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Taiwan Insurance Report Q1 2010
Business Monitor International, Jan 2010, Pages: 96
The Taiwan Insurance Report provides industry professionals and strategists, corporate analysts, insurance associations, government departments and regulatory bodies with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on Taiwan's insurance industry.
This report differs from its predecessors in several respects. In our analysis of competitive conditions, we provide a much more comprehensive ranking of insurance companies in the major segments from the point of view of the organisation that is providing the data (in practice almost always the national insurance regulator or the national insurance trade association). In Taiwan, for instance, the three largest non-life companies in the first half of 2009 – in terms of Gross Written Premiums written - were Fubon, Cathay Century and Shin Kong, whose market shares were 20.5%, 10.6% and 9.8% respectively. In the life segment, the leaders in the first half of 2009 were Cathay Life, Shin Kong Life and Nan Shan Life whose market shares were 22.8%, 10.8% and 10.6% respectively. Over time, we hope to derive insights from observing how market shares change. We emphasise though, that a decline in share of Gross Written Premiums is not automatically a bad thing and is often the result of a deliberate corporate decision to focus on more profitable business lines.
In this report, we also provide a breakdown of the insurance sector by line – from the point of view of the regulator or the trade association. In Taiwan, for instance, the largest non-life lines in 2008 were motor CASCO, fire and motor CMTPL. These accounted for 32%, 20% and 17%, respectively, of total non-life premiums. Over time, we should be able to use this information to bring greater sophistication to our forecasting process.
Writing in December 2009, we have been able to ensure that the report includes actual data for 2008. We have generally been able to use data that has been published over the course of 2009 to adjust our forecasts for the year as a whole. We have also extended the forecasts out to 2014. We are looking for total premiums in 2009 of TWD1,995,874mn. This includes non-life premiums of TWD288,668mn and life premiums of TWD1,707,206mn. In 2014 the corresponding figures should be TWD2,738,929mn, TWD375,776mn and TWD2,363,152mn. In terms of the key drivers that underpin our forecasts, we are looking for non-life penetration to change from 2.45% in 2009 to 2.39% in 2014, and for life density to rise from US$2274 to US$3338. BMI’s proprietary Insurance Business Environment Rating for Taiwan is 68.8 out of 100.
This quarter we include a discussion of developments within regional markets on the basis of results published by major cross-border companies in relation to Q209 or Q309 and the latest information provided by regulators and/or trade associations. Most of the major multinational companies indicate that Taiwan’s life insurance sector has achieved respectable growth so far this year. Other highlights include AIG’s sale of Nan Shan, the third largest life company in the market, and Prudential PLC’s disposal of its agency business in Taiwan.
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