Two years of global crisis: Bulgarian Economy in 2009 (Bulgarian Version)

Industry Watch Group LLC, September 2009, Pages: 20

Analysis of the impact of the global crisis on Bulgarian economy; risks and opportunities for Bulgaria in 2009

The start of the crisis in 2007 coincided with a period of rapid economic growth in Bulgaria, driven by investment expansion. It is hard to distinguish to what extent the dynamics of the Bulgarian economy was driven by fundamental factors, related to increased productivity and improved business environment, and to what extent it resulted from rapid credit expansion. However, we can outline several indicators that growth was not solely due to “easy money” and that Bulgaria faced the onset of the of the crisis in a considerably better position than most of the EU economies

- Origins of the global crisis and fundamentals of the Bulgarian economy
- Economic activity in CEE
- External debt and access to global credit markets
- Capital inflows
- Exports and industrial production
- Labor market developments
- Contraction of GDP
- Changes in the prices of investment assets
- Stock price dynamics
- Housing price dynamics
- Development of the banking sector
- Household deposits
- Bank loans
- Fiscal policies and sovereign risk
- Threats and opportunities

This title is also available in the following language

• Two years of global crisis: Bulgarian Economy in 2009 (English Version)

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