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The 2009 Import and Export Market for Animal and Vegetable Oils, Fats, and Waxes in Guyana
ICON Group International, August 2009, Pages: 15
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes in Guyana face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes to Guyana? How important is Guyana compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes vary from one country of origin to another in Guyana? On the supply side, Guyana also exports animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes. Which countries receive the most exports from Guyana? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes in Guyana. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes for those countries serving Guyana via exports, or supplying from Guyana via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Guyana fits into the world market for imported and exported animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Guyana in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Guyana is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Guyana compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Guyana. A “major” market is defined as a country where Guyana represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Guyana, one can thus observe how important Guyana is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes originating from Guyana, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Guyana has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Guyana. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes to and from Guyana to and from all other major countries in the world. "Animal and Vegetable Oils, Fats, and Waxes" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "animal and vegetable oils, fats, and waxes" is 4 .
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
2 GUYANA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 Imports in Guyana in 2009
2.2 Exports from Guyana in 2009
3 IMPORTS IN GUYANA
3.2 Latin America
3.3 North America & the Caribbean
3.3.1 the Netherlands Antilles
3.3.2 Trinidad and Tobago
4 EXPORTS FROM GUYANA
4.1 North America & the Caribbean
4.1.2 Trinidad and Tobago
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions