 7.3 Market Engineering Research Measurements
- 7.4 Market Engineering Measurements by Country
- 7.5 Market Revenues and Growth Rates
- 7.6 Ethanol Market by Country
- 7.7 Summary and Opportunity Analysis

8. Conclusions and Strategic Recommendations

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