The 2009 Import and Export Market for Dried, Shelled Chickpeas in Lebanon
ICON Group International, August 2009, Pages: 17
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on dried, shelled chickpeas in Lebanon face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying dried, shelled chickpeas to Lebanon? How important is Lebanon compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of dried, shelled chickpeas vary from one country of origin to another in Lebanon? On the supply side, Lebanon also exports dried, shelled chickpeas. Which countries receive the most exports from Lebanon? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for dried, shelled chickpeas in Lebanon. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for dried, shelled chickpeas for those countries serving Lebanon via exports, or supplying from Lebanon via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Lebanon fits into the world market for imported and exported dried, shelled chickpeas. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Lebanon in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Lebanon is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Lebanon compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of dried, shelled chickpeas, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Lebanon. A “major” market is defined as a country where Lebanon represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Lebanon, one can thus observe how important Lebanon is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of dried, shelled chickpeas originating from Lebanon, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Lebanon has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Lebanon. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of dried, shelled chickpeas to and from Lebanon to and from all other major countries in the world. "Dried, Shelled Chickpeas" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "dried, shelled chickpeas" is 05422 .
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
2 LEBANON AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 Imports in Lebanon in 2009
2.2 Exports from Lebanon in 2009
3 IMPORTS IN LEBANON
3.1 Africa
3.1.1 Morocco
3.2 Asia
3.2.1 India
3.3 Latin America
3.3.1 Mexico
3.4 North America & the Caribbean
3.4.1 Canada
3.5 the Middle East
3.5.1 Iraq
3.5.2 Syrian Arab Republic
3.5.3 Turkey
4 EXPORTS FROM LEBANON
4.1 the Middle East
4.1.1 Jordan
4.1.2 Qatar
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions
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