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Privatisation of Zamtel
Onda Analytics Limited, Nov 2009, Pages: 31
Zambian fixed and mobile operator Zamtel is currently in the process of being privatised by the government. The operator has struggled to gain mobile market share from MTN and Zain, who both operate in Zambia. With relatively low mobile penetration and high tariffs, a strong opportunity presents itself for a new investor.
Privatisation of Zamtel considers the opportunity for potential investors, with a focus on Zamtel’s mobile operation, Cell Z. It examines the value of this and other assets with a view to explaining how an investor can maximise value from an investment in Zamtel. The report takes into account the country’s socioeconomic background as well as the current state of the telecoms market. It then analyses the current state of Zamtel and its strengths and weaknesses. Forecasts are given for both Zamtel and the Zambian mobile market as a whole for the period up to 2015.
Key questions answered
- What is the current state of Zamtel and what is its history?
- Which of Zamtel’s assets are of most value?
- What is the current state of the Zambian telecoms market and who are the main players?
- How will the Zambian mobile market develop over the next five years?
- What proportion of the mobile market can Zamtel’s new owner expect to claim up to 2015?
- What strategies will be key for a new owner to adopt?
- What potential pitfalls should a new owner be aware of?
Key data
- Socio-economic indicators for Zambia (population, age distribution, GDP per capita)
- Historical fixed and mobile subscribers and penetration in Zambia, 2005 - 2009
- Forecast mobile subscribers and penetration in Zambia, 2009 - 2015
- Historical and forecast mobile ARPU in Zambia, 2006 - 2015
- Forecast total mobile revenue in Zambia, 2010 - 2015
- Forecast subscribers, ARPU and revenue for Zamtel, 2010-2015
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