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The 2009 Import and Export Market for Antiques over 100 Years Old in Hong Kong

ICON Group International, May 2009, Pages: 42

On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on antiques over 100 years old in Hong Kong face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying antiques over 100 years old to Hong Kong? How important is Hong Kong compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of antiques over 100 years old vary from one country of origin to another in Hong Kong? On the supply side, Hong Kong also exports antiques over 100 years old. Which countries receive the most exports from Hong Kong? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?

This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for antiques over 100 years old in Hong Kong. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for antiques over 100 years old for those countries serving Hong Kong via exports, or supplying from Hong Kong via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.

In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Hong Kong fits into the world market for imported and exported antiques over 100 years old. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Hong Kong in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Hong Kong is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Hong Kong compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.

After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of antiques over 100 years old, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Hong Kong. A “major” market is defined as a country where Hong Kong represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Hong Kong, one can thus observe how important Hong Kong is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of antiques over 100 years old originating from Hong Kong, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Hong Kong has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Hong Kong. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of antiques over 100 years old to and from Hong Kong to and from all other major countries in the world. "Antiques over 100 Years Old" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "antiques over 100 years old" is 8966 . For more information on this definition, please refer to the following web site:
http://unstats.un.org/unsd/cr/registry/regcs.asp?Cl=14&Lg=1&Co=896 .

1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY 7
2 HONG KONG AND THE WORLD MARKET 9
2.1 Imports in Hong Kong in 2009 9
2.2 Exports from Hong Kong in 2009 10
3 IMPORTS IN HONG KONG 11
3.1 Asia 11
3.1.1 China 11
3.1.2 Japan 12
3.1.3 Macau 12
3.1.4 Malaysia 13
3.1.5 Philippines 13
3.1.6 Singapore 13
3.1.7 South Korea 14
3.1.8 Taiwan 14
3.1.9 Thailand 14
3.2 Europe 15
3.2.1 Belgium 15
3.2.2 France 16
3.2.3 Germany 17
3.2.4 Italy 18
3.2.5 Sweden 19
3.2.6 Switzerland 20
3.2.7 the Netherlands 21
3.2.8 the United Kingdom 22
3.3 North America & the Caribbean 23
3.3.1 Canada 23
3.3.2 the United States 24
3.4 Oceana 25
3.4.1 Australia 25
3.5 the Middle East 25
3.5.1 the United Arab Emirates 25
4 EXPORTS FROM HONG KONG 26
4.1 Africa 26
4.1.1 South Africa 26
4.2 Asia 27
4.2.1 Singapore 27
4.3 Europe 28
4.3.1 Austria 28
4.3.2 Belgium 29
4.3.3 Denmark 30
4.3.4 France 31
4.3.5 Germany 32
4.3.6 Ireland 33
4.3.7 Italy 33
4.3.8 Spain 34
4.3.9 Sweden 34
4.3.10 Switzerland 35
4.3.11 the Netherlands 36
4.3.12 the United Kingdom 37
4.4 North America & the Caribbean 38
4.4.1 the United States 38
4.5 Oceana 39
4.5.1 Australia 39
4.5.2 New Caledonia 40
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS 41
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor 41
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions 42

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