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Misconceptions of Risk
John Wiley and Sons Ltd, Jan 2010, Pages: 248
We all face risks in a variety of ways, as individuals, businesses and societies. The discipline of risk assessment and risk management is growing rapidly and there is an enormous drive for the implementation of risk assessment methods and risk management in organizations. There are great expectations that these tools provide suitable frameworks for obtaining high levels of performance and balance different concerns such as safety and costs.
The analysis and management of risk are not straightforward. There are many challenges. The risk discipline is young and there are a number of ideas, perspectives and conceptions of risk out there. For example many analysts and researchers consider it appropriate to base their risk management policies on the use of expected values, which basically means that potential losses are multiplied with their associated consequences. However, the rationale for such a policy is questionable.
A number of such common conceptions of risk are examined in the book, related to the risk concept, risk assessments, uncertainty analyses, risk perception, the precautionary principle, risk management and decision making under uncertainty. The Author discusses these concepts, their strengths and weaknesses, and concludes that they are often better judged as misconceptions of risk than conceptions of risk.
Key Features:
- Discusses common conceptions of risk with supporting examples.
- Provides recommendations and guidance to risk analysis and risk management.
- Relevant for all types of applications, including engineering and business.
- Presents the Author's overall conclusions on the issues addressed throughout the book.
All those working with risk-related problems need to understand the fundamental ideas and concepts of risk. Professionals in the field of risk, as well as researchers and graduate students will benefit from this book. Policy makers and business people will also find this book of interest.
Conception and Misconceptions about Risk looks at the fundamental issues in risk analysis and risk management, providing recommendations and guidance. This book presents the general thinking process related to the understanding of risk, and how we should describe, analyse, evaluate, manage, and communicate risk. In this book a number of important conceptions and misconceptions about risk have been identified their implications for risk analysis and risk management are discussed.
The key statistical concepts are introduced and discussed thoroughly, however a minimum background in statistics, risk analysis and risk management is needed.
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