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The 2009 Import and Export Market for Polymers of Propylene or Other Olefins in Primary Forms in Kenya
ICON Group International, August 2009, Pages: 22
On the demand side, exporters and strategic planners focusing on polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms in Kenya face a number of questions. Which countries are supplying polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms to Kenya? How important is Kenya compared to others in terms of the entire global and regional market? How much do the imports of polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms vary from one country of origin to another in Kenya? On the supply side, Kenya also exports polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms. Which countries receive the most exports from Kenya? How are these exports concentrated across buyers? What is the value of these exports and which countries are the largest buyers?
This report was created for strategic planners, international marketing executives and import/export managers who are concerned with the market for polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms in Kenya. With the globalization of this market, managers can no longer be contented with a local view. Nor can managers be contented with out-of-date statistics which appear several years after the fact. I have developed a methodology, based on macroeconomic and trade models, to estimate the market for polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms for those countries serving Kenya via exports, or supplying from Kenya via imports. It does so for the current year based on a variety of key historical indicators and econometric models.
In what follows, Chapter 2 begins by summarizing where Kenya fits into the world market for imported and exported polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms. The total level of imports and exports on a worldwide basis, and those for Kenya in particular, is estimated using a model which aggregates across over 150 key country markets and projects these to the current year. From there, each country represents a percent of the world market. This market is served from a number of competitive countries of origin. Based on both demand- and supply-side dynamics, market shares by country of origin are then calculated across each country market destination. These shares lead to a volume of import and export values for each country and are aggregated to regional and world totals. In doing so, we are able to obtain maximum likelihood estimates of both the value of each market and the share that Kenya is likely to receive this year. From these figures, rankings are calculated to allow managers to prioritize Kenya compared to other major country markets. In this way, all the figures provided in this report are forecasts that can be combined with internal information sources for strategic planning purposes.
After the worldwide summary in Chapter 2 of both imports and exports of polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms, Chapter 3 goes into detail on imports, but for each major country of origin serving Kenya. A “major” market is defined as a country where Kenya represents a substantially large share of either imports or exports. For each major country exporting to Kenya, one can thus observe how important Kenya is to that exporting country compared to other countries of the world. Chapter 4 does the same, but for exports of polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms originating from Kenya, for each major country of destination. In doing so, one can discover the share that Kenya has in each major market; this share value is often used as a measure of competitiveness for Kenya. In all cases, the total dollar volume and percentage share values by major trading partner are provided. Combined, Chapters 3 and 4 present a the total picture for imports and exports of polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms to and from Kenya to and from all other major countries in the world. "Polymers of Propylene or Other Olefins in Primary Forms" as a category is defined in this report following the definition given by the United Nations Statistics Division Classification Registry using the Standard International Trade Classification, Revision 3 (SITC, Rev. 3). The SITC code that defined "polymers of propylene or other olefins in primary forms" is 5751 .
1 INTRODUCTION AND METHODOLOGY
2 KENYA AND THE WORLD MARKET
2.1 Imports in Kenya in 2009
2.2 Exports from Kenya in 2009
3 IMPORTS IN KENYA
3.1.2 South Africa
3.2.2 North Korea
3.2.3 South Korea
3.4 the Middle East
3.4.2 Saudi Arabia
3.4.3 the United Arab Emirates
4 EXPORTS FROM KENYA
5 DISCLAIMERS, WARRANTEES, AND USER AGREEMENT PROVISIONS
5.1 Disclaimers & Safe Harbor
5.2 ICON Group Ltd. User Agreement Provisions