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Communications Markets in France - 2009 Edition

Pyramid Research, Inc., Oct 2009, Pages: 30


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France: Multiplay Success Drives FTTH Interest

The French telecommunications market generated almost $58bn (€39.3bn) in revenue in 2008. The dollar value decline in 2009 of more than 5% is largely because of exchange rate changes, and in euro terms, growth is expected to be moderately positive. The CAGR for 2009-2014 is forecast at 3.2% in dollar terms, with total revenue forecast to reach $63.9bn at the end of the forecast period. IPTV and mobile data are expected to show the strongest growth, with CAGRs of 13.3% and 13.4%, respectively. The largest revenue generator, mobile voice, which contributed 49% of market revenue in 2008, is forecast to show a slight decline, bringing its contribution down to 39% in 2014.

By 2014, 50 percent of households in France will subscribe to a triple-play offer as operators invest in FTTH to stay competitive, according to the latest report.

France: Multiplay Success Drives FTTH Interest offers a precise, incisive profile of the country's converged telecommunications, media, and technology sectors based on proprietary data from our research in the French market. This 30-page report provides detailed competitive analysis of both the fixed and mobile sectors, tracks the market shares of technologies and services, and monitors the introduction and spread of new technologies, such as WiMax, IPTV, and VoIP. It provides a comprehensive view of the French communications market by analyzing key trends, evaluating near-term opportunities, and assessing upcoming risks factors. Download an excerpt of this report here.

'Pyramid forecasts that 30 percent of households in France will subscribe to a triple-play offer by the end of 2009, a number we expect to increase to almost 50 percent by 2014,' says Jan ten Sythoff, EMEA Manager at Pyramid Research and author of the report. 'Pyramid expects quad-play adoption to gradually increase to make up 3 percent of households by 2014,' he adds.

Fixed-mobile convergence will become an increasingly important competitive focus over the next couple of years. 'On the fixed side, investments into fiber will be key to maintaining a strong position in the fixed broadband sector; the development of FTTH is a key issue, and ARCEP, the regulator, is promoting cooperation in order to drive FTTH coverage,' Sythoff, says. 'On the mobile side, competition will increase with the launch of the fourth network, as well as increasing numbers of MVNOs.'.

Pay-TV competition has intensified with the entry of DSL and fiber operators, as content offers and packages are a key differentiator in triple-play bundles. 'Orange has also started selling satellite TV as part of its triple-play packages, in order to provide nationwide TV coverage, not possible through its DSL network,' Sythoff explains. 'Cable operator Numericable is investing in fiber technology, and we therefore expect cable subscriptions to decline.'

France: Multiplay Success Drives FTTH Interest is part of the Western Europe Country Intelligence Report Series. The premium Country Intelligence Reports are the industry's best available analysis on market trends, regulatory environments, and competitive dynamics for 60 countries worldwide.


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