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Nigeria Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report Q2 2010
Business Monitor International, Feb 2010, Pages: 94
Business Monitor International's Nigeria Pharmaceuticals and Healthcare Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, pharmaceutical associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Nigeria's pharmaceuticals and healthcare industry.
In BMI’s Q210 update of the Pharmaceutical Business Environment Ratings for the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region, Nigeria remains third-last of the 17 key regional markets and globally, only above Zimbabwe and Kenya. A sizeable counterfeiting industry, poor healthcare funding, corruption and a number of other issues will conspire to keep Nigeria in a similarly lowly position in the MEA matrix over the coming months, despite its dynamic growth prospects and positive economic outlook. Having been valued at NGN90.04bn (US$600mn) in 2009, Nigeria’s pharmaceutical market is forecast to post a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 9.97% over BMI's five-year forecast period to 2014, reaching NGN144.8bn (US$1.18bn). Measured in US dollar terms, the rate of growth will be even stronger, at over 14.3%, as the naira gains strength.
Growth opportunities are also evident in the wider healthcare industry as the government increasingly recognises the need to improve patients’ access to and the quality of medical services. To this end, in Q409, the government began negotiations with India’s Apollo Hospital Group to enter joint investment projects for establishing private hospitals in the country. The Nigerian Health Minister also stated that Apollo would be required to secure its own supply chain to ensure participation, although a nation-wide improvement of hospital provision is a long way off. According to Indian newspaper Hindu Business Line, around US$250mn leaves Nigeria annually in the form of payment for treatment in foreign hospitals.
In the meantime, government’s efforts to tackle trade in counterfeit drugs continue apace. Borders and entry points into Nigeria are now targeted with a new hand-held device called TruScan, which analyses the content of medicines and validates whether they are genuine or not. The regulatory agency has also alluded to the use of text message-based technology to complement its new approach, which is aimed at making consumers more vigilant against the use or sale of illegal or counterfeit medicines. However, the aforementioned development will have little real impact on the national counterfeiting issue, as the fundamental problems surrounding the regulation of the pharmaceutical industry are yet to be properly addressed.
BMI also forecast that the already substantially negative Nigerian trade balance in pharmaceuticals will deepen further, to US$337mn in 2014. Authorities – which are aiming for the overly optimistic target of 2015 as the year of reaching self-sufficiency in terms of drug production – have mooted the banning of a selection of foreign drugs from entering the country, a strategy strongly opposed by the Association of Pharmaceutical Importers (APIN) in Nigeria. The body cautioned that access to medicines would be severely hampered by such moves, as the local industry is unable to meet the demand – partly due to manufacturing capacity limitations, but also as a result of frequent power outages and the lack of access to bank loans. Therefore, foreign generics players, including an increasing number of Indian and Pakistani companies, will continue to have plentiful opportunities for supplying the Nigerian market.
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