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Global Five-Year Cellular Macro Station Forecast
Description:
The worldwide wireless market continues to grow, despite a worldwide economic slowdown, and with more and more voice subscribers, wireless operators are desperately trying to increase their profits by providing high-speed wireless data services. While voice Average Revenue per User (ARPU) has been steadily decreasing, data ARPU has been on the rise. Selling data services has been very good for operators, but with it comes the need for many more base stations.
This base station forecast contains a forecast for both new and deployed macro cellular base stations. Forecasts are broken out for the following technologies: LTE, WCDMA (including HSPA), CDMA2000 1X RTT & CDMAOne, CDMA2000 1X EV-DO, GSM (including GPRS & EDGE), and TD-SCDMA. Each forecast is also broken out by region. The following regions are included: North America, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Africa & Middle East, Asia/Pacific and Latin, South America & Caribbean.
This base station forecast contains a forecast for both new and deployed macro cellular base stations. Forecasts are broken out for the following technologies: LTE, WCDMA (including HSPA), CDMA2000 1X RTT & CDMAOne, CDMA2000 1X EV-DO, GSM (including GPRS & EDGE), and TD-SCDMA. Each forecast is also broken out by region. The following regions are included: North America, Eastern Europe, Western Europe, Africa & Middle East, Asia/Pacific and Latin, South America & Caribbean.
Contents:
In This Update
Introduction to Update
North America
Latin, South America, Caribbean
Eastern Europe
Western Europe
Asia/Pacific
Middle East and Africa
Totals
Conclusion
List of Tables
Table 1. North America Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 2. North America New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 3. North America New Base Station Revenue, by Technology (US$ in Millions)
Table 4. Latin, South America, Caribbean Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 5. Latin, South America, Caribbean New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 6. Latin, South America, Caribbean New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 7. Eastern Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 8. Eastern Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 9. Eastern Europe New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 10. Western Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 11. Western Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 12. Western Europe New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 13. Asia/Pacific Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 14. Asia/Pacific New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 15. Asia/Pacific Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 16. Middle East & Africa Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 17. Middle East & Africa New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 18. Middle East & Africa New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 19. Total Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 20. Total New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 21. Total New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
List of Figures
Figure 1. Total Worldwide New Base Station Shipments, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 2. North America Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 3. North America New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 4. Latin, South America, Caribbean Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 5. Latin, South America, Caribbean New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 6. Eastern Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 7. Eastern Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 8. Western Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 9. Western Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 10. Asia/Pacific Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 11. Asia/Pacific New Base Stations by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 12. Middle East & Africa Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 13. Middle East & Africa New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 14. Total Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 15. Total Deployed Base Stations—All Technologies, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 16. Total New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 17. Total New Base Stations—All Technologies, 2008–2013 (Units)
Introduction to Update
North America
Latin, South America, Caribbean
Eastern Europe
Western Europe
Asia/Pacific
Middle East and Africa
Totals
Conclusion
List of Tables
Table 1. North America Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 2. North America New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 3. North America New Base Station Revenue, by Technology (US$ in Millions)
Table 4. Latin, South America, Caribbean Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 5. Latin, South America, Caribbean New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 6. Latin, South America, Caribbean New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 7. Eastern Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 8. Eastern Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 9. Eastern Europe New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 10. Western Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 11. Western Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 12. Western Europe New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 13. Asia/Pacific Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 14. Asia/Pacific New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 15. Asia/Pacific Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 16. Middle East & Africa Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 17. Middle East & Africa New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 18. Middle East & Africa New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
Table 19. Total Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 20. Total New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Table 21. Total New Base Station Revenue, by Technology, 2008–2013 (US$ in Millions)
List of Figures
Figure 1. Total Worldwide New Base Station Shipments, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 2. North America Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 3. North America New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 4. Latin, South America, Caribbean Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 5. Latin, South America, Caribbean New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 6. Eastern Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 7. Eastern Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 8. Western Europe Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 9. Western Europe New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 10. Asia/Pacific Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 11. Asia/Pacific New Base Stations by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 12. Middle East & Africa Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 13. Middle East & Africa New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 14. Total Deployed Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 15. Total Deployed Base Stations—All Technologies, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 16. Total New Base Stations, by Technology, 2008–2013 (Units)
Figure 17. Total New Base Stations—All Technologies, 2008–2013 (Units)
Contents:
LTE Drives the News but WCDMA Drives Base Station Deployments
Despite a poor worldwide economy, demand for smartphones, regular phones, and wireless broadband services continues to drive the base station market, according to a report. The number of newly deployed macro cellular base stations will grow over 10% in 2009.
Of new macro cellular base station shipments, WCDMA base station shipments will make up the lion’s share of all base station shipments worldwide, accounting for about 50% of the total base station revenue. By 2013, In-Stat forecasts that the percent that WCDMA contributes to total base station revenue will exceed 70% and LTE base stations will account for another 20% of the total.
“WCDMA/HSPA base stations will be the work horses of wireless data networks,” says Allen Nogee, In-Stat analyst. “Many operators, worldwide, are in the process of rolling out, or enhancing, their current CDMA networks, including a very large rollout of CDMA by China Unicom. China Unicom was awarded the WCDMA contract to provide services in China. WCDMA will gain the most subscribers, with CDMA2000 and TD-SCDMA taking the distant second and third positions.”
Recent research found the following:
- From 2008 to 2013, total base station revenue is forecast to decrease by almost 3% CAGR. Not only do base stations continue to drop in price, but also the mix of base stations is changing. Smaller base stations are being deployed, and many more LTE base stations are forecast to ship. LTE base stations are significantly cheaper than WCDMA base stations and this will account for much in the way of decreased base station revenue going forward.
- While there is no growth for GSM in areas that are transitioning to WCDMA, there is growth of GSM subscribers in Africa, India, China, and Latin and South America. Still, In-Stat believes that GSM base station shipments will decline every year going forward.
- The fastest base station technology to grow, in terms of compound annual growth rate is TD-SCDMA, but this can be a bit misleading, because TD-SCDMA is a new technology recently licensed as a 3G technology in China and the technology didn’t exist much before 2007.
- LTE is rolling out! The majority of the committed operators have roll-outs scheduled for 2012 and 2013. In the US, Verizon is in the process of deploying LTE with Ericsson and Alcatel-Lucent equipment, Alcatel-Lucent supplies most of their existing CDMA equipment. Verizon has said that it hopes to have 20–30 markets with operating LTE by the end of 2010, with more in 2011, and an LTE smartphone as well in 2011.
Recent research, Global Five-Year Cellular Macro Station Forecast covers the worldwide market for cellular macro base station. This base station forecast contains a forecast for both new and deployed macro cellular base stations. Forecasts are broken out for the following technologies:
- LTE
- WCDMA (including HSPA)
- CDMA2000 1X RTT & CDMAOne
- CDMA2000 1X EV-DO
- GSM (including GPRS & EDGE)
- TD-SCDMA
Each forecast is also broken out by region:
- North America
- Eastern Europe
- Western Europe
- Africa & Middle East
- Asia/Pacific
- Latin America & Caribbean
This research is part of the Cellular Infrastructure service, which provides comprehensive analysis of the components and equipment for wireless broadband and communication technologies, including the market trends and network technologies, such as micro, pico, and femtocells.
Despite a poor worldwide economy, demand for smartphones, regular phones, and wireless broadband services continues to drive the base station market, according to a report. The number of newly deployed macro cellular base stations will grow over 10% in 2009.
Of new macro cellular base station shipments, WCDMA base station shipments will make up the lion’s share of all base station shipments worldwide, accounting for about 50% of the total base station revenue. By 2013, In-Stat forecasts that the percent that WCDMA contributes to total base station revenue will exceed 70% and LTE base stations will account for another 20% of the total.
“WCDMA/HSPA base stations will be the work horses of wireless data networks,” says Allen Nogee, In-Stat analyst. “Many operators, worldwide, are in the process of rolling out, or enhancing, their current CDMA networks, including a very large rollout of CDMA by China Unicom. China Unicom was awarded the WCDMA contract to provide services in China. WCDMA will gain the most subscribers, with CDMA2000 and TD-SCDMA taking the distant second and third positions.”
Recent research found the following:
- From 2008 to 2013, total base station revenue is forecast to decrease by almost 3% CAGR. Not only do base stations continue to drop in price, but also the mix of base stations is changing. Smaller base stations are being deployed, and many more LTE base stations are forecast to ship. LTE base stations are significantly cheaper than WCDMA base stations and this will account for much in the way of decreased base station revenue going forward.
- While there is no growth for GSM in areas that are transitioning to WCDMA, there is growth of GSM subscribers in Africa, India, China, and Latin and South America. Still, In-Stat believes that GSM base station shipments will decline every year going forward.
- The fastest base station technology to grow, in terms of compound annual growth rate is TD-SCDMA, but this can be a bit misleading, because TD-SCDMA is a new technology recently licensed as a 3G technology in China and the technology didn’t exist much before 2007.
- LTE is rolling out! The majority of the committed operators have roll-outs scheduled for 2012 and 2013. In the US, Verizon is in the process of deploying LTE with Ericsson and Alcatel-Lucent equipment, Alcatel-Lucent supplies most of their existing CDMA equipment. Verizon has said that it hopes to have 20–30 markets with operating LTE by the end of 2010, with more in 2011, and an LTE smartphone as well in 2011.
Recent research, Global Five-Year Cellular Macro Station Forecast covers the worldwide market for cellular macro base station. This base station forecast contains a forecast for both new and deployed macro cellular base stations. Forecasts are broken out for the following technologies:
- LTE
- WCDMA (including HSPA)
- CDMA2000 1X RTT & CDMAOne
- CDMA2000 1X EV-DO
- GSM (including GPRS & EDGE)
- TD-SCDMA
Each forecast is also broken out by region:
- North America
- Eastern Europe
- Western Europe
- Africa & Middle East
- Asia/Pacific
- Latin America & Caribbean
This research is part of the Cellular Infrastructure service, which provides comprehensive analysis of the components and equipment for wireless broadband and communication technologies, including the market trends and network technologies, such as micro, pico, and femtocells.
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