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Executive Analysis of the European Light Commercial Vehicles Powertrain Market

Frost & Sullivan, Sep 2009, Pages: 72


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The light commercial vehicles market in Europe has witnessed significant growth in the past. The general trend in this market is closely related to the advancements in the passenger car market. Powertrain solutions developed for passenger cars find applications in light commercial vehicles. This study analyses various LCV powertrain technologies such as boosting technologies, transmission technologies and exhaust after-treatment technologies.

Research Overview
This Frost & Sullivan research service titled Executive Analysis of the European Light Commercial Vehicles Powertrain Market provides an overview of the various technological evolutions affecting the European light commercial vehicles (LCVs) powertrain market. This research service gives detailed insights into technology developments and increments in market share of turbochargers and exhaust after-treatment systems that will be the key trends in this market. It also analyses the future market share of various LCV manufacturers in Europe for different powertrain technologies. In this research, Frost & Sullivan's expert analysts thoroughly examine the following technologies: LCV alternative propulsion, LCV turbochargers, LCV transmission technologies and LCV exhaust after-treatment technologies.

This analysis is available through the Automotive & Transportation Growth Partnership Services programme. With continuous access to intelligence and resources from all seven perspectives of the Complex Business Universe, the Growth Partnership Services programme ensures that you and your Growth Team™ are able to maintain a 360 Degree Perspective of the market. This comprehensive, objective information allows your company to mitigate risk, identify new opportunities and drive effective strategies for growth.

Market Overview

LCV Powertrain Development to Concentrate on Adhering to Emission Norms and Reducing Fuel Consumption

Technological developments in LCV powertrains have become inevitable due to the stringent emission norms in Europe. The key challenges will be to reduce carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, particulate matter and nitrogen oxide (NOx) emissions from exhaust gases. Over the past several years, there have been developments in turbocharger technologies, transmission technologies and exhaust after-treatment technologies in passenger cars. This is being replicated in LCVs, and many original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) have been sharing powertrain solutions between passenger cars and LCVs. However, costs have risen significantly due to this trend. While platform sharing is a good method to reduce costs due to the high volumes of passenger cars, suppliers have been presented the opportunity to venture into the LCV market with powertrain solutions. 'Turbocharger technology for LCVs will follow a similar trend as diesel passenger cars a few years ago,' says the analyst of this research. 'Stringent emission norms enforced for LCVs will impel manufacturers to opt for exhaust after-treatment systems and the most popular transmission technology choice for LCVs will continue to be manual transmission.'

Variable geometry turbochargers will be the future choice in terms of the turbocharger technology for LCVs. End-user demand for fuel efficiency and the pressure to reduce emissions due to the upcoming legislations will compel manufacturers to use exhaust after-treatment systems such as diesel particulate filters (DPFs) and selective catalytic reduction (SCR) on LCVs to decrease particulate matter and NOx emissions, respectively. Turbochargers already play an important role in the LCV powertrain. There will be a shift towards the use of variable geometry turbochargers from the current choice of fixed geometry turbochargers preferred by most LCV OEMs. Such a trend will result in significant growth for variable geometry turbochargers. Exhaust after-treatment systems are expected to follow technology trends similar to that of passenger cars. Alternative fuel engines in LCVs will increase to over 50,000 units by 2015. LCV transmission technologies will exhibit an increase in market share of about 4 per cent by 2015 from 1 per cent in 2008 due to fuel efficiency benefits over conventional automatic transmissions.

Shared Platforms, Powertrains and Exhaust After-treatment Systems Key to Reducing Costs for OEMs

The greatest challenge for LCV manufacturers will be to comply with emission norms and, at the same time, ensure lower costs. The cost of precious metals and materials with high temperature resistance will be the main concern for LCV manufacturers. Vehicle platform sharing and powertrain sharing between LCVs and passenger cars will help OEMs reduce expenses, as the volumes for passenger cars are higher than LCVs. The particulate matter limit for EURO 5 requires integration of DPFs for both passenger cars and LCVs. This trend is already well established, and it is anticipated to increase the penetration of DPFs. A similar development is likely for SCR systems. EURO 6 emission norms will require SCR systems in order to decrease NOx emissions. 'SCR systems are likely to be the preferred choice for the large and premium segment passenger vehicles,' explains the analyst. 'Hence sharing of platforms, powertrains, and exhaust after-treatment systems will play a key role in reducing costs.'

Developing cost-effective materials for use in turbochargers and exhaust after-treatment systems will be essential to maintain costs at competitive levels. As LCVs are mainly used as a tool in small- and medium-sized companies, they should be reliable and efficient. 'End consumers for LCVs demand vehicles that are reliable and efficient,' says the analyst. 'Therefore, manufacturers should develop affordable solutions and fulfil end user expectations in terms of low fuel consumption and reduced emissions.'

Technologies

The following technologies are covered in this research:

- LCV alternative propulsion
- LCV turbochargers
- LCV transmission technologies
- LCV exhaust after-treatment technologies



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