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United Arab Emirates Commercial Banking Report Q1 2010

Description:
The United Arab Emirates Commercial Banking Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, banking associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the United Arab Emirates commercial banking industry.

Since Q108, we have described numerically the banking business environment for each of the countries surveyed by BMI. We do this through our Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating (CBBER), a measure that ensures we capture the latest quantitative information available. It also ensures consistency across all countries and between the inputs to the CBBER and the Insurance Business Environment Rating, which is likewise now a feature of our insurance reports. Like the Business Environment Ratings calculated by BMI for all the other industries on which it reports, the CBBER takes into account the limits of potential returns and the risks to the realisation of those returns. It is weighted 70% to the former and 30% to the latter.

The evaluation of the Limits of Potential Returns includes market elements that are specific to the banking industry of the country in question and elements that relate to that country in general. Within the 70% of the CBBER that takes into account the Limits of Potential Returns, the market elements have a 60% weighting and the country elements have a 40% weighting. The evaluation of the Risks to Realisation of Returns also includes banking elements and country elements (specifically, BMI’s assessment of long-term country risk). However, within the 30% of the CBBER that take into account the risks, these elements are weighted 40% and 60%, respectively.

Further details on how we calculate the CBBER are provided at the end of this report. In general, though, three aspects need to be borne in mind in interpreting the CBBERs. The first is that the market elements of the Limits of Potential Returns are by far the most heavily weighted of the four elements. They account for 60% of 70% (or 42%) of the overall CBBER. Second, if the market elements are significantly higher than the country elements of the Limits of Potential Returns, it usually implies that the banking sector is (very) large and/or developed relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Conversely, if the market elements are significantly lower than the country elements, it usually means that the banking sector is small and/or underdeveloped relative to the general wealth, stability and financial infrastructure in the country. Third, within the Risks to Realisation of Returns category, the market elements (ie: how regulations affect the development of the sector, how regulations affect competition within it, and Moody’s Investor Services’ ratings for local currency deposits) can be markedly different from BMI’s long-term risk rating.
 
Contents:
Executive Summary

Table: Levels (AEDbn)
Table: Levels (US$bn)
Table: Levels At September 2009
Table: Annual Growth Rate Projections 2009-2013 (%)
Table: Ranking Out Of 59 Countries Reviewed In 2009
Table: Projected Levels (AEDbn)
Table: Projected Levels (US$bn)

SWOT Analysis

United Arab Emirates Commercial Banking SWOT
United Arab Emirates Political SWOT
United Arab Emirates Economic SWOT
United Arab Emirates Business Environment SWOT

Business Environment Outlook

Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings
Commercial Banking Business Environment Rating Methodology
Commercial Banking Business Environment Ratings

Global Commercial Banking Outlook

Emerging Market Banking Sectors

Middle East And North Africa Banking Sector Outlook
Comparison of Loan/Deposit & Loan/Asset & Loan/GDP ratios
Anticipated Developments in 2010
Comparison of Total Assets & Client Loans & Client Deposits (US$bn)
Comparison of US$ Per Capita Deposits (Late 2009)
Interbank Rates and Bond Yields
Islamic Banking Overview
Mobile Banking Overview

United Arab Emirates Banking Sector Outlook

Economic Outlook

Table: UAE Economic Activity, 2007-2014
Competitive Landscape
Market Structure
Protagonists
Table: Protagonists In UAE's Commercial Banking Sector
Definition of The Commercial Banking Universe
List Of Banks
Table: EBA Full Members
Table: EBA Associate Members

Company Profiles

Emirates Bank NBD
Key Statistics For Emirates NBD, 2007-2008 (AEDmn)
National Bank of Abu Dhabi
Key Statistics For National Bank of Abu Dhabi, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank
Key Statistics for Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
Mashreq
Key Statistics For Mashreq, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
Dubai Islamic Bank
Key Statistics for Dubai Islamic Bank, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
First Gulf Bank
Key Statistics for First Gulf Bank, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
Union National Bank
Key Statistics For Union National Bank, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank
Key Statistics for Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
Commercial Bank of Dubai
Key Statistics For Commercial Bank of Dubai, 2004-2008 (AEDmn)
Emirates Islamic Bank
Key Statistics For Emirates Islamic Bank PJSC, 2004-2008 (AEDbn)

BMI Banking Sector Methodology

Commercial Bank Business Environment Rating
Table: Commercial Banking Business Environment Indicators And Rationale
Table: Weighting Of Indicators
 
Companies Mentioned
- Emirates Bank NBD
- National Bank of Abu Dhabi
- Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank
- Mashreq
- Dubai Islamic Bank
- First Gulf Bank
- Union National Bank
- Abu Dhabi Islamic Bank
- Commercial Bank of Dubai
- Emirates Islamic Bank
 
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