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European Gas and Power Price Fundamentals: Q4 2009

Datamonitor, Dec 2009, Pages: 36


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The growing role of wholesale traded energy markets across Europe creates a greater need for players throughout the value chain to be aware of the latest market movements and developments. From the wellhead or power station gate to the end-user, volatility in the spot and forward price of power and gas is creating an increasingly challenging environment for all market participants.

Scope

- An examination of the wholesale gas price trends in Europe's three key markets - the UK NBP, the Zeebrugge Hub and the Dutch TTF.

- An assessment of traded power prices in the UK, Belgian, Dutch, German and French wholesale power markets

- A review of the past three month's global oil markets: what's driving the price of oil and which fundamentals will determine the future

- Insight and analysis into the impact of wholesale markets on the wholesale / retail price interface

Highlights of this title

Prices have been driven from their 2008 highs by the global downturn, with levels expected to remain muted over the near term. While residential and service sector demand remained relatively inelastic, industrial gas consumption declined in line with the EU recession and fall off in industrial production

The US is now awash in natural gas as productivity from unconventional wells (shale) has risen dramatically due to new technology in hydraulic fracturing and horizontal drilling. Natural gas in storage hit an all time high in November at 3,833 billion cubic feet (Bcf), a level around 12% above the 5-year average (2004-2008).

Gas prices have failed to benefit from the drivers of the oil price, namely improving demand fundamentals, investment inflows and relatively tighter outlook on supply. Gas prices are expected to remain muted in 2010 as much of the global economy sees and oversupply of gas

Key reasons to purchase this title

- Establish the current level of wholesale and retail energy prices and the fundamental drivers behind movements in the traded value of gas and power

- Understand how wholesale pricing impacts different facets of the value chain, identifying the potential to limit risk through hedging strategies

- Forecast future developments in the traded price of gas and power in order to successfully take advantage of arbitrage opportunities




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